Kent St.
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.0#143
Expected Predictive Rating+2.2#146
Pace64.6#290
Improvement+0.0#179

Offense
Total Offense+2.1#110
First Shot+3.8#69
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#279
Layup/Dunks-4.9#328
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#25
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#62
Freethrows+0.5#151
Improvement-0.2#198

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#179
First Shot+0.8#146
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#246
Layups/Dunks+2.4#100
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#342
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#37
Freethrows-2.5#304
Improvement+0.2#170
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.2% 10.7% 6.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Average Seed 13.2 13.1 13.7
.500 or above 78.1% 85.2% 62.9%
.500 or above in Conference 79.2% 83.2% 70.4%
Conference Champion 9.1% 10.6% 6.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.5% 1.3%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.5%
First Round9.0% 10.5% 5.9%
Second Round1.4% 1.6% 1.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Towson (Home) - 68.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 35 - 46 - 10
Quad 412 - 318 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 40   @ Xavier L 59-73 14%     0 - 1 -0.4 -3.5 +2.5
  Nov 22, 2021 165   James Madison W 74-69 58%     1 - 1 +4.9 +2.6 +2.4
  Nov 23, 2021 264   George Washington W 77-69 77%     2 - 1 +2.4 +11.3 -8.1
  Nov 24, 2021 124   East Tennessee St. L 51-57 47%     2 - 2 -3.2 -14.3 +10.3
  Dec 06, 2021 164   Towson W 70-65 68%    
  Dec 09, 2021 225   Detroit Mercy W 77-69 78%    
  Dec 12, 2021 46   @ West Virginia L 64-75 16%    
  Dec 19, 2021 291   Southern W 76-64 87%    
  Dec 21, 2021 163   Cleveland St. W 69-64 67%    
  Dec 28, 2021 299   Central Michigan W 81-68 88%    
  Jan 01, 2022 118   Toledo W 74-72 56%    
  Jan 04, 2022 212   @ Ball St. W 74-73 54%    
  Jan 08, 2022 73   @ Ohio L 68-76 23%    
  Jan 11, 2022 312   Northern Illinois W 71-58 89%    
  Jan 14, 2022 166   Akron W 68-63 68%    
  Jan 18, 2022 241   @ Eastern Michigan W 72-69 62%    
  Jan 22, 2022 71   @ Buffalo L 73-81 25%    
  Jan 25, 2022 294   Western Michigan W 75-63 86%    
  Jan 29, 2022 220   @ Bowling Green W 74-72 57%    
  Feb 01, 2022 141   @ Miami (OH) L 68-71 40%    
  Feb 05, 2022 241   Eastern Michigan W 75-66 79%    
  Feb 08, 2022 220   Bowling Green W 77-69 75%    
  Feb 12, 2022 166   @ Akron L 65-66 48%    
  Feb 15, 2022 118   @ Toledo L 71-75 36%    
  Feb 19, 2022 73   Ohio L 71-73 44%    
  Feb 22, 2022 212   Ball St. W 77-70 74%    
  Feb 26, 2022 299   @ Central Michigan W 78-71 72%    
  Mar 01, 2022 312   @ Northern Illinois W 68-61 75%    
  Mar 04, 2022 71   Buffalo L 76-78 43%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 12 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-American Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.3 2.7 2.7 1.5 0.6 0.1 9.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 2.6 4.0 2.9 0.9 0.1 11.6 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.6 4.6 5.6 2.5 0.5 15.0 3rd
4th 0.3 2.3 4.9 5.7 2.2 0.4 0.0 15.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.3 5.5 4.9 1.6 0.2 0.0 14.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.2 4.5 3.6 1.0 0.2 11.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.6 2.9 0.7 0.0 9.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.4 1.6 0.4 0.0 5.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.0 3.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.1 2.0 10th
11th 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.4 12th
Total 0.0 0.3 0.5 1.0 2.0 3.7 5.4 8.1 10.4 12.3 12.5 12.9 10.9 8.2 6.1 3.6 1.6 0.6 0.1 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.6    0.5 0.0
18-2 96.1% 1.5    1.3 0.2 0.0
17-3 75.1% 2.7    1.7 0.9 0.1
16-4 43.4% 2.7    1.2 1.2 0.3 0.0
15-5 15.7% 1.3    0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1
14-6 3.3% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 9.1% 9.1 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.6% 54.5% 34.5% 20.0% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 30.6%
18-2 1.6% 41.9% 31.6% 10.3% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.9 15.1%
17-3 3.6% 28.5% 26.0% 2.5% 12.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 2.6 3.4%
16-4 6.1% 21.7% 21.7% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 4.8
15-5 8.2% 18.6% 18.6% 13.2 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 6.7
14-6 10.9% 12.5% 12.5% 13.5 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 9.6
13-7 12.9% 8.0% 8.0% 14.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 11.9
12-8 12.5% 5.7% 5.7% 14.3 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 11.8
11-9 12.3% 4.6% 4.6% 14.4 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 11.8
10-10 10.4% 3.9% 3.9% 15.1 0.0 0.3 0.1 10.0
9-11 8.1% 2.7% 2.7% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 7.8
8-12 5.4% 0.9% 0.9% 15.8 0.0 0.0 5.3
7-13 3.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.7
6-14 2.0% 2.0
5-15 1.0% 1.0
4-16 0.5% 0.5
3-17 0.3% 0.3
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 9.2% 8.9% 0.4% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.7 2.7 2.4 1.4 0.3 90.8 0.4%