Pre-tourney Rankings
Tennessee
Southeastern
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+16.9#6
Expected Predictive Rating+13.1#24
Pace64.7#275
Improvement-2.4#343

Offense
Total Offense+5.3#50
First Shot+2.0#114
After Offensive Rebound+3.3#11
Layup/Dunks+0.6#149
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#203
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#103
Freethrows+0.0#177
Improvement+0.4#132

Defense
Total Defense+11.6#2
First Shot+9.2#2
After Offensive Rebounds+2.4#9
Layups/Dunks+4.6#31
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#25
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#33
Freethrows-0.9#265
Improvement-2.8#360
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.2% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 1.9% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 76.4% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 99.9% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 4.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round85.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen59.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight31.2% n/a n/a
Final Four17.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game9.3% n/a n/a
National Champion4.7% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 4 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 43 - 4
Quad 1b4 - 37 - 7
Quad 23 - 310 - 10
Quad 36 - 016 - 10
Quad 47 - 023 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 295   Tennessee Tech W 75-43 99%     1 - 0 +21.9 +0.0 +23.6
  Nov 13, 2022 59   Colorado L 66-78 77%     1 - 1 -3.0 -7.7 +6.2
  Nov 16, 2022 190   Florida Gulf Coast W 81-50 96%     2 - 1 +27.1 +12.2 +17.3
  Nov 23, 2022 102   Butler W 71-45 87%     3 - 1 +30.5 +5.3 +25.8
  Nov 24, 2022 42   USC W 73-66 OT 72%     4 - 1 +17.7 +1.3 +16.1
  Nov 25, 2022 9   Kansas W 64-50 51%     5 - 1 +30.5 +3.6 +27.5
  Nov 30, 2022 338   McNeese St. W 76-40 99%     6 - 1 +21.9 -0.3 +24.5
  Dec 04, 2022 262   Alcorn St. W 94-40 98%     7 - 1 +45.5 +18.3 +28.0
  Dec 07, 2022 176   Eastern Kentucky W 84-49 96%     8 - 1 +31.4 +4.8 +24.3
  Dec 11, 2022 25   Maryland W 56-53 66%     9 - 1 +15.7 -7.1 +22.9
  Dec 17, 2022 10   @ Arizona L 70-75 41%     9 - 2 +14.3 +3.2 +11.2
  Dec 21, 2022 323   Austin Peay W 86-44 99%     10 - 2 +29.8 +13.7 +18.9
  Dec 28, 2022 106   @ Mississippi W 63-59 82%     11 - 2 1 - 0 +11.3 -1.6 +13.2
  Jan 03, 2023 49   Mississippi St. W 87-53 83%     12 - 2 2 - 0 +40.7 +33.0 +12.0
  Jan 07, 2023 199   @ South Carolina W 85-42 92%     13 - 2 3 - 0 +44.5 +17.1 +29.5
  Jan 10, 2023 79   Vanderbilt W 77-68 88%     14 - 2 4 - 0 +13.4 +10.5 +3.8
  Jan 14, 2023 26   Kentucky L 56-63 76%     14 - 3 4 - 1 +2.6 -13.2 +15.7
  Jan 17, 2023 49   @ Mississippi St. W 70-59 66%     15 - 3 5 - 1 +23.7 +14.9 +9.8
  Jan 21, 2023 126   @ LSU W 77-56 86%     16 - 3 6 - 1 +26.3 +14.3 +14.1
  Jan 25, 2023 142   Georgia W 70-41 95%     17 - 3 7 - 1 +27.6 -2.5 +30.2
  Jan 28, 2023 5   Texas W 82-71 61%     18 - 3 +25.0 +21.7 +4.0
  Feb 01, 2023 54   @ Florida L 54-67 67%     18 - 4 7 - 2 -0.7 -6.2 +4.5
  Feb 04, 2023 29   Auburn W 46-43 77%     19 - 4 8 - 2 +12.3 -18.9 +31.4
  Feb 08, 2023 79   @ Vanderbilt L 65-66 73%     19 - 5 8 - 3 +9.4 +6.7 +2.4
  Feb 11, 2023 51   Missouri L 85-86 83%     19 - 6 8 - 4 +5.6 +17.9 -12.3
  Feb 15, 2023 1   Alabama W 68-59 51%     20 - 6 9 - 4 +25.7 +5.8 +20.0
  Feb 18, 2023 26   @ Kentucky L 54-66 55%     20 - 7 9 - 5 +3.5 -7.3 +9.6
  Feb 21, 2023 27   @ Texas A&M L 63-68 55%     20 - 8 9 - 6 +10.5 +3.3 +6.8
  Feb 25, 2023 199   South Carolina W 85-45 97%     21 - 8 10 - 6 +35.6 +29.2 +15.4
  Feb 28, 2023 17   Arkansas W 75-57 74%     22 - 8 11 - 6 +28.3 +12.9 +16.5
  Mar 04, 2023 29   @ Auburn L 70-79 56%     22 - 9 11 - 7 +6.2 +11.9 -6.5
  Mar 09, 2023 106   Mississippi W 70-55 88%     23 - 9 +19.3 +9.5 +11.9
  Mar 10, 2023 51   Missouri L 71-79 76%     23 - 10 +1.6 -1.0 +2.4
  Mar 16, 2023 101   Louisiana W 74-62 87%    
Projected Record 24 - 10 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 4.0 0.2 1.7 23.5 51.0 20.9 2.7 0.1 100.0%
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 4.0 0.2 1.7 23.5 51.0 20.9 2.7 0.1 100.0%