Pre-tourney Rankings
Detroit Mercy
Horizon
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.6#202
Expected Predictive Rating-4.7#251
Pace67.5#191
Improvement+0.5#137

Offense
Total Offense+4.3#68
First Shot+1.1#141
After Offensive Rebound+3.2#12
Layup/Dunks-8.5#363
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#46
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.6#10
Freethrows+0.6#129
Improvement-0.4#232

Defense
Total Defense-5.9#336
First Shot-4.8#330
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#303
Layups/Dunks+0.7#150
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#204
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#353
Freethrows-0.6#237
Improvement+0.9#89
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 33 - 83 - 14
Quad 410 - 513 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2022 154   @ Boston College L 66-70 30%     0 - 1 -0.1 -2.5 +2.3
  Nov 16, 2022 129   Ohio W 88-74 47%     1 - 1 +13.2 +9.9 +2.9
  Nov 19, 2022 33   @ Florida Atlantic L 55-76 7%     1 - 2 -6.4 -8.1 +0.6
  Nov 21, 2022 208   Bryant L 88-98 51%     1 - 3 -11.9 +18.4 -30.9
  Nov 23, 2022 118   Charlotte W 70-49 44%     2 - 3 +21.0 +11.0 +14.3
  Nov 25, 2022 62   @ Washington St. L 54-96 11%     2 - 4 -30.4 -7.6 -27.0
  Dec 01, 2022 236   @ Purdue Fort Wayne W 75-66 47%     3 - 4 1 - 0 +8.2 -4.7 +12.0
  Dec 03, 2022 189   @ Cleveland St. L 77-92 36%     3 - 5 1 - 1 -13.0 +3.1 -15.6
  Dec 07, 2022 297   @ Tulsa W 76-72 60%     4 - 5 -0.3 +2.7 -2.9
  Dec 10, 2022 118   @ Charlotte L 80-82 OT 24%     4 - 6 +4.0 +11.1 -7.1
  Dec 18, 2022 310   @ Eastern Michigan L 77-79 64%     4 - 7 -7.3 -4.8 -2.4
  Dec 21, 2022 52   @ Cincinnati L 54-72 10%     4 - 8 -5.5 -10.3 +4.0
  Dec 29, 2022 361   Green Bay W 76-59 95%     5 - 8 2 - 1 -3.3 -1.0 -1.1
  Dec 31, 2022 232   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 81-84 68%     5 - 9 2 - 2 -9.5 +5.1 -14.6
  Jan 06, 2023 194   @ Wright St. L 85-90 37%     5 - 10 2 - 3 -3.2 +6.5 -9.3
  Jan 08, 2023 172   @ Northern Kentucky L 76-78 OT 34%     5 - 11 2 - 4 +0.6 +6.1 -5.4
  Jan 12, 2023 133   Youngstown St. L 79-84 48%     5 - 12 2 - 5 -6.0 +6.3 -12.5
  Jan 14, 2023 240   Robert Morris W 87-75 70%     6 - 12 3 - 5 +5.0 +22.2 -15.9
  Jan 21, 2023 360   @ IUPUI W 89-77 83%     7 - 12 4 - 5 +0.1 +11.1 -10.8
  Jan 23, 2023 273   Oakland L 67-76 76%     7 - 13 4 - 6 -18.0 -9.6 -8.9
  Jan 27, 2023 240   @ Robert Morris L 77-85 48%     7 - 14 4 - 7 -9.0 +4.9 -13.8
  Jan 29, 2023 133   @ Youngstown St. L 63-73 26%     7 - 15 4 - 8 -5.0 -6.7 +1.0
  Feb 02, 2023 189   Cleveland St. W 85-67 59%     8 - 15 5 - 8 +14.1 +6.3 +6.9
  Feb 04, 2023 236   Purdue Fort Wayne W 85-52 69%     9 - 15 6 - 8 +26.3 +13.3 +14.3
  Feb 09, 2023 232   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 89-94 46%     9 - 16 6 - 9 -5.5 +14.6 -20.0
  Feb 11, 2023 361   @ Green Bay W 76-71 88%     10 - 16 7 - 9 -9.4 +3.0 -12.0
  Feb 17, 2023 273   @ Oakland W 96-74 56%     11 - 16 8 - 9 +18.9 +14.2 +3.5
  Feb 19, 2023 360   IUPUI W 81-68 93%     12 - 16 9 - 9 -4.9 +5.1 -8.9
  Feb 23, 2023 172   Northern Kentucky L 64-67 57%     12 - 17 9 - 10 -6.3 +2.0 -8.9
  Feb 25, 2023 194   Wright St. L 71-82 60%     12 - 18 9 - 11 -15.2 -0.3 -15.4
  Feb 28, 2023 236   Purdue Fort Wayne W 81-68 69%     13 - 18 +6.3 +5.7 +0.5
  Mar 02, 2023 133   @ Youngstown St. L 66-71 26%     13 - 19 +0.0 -8.4 +8.4
Projected Record 13 - 19 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 100.0% 100.0
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%