Pre-tourney Rankings
North Carolina
Atlantic Coast
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.0#39
Expected Predictive Rating+9.4#57
Pace71.6#94
Improvement-0.8#259

Offense
Total Offense+5.3#48
First Shot+3.0#85
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#31
Layup/Dunks+0.7#144
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#167
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#250
Freethrows+3.7#5
Improvement-2.5#352

Defense
Total Defense+5.7#41
First Shot+4.2#55
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#50
Layups/Dunks-0.8#214
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#307
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#23
Freethrows+2.5#23
Improvement+1.7#22
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 26.2% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 26.2% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four24.3% n/a n/a
First Round15.5% n/a n/a
Second Round6.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen2.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.9% n/a n/a
Final Four0.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 41 - 9
Quad 26 - 47 - 13
Quad 37 - 014 - 13
Quad 46 - 020 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 157   UNC Wilmington W 69-56 89%     1 - 0 +10.4 +3.0 +8.6
  Nov 11, 2022 71   College of Charleston W 102-86 72%     2 - 0 +21.0 +23.2 -3.5
  Nov 15, 2022 215   Gardner-Webb W 72-66 93%     3 - 0 +0.9 -0.6 +1.4
  Nov 20, 2022 98   James Madison W 80-64 81%     4 - 0 +17.8 +3.7 +13.0
  Nov 24, 2022 155   Portland W 89-81 83%     5 - 0 +8.9 +10.8 -2.1
  Nov 25, 2022 18   Iowa St. L 65-70 42%     5 - 1 +8.2 +7.5 +0.2
  Nov 27, 2022 1   Alabama L 101-103 4OT 20%     5 - 2 +17.7 +8.3 +10.0
  Nov 30, 2022 24   @ Indiana L 65-77 32%     5 - 3 +3.7 -0.3 +4.0
  Dec 04, 2022 74   @ Virginia Tech L 72-80 51%     5 - 4 0 - 1 +2.7 +3.3 -0.7
  Dec 10, 2022 143   Georgia Tech W 75-59 88%     6 - 4 1 - 1 +14.5 +4.7 +10.4
  Dec 13, 2022 324   The Citadel W 100-67 97%     7 - 4 +20.8 +11.8 +6.0
  Dec 17, 2022 46   Ohio St. W 89-84 OT 53%     8 - 4 +15.3 +5.2 +9.4
  Dec 21, 2022 44   Michigan W 80-76 52%     9 - 4 +14.5 +8.4 +5.9
  Dec 30, 2022 67   @ Pittsburgh L 74-76 49%     9 - 5 1 - 2 +9.4 +2.4 +7.0
  Jan 04, 2023 84   Wake Forest W 88-79 75%     10 - 5 2 - 2 +12.9 +13.5 -0.7
  Jan 07, 2023 149   Notre Dame W 81-64 88%     11 - 5 3 - 2 +15.3 +6.8 +9.0
  Jan 10, 2023 32   @ Virginia L 58-65 36%     11 - 6 3 - 3 +7.8 +0.0 +7.0
  Jan 14, 2023 261   @ Louisville W 80-59 89%     12 - 6 4 - 3 +18.7 +3.6 +14.6
  Jan 17, 2023 154   Boston College W 72-64 89%     13 - 6 5 - 3 +5.9 +4.5 +1.9
  Jan 21, 2023 45   North Carolina St. W 80-69 63%     14 - 6 6 - 3 +18.5 +8.8 +9.6
  Jan 24, 2023 103   @ Syracuse W 72-68 64%     15 - 6 7 - 3 +11.5 -0.7 +12.0
  Feb 01, 2023 67   Pittsburgh L 64-65 71%     15 - 7 7 - 4 +4.4 -3.9 +8.2
  Feb 04, 2023 19   @ Duke L 57-63 31%     15 - 8 7 - 5 +10.1 -3.2 +13.0
  Feb 07, 2023 84   @ Wake Forest L 85-92 55%     15 - 9 7 - 6 +2.8 +1.8 +2.2
  Feb 11, 2023 50   Clemson W 91-71 66%     16 - 9 8 - 6 +26.6 +22.0 +4.7
  Feb 13, 2023 37   Miami (FL) L 72-80 60%     16 - 10 8 - 7 +0.3 -3.8 +4.5
  Feb 19, 2023 45   @ North Carolina St. L 69-77 41%     16 - 11 8 - 8 +5.4 +2.9 +2.4
  Feb 22, 2023 149   @ Notre Dame W 63-59 74%     17 - 11 9 - 8 +8.2 -3.7 +12.4
  Feb 25, 2023 32   Virginia W 71-63 59%     18 - 11 10 - 8 +16.8 +6.8 +10.3
  Feb 27, 2023 179   @ Florida St. W 77-66 80%     19 - 11 11 - 8 +13.3 +4.8 +8.5
  Mar 04, 2023 19   Duke L 57-62 53%     19 - 12 11 - 9 +5.2 -5.3 +10.0
  Mar 08, 2023 154   Boston College W 85-61 83%     20 - 12 +24.9 +23.5 +3.9
  Mar 09, 2023 32   Virginia L 59-68 47%     20 - 13 +2.8 +1.6 -0.1
Projected Record 20 - 13 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 100.0% 26.2% 26.2% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.5 18.3 7.4 0.0 73.8 26.2%
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 26.2% 0.0% 26.2% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.5 18.3 7.4 0.0 73.8 26.2%