Pre-tourney Rankings
Youngstown St.
Horizon
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.0#133
Expected Predictive Rating+1.3#143
Pace69.5#143
Improvement-1.1#274

Offense
Total Offense+5.0#56
First Shot+4.7#52
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#147
Layup/Dunks+3.7#42
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#135
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#211
Freethrows+0.8#108
Improvement-1.6#331

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#269
First Shot-2.7#272
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#217
Layups/Dunks-3.4#317
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#266
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#170
Freethrows+1.2#82
Improvement+0.6#109
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 00 - 0
Quad 34 - 74 - 7
Quad 418 - 222 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 249   @ Canisius W 92-81 65%     1 - 0 +9.1 +6.5 +1.2
  Nov 09, 2022 292   Tennessee Martin W 90-72 86%     2 - 0 +8.2 +6.8 +0.5
  Nov 13, 2022 149   @ Notre Dame L 81-88 41%     2 - 1 -2.8 +7.8 -10.6
  Nov 19, 2022 253   UC San Diego W 73-54 75%     3 - 1 +13.9 +3.2 +12.4
  Nov 20, 2022 191   @ Navy L 67-80 50%     3 - 2 -11.0 +1.2 -13.3
  Nov 26, 2022 265   @ Western Illinois W 88-64 68%     4 - 2 +21.3 +11.7 +9.4
  Dec 01, 2022 172   @ Northern Kentucky L 73-77 2OT 48%     4 - 3 0 - 1 -1.4 -7.2 +6.4
  Dec 04, 2022 194   @ Wright St. W 88-77 51%     5 - 3 1 - 1 +12.8 +11.7 +0.6
  Dec 11, 2022 129   Ohio L 79-81 61%     5 - 4 -2.8 +3.2 -6.0
  Dec 16, 2022 291   Southern W 85-81 86%     6 - 4 -5.7 +3.0 -9.1
  Dec 21, 2022 329   @ Central Michigan W 76-65 80%     7 - 4 +4.1 +10.2 -5.0
  Dec 29, 2022 189   Cleveland St. W 85-71 72%     8 - 4 2 - 1 +10.1 +18.7 -7.3
  Dec 31, 2022 236   Purdue Fort Wayne L 71-76 80%     8 - 5 2 - 2 -11.7 -2.8 -9.0
  Jan 05, 2023 240   Robert Morris W 78-56 80%     9 - 5 3 - 2 +15.0 +12.1 +5.2
  Jan 07, 2023 360   IUPUI W 105-74 96%     10 - 5 4 - 2 +13.1 +21.0 -8.2
  Jan 12, 2023 202   @ Detroit Mercy W 84-79 52%     11 - 5 5 - 2 +6.4 +11.7 -5.0
  Jan 14, 2023 273   @ Oakland W 85-69 69%     12 - 5 6 - 2 +12.9 +3.3 +8.6
  Jan 19, 2023 361   @ Green Bay W 86-70 93%     13 - 5 7 - 2 +1.6 +5.1 -3.7
  Jan 21, 2023 232   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 75-88 60%     13 - 6 7 - 3 -13.5 +3.6 -17.4
  Jan 27, 2023 273   Oakland W 77-73 85%     14 - 6 8 - 3 -5.0 +6.1 -10.7
  Jan 29, 2023 202   Detroit Mercy W 73-63 74%     15 - 6 9 - 3 +5.5 -1.8 +8.0
  Feb 02, 2023 194   Wright St. W 91-89 3OT 72%     16 - 6 10 - 3 -2.2 -8.1 +5.4
  Feb 04, 2023 172   Northern Kentucky W 74-56 70%     17 - 6 11 - 3 +14.7 +15.5 +2.8
  Feb 10, 2023 236   @ Purdue Fort Wayne W 81-72 61%     18 - 6 12 - 3 +8.2 +7.9 +0.2
  Feb 12, 2023 189   @ Cleveland St. L 78-81 50%     18 - 7 12 - 4 -1.0 +4.1 -5.0
  Feb 16, 2023 232   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 87-58 79%     19 - 7 13 - 4 +22.5 +8.2 +13.5
  Feb 18, 2023 361   Green Bay W 95-65 97%     20 - 7 14 - 4 +9.7 +9.3 -0.7
  Feb 21, 2023 240   @ Robert Morris L 64-83 62%     20 - 8 14 - 5 -20.0 -4.1 -16.8
  Feb 25, 2023 360   @ IUPUI W 93-79 90%     21 - 8 15 - 5 +2.1 +14.6 -12.3
  Mar 02, 2023 202   Detroit Mercy W 71-66 74%     22 - 8 +0.5 -9.2 +9.6
  Mar 06, 2023 172   Northern Kentucky L 63-75 59%     22 - 9 -12.3 -1.2 -12.5
Projected Record 22 - 9 15 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 100.0% 100.0
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%