Miami (OH)
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.1#136
Expected Predictive Rating+6.3#95
Pace64.7#292
Improvement-2.4#331

Offense
Total Offense+4.1#72
First Shot+6.0#29
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#291
Layup/Dunks-2.5#259
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#55
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#57
Freethrows+1.8#75
Improvement+0.3#141

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#244
First Shot-2.3#256
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#152
Layups/Dunks+4.2#39
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#69
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.5#351
Freethrows-0.8#236
Improvement-2.6#346
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.5% 13.9% 8.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.5% 1.1% 0.2%
Average Seed 13.0 12.7 13.3
.500 or above 78.7% 90.6% 71.7%
.500 or above in Conference 81.2% 87.7% 77.3%
Conference Champion 10.9% 14.9% 8.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.1% 0.9%
First Four0.5% 0.7% 0.3%
First Round10.3% 13.5% 8.3%
Second Round1.5% 2.2% 1.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.7% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cincinnati (Home) - 37.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 2
Quad 22 - 32 - 5
Quad 34 - 57 - 10
Quad 411 - 218 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 88   @ Georgia Tech W 72-69 25%     1 - 0 +12.2 +1.7 +10.3
  Nov 13, 2021 319   Lamar W 104-75 90%     2 - 0 +17.1 +19.2 -3.2
  Nov 17, 2021 268   Stetson W 80-65 85%     3 - 0 +6.0 +7.4 -0.5
  Nov 27, 2021 191   @ Western Illinois L 67-79 51%     3 - 1 -10.3 -0.3 -10.8
  Dec 01, 2021 55   Cincinnati L 67-70 37%    
  Dec 04, 2021 174   @ Indiana St. L 73-74 48%    
  Dec 14, 2021 50   @ Clemson L 63-73 18%    
  Dec 18, 2021 177   Bellarmine W 73-67 71%    
  Dec 29, 2021 72   @ Buffalo L 75-83 24%    
  Jan 01, 2022 304   Central Michigan W 82-69 88%    
  Jan 04, 2022 224   @ Bowling Green W 76-74 57%    
  Jan 08, 2022 165   Akron W 70-65 67%    
  Jan 11, 2022 117   Toledo W 76-74 57%    
  Jan 15, 2022 296   @ Western Michigan W 74-68 70%    
  Jan 18, 2022 76   Ohio L 73-75 44%    
  Jan 22, 2022 312   Northern Illinois W 73-60 89%    
  Jan 25, 2022 214   @ Ball St. W 76-75 55%    
  Jan 29, 2022 260   @ Eastern Michigan W 76-71 65%    
  Feb 01, 2022 137   Kent St. W 71-68 61%    
  Feb 05, 2022 165   @ Akron L 67-68 46%    
  Feb 08, 2022 296   Western Michigan W 77-65 87%    
  Feb 12, 2022 224   Bowling Green W 79-71 75%    
  Feb 15, 2022 76   @ Ohio L 70-78 25%    
  Feb 19, 2022 312   @ Northern Illinois W 70-63 75%    
  Feb 22, 2022 72   Buffalo L 78-80 44%    
  Feb 26, 2022 117   @ Toledo L 73-77 36%    
  Mar 01, 2022 304   @ Central Michigan W 79-72 74%    
  Mar 04, 2022 260   Eastern Michigan W 79-68 83%    
Projected Record 17 - 11 12 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-American Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.1 3.1 2.1 0.5 0.0 10.9 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 2.7 4.7 3.4 1.1 0.1 12.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.2 5.8 3.5 0.6 0.0 15.7 3rd
4th 0.3 2.0 5.3 4.7 2.3 0.4 15.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.9 4.7 1.5 0.1 0.0 13.5 5th
6th 0.4 2.1 4.4 3.9 1.5 0.1 12.3 6th
7th 0.3 1.6 3.1 2.6 0.5 0.0 8.3 7th
8th 0.3 1.3 2.6 1.3 0.3 0.1 5.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 0.8 0.1 0.0 2.8 9th
10th 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.8 3.2 5.4 6.9 9.6 11.6 13.0 11.4 11.4 10.1 7.1 4.2 2.2 0.5 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
18-2 95.0% 2.1    1.7 0.4
17-3 73.5% 3.1    1.9 1.1 0.1
16-4 43.8% 3.1    1.5 1.3 0.3 0.0
15-5 14.5% 1.5    0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1
14-6 4.2% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0
13-7 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 10.9% 10.9 5.8 3.7 1.1 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.5% 51.3% 38.8% 12.5% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 20.5%
18-2 2.2% 43.2% 33.3% 9.9% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.3 14.8%
17-3 4.2% 35.7% 32.7% 3.0% 12.2 0.0 0.1 1.0 0.3 0.1 2.7 4.4%
16-4 7.1% 25.7% 25.4% 0.3% 12.6 0.1 0.8 0.7 0.2 5.3 0.5%
15-5 10.1% 17.1% 17.1% 13.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.1 8.4
14-6 11.4% 11.9% 11.9% 13.4 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 10.1
13-7 11.4% 7.2% 7.2% 13.7 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 10.6
12-8 13.0% 6.0% 6.0% 14.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 12.2
11-9 11.6% 5.5% 5.5% 14.4 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 11.0
10-10 9.6% 4.0% 4.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 9.2
9-11 6.9% 1.9% 1.9% 15.7 0.0 0.1 6.8
8-12 5.4% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 5.4
7-13 3.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.2
6-14 1.8% 1.8
5-15 0.9% 0.9
4-16 0.4% 0.4
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 10.5% 10.0% 0.5% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 2.9 3.1 2.4 0.9 0.3 89.5 0.5%