Pre-tourney Rankings
Horizon
2022-23


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
133 Youngstown St. 0.0%   22 - 9 15 - 5 22 - 9 15 - 5 +2.0      +5.0 56 -3.0 269 69.5 143 +1.3 143 +2.1 1
172 Northern Kentucky 100.0%   16   20 - 12 14 - 6 20 - 13 14 - 6 -0.3      -1.5 229 +1.1 136 58.3 359 +1.0 148 +0.8 4
189 Cleveland St. 0.0%   20 - 12 14 - 6 20 - 12 14 - 6 -0.9      -0.7 189 -0.3 183 65.2 263 +0.3 163 +0.9 3
194 Wright St. 0.0%   16 - 15 10 - 10 16 - 15 10 - 10 -1.2      -0.7 190 -0.5 191 76.5 24 -3.1 224 -4.6 7
202 Detroit Mercy 0.0%   13 - 19 9 - 11 13 - 19 9 - 11 -1.6      +4.3 68 -5.9 336 67.5 191 -4.7 251 -5.9 9
232 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.0%   18 - 11 14 - 6 18 - 11 14 - 6 -3.5      -1.5 228 -2.0 243 76.8 22 +0.1 166 +1.2 2
236 Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0%   15 - 15 9 - 11 15 - 15 9 - 11 -3.8      -2.9 266 -0.9 201 71.7 90 -3.2 228 -5.7 8
240 Robert Morris 0.0%   14 - 17 10 - 10 14 - 17 10 - 10 -4.0      -4.2 296 +0.2 167 65.9 238 -5.0 257 -4.2 6
273 Oakland 0.0%   12 - 19 11 - 9 12 - 19 11 - 9 -6.1      -0.8 200 -5.2 327 70.0 133 -4.8 253 -2.6 5
360 IUPUI 0.0%   3 - 27 2 - 18 3 - 27 2 - 18 -14.9      -6.4 337 -8.5 359 67.4 192 -18.1 361 -17.7 11
361 Green Bay 0.0%   3 - 29 2 - 18 3 - 29 2 - 18 -17.3      -9.3 357 -8.1 357 63.9 290 -16.2 359 -17.0 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Youngstown St. 1.0 100.0
Northern Kentucky 2.0 100.0
Cleveland St. 2.0 100.0
Wright St. 6.0 100.0
Detroit Mercy 8.0 100.0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 2.0 100.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 8.0 100.0
Robert Morris 6.0 100.0
Oakland 5.0 100.0
IUPUI 10.0 100.0
Green Bay 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Youngstown St. 15 - 5 100.0
Northern Kentucky 14 - 6 100.0
Cleveland St. 14 - 6 100.0
Wright St. 10 - 10 100.0
Detroit Mercy 9 - 11 100.0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 14 - 6 100.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 9 - 11 100.0
Robert Morris 10 - 10 100.0
Oakland 11 - 9 100.0
IUPUI 2 - 18 100.0
Green Bay 2 - 18 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Youngstown St. 100.0% 100.0
Northern Kentucky
Cleveland St.
Wright St.
Detroit Mercy
Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Purdue Fort Wayne
Robert Morris
Oakland
IUPUI
Green Bay


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Youngstown St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.1 7.6 92.2
Cleveland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Wright St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Robert Morris 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Oakland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
IUPUI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Green Bay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Youngstown St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wright St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Morris 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oakland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
IUPUI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Green Bay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 0.0 100.0
2nd Round 3.9% 0.0 96.1 3.9
Sweet Sixteen 0.5% 0.0 99.5 0.5
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0