Pre-tourney Rankings
North Carolina St.
Atlantic Coast
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.4#45
Expected Predictive Rating+10.8#42
Pace72.0#76
Improvement-1.7#318

Offense
Total Offense+6.7#30
First Shot+5.9#34
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#107
Layup/Dunks+1.9#98
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#63
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#113
Freethrows+0.3#155
Improvement+0.3#143

Defense
Total Defense+3.8#74
First Shot+3.6#68
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#159
Layups/Dunks-1.0#229
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#131
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#18
Freethrows-0.2#207
Improvement-2.0#344
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 53.1% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 53.1% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four41.1% n/a n/a
First Round33.4% n/a n/a
Second Round13.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen5.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.6% n/a n/a
Final Four0.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.2% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 6
Quad 27 - 48 - 10
Quad 35 - 013 - 10
Quad 410 - 023 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 323   Austin Peay W 99-50 97%     1 - 0 +36.8 +16.8 +17.9
  Nov 11, 2022 229   Campbell W 73-67 93%     2 - 0 -0.3 -4.2 +4.0
  Nov 15, 2022 219   Florida International W 107-74 92%     3 - 0 +27.6 +15.4 +7.1
  Nov 19, 2022 334   Elon W 74-63 98%     4 - 0 -2.7 -5.3 +2.6
  Nov 23, 2022 9   Kansas L 74-80 28%     4 - 1 +10.5 +6.6 +4.3
  Nov 24, 2022 78   Dayton W 76-64 61%     5 - 1 +19.5 +8.8 +10.9
  Nov 25, 2022 102   Butler W 76-61 72%     6 - 1 +19.5 +11.3 +8.7
  Nov 29, 2022 319   William & Mary W 85-64 97%     7 - 1 +9.2 +2.9 +5.6
  Dec 02, 2022 67   Pittsburgh L 60-68 69%     7 - 2 0 - 1 -2.6 -13.1 +10.5
  Dec 06, 2022 344   Coppin St. W 94-72 98%     8 - 2 +7.2 +6.4 -0.7
  Dec 10, 2022 37   @ Miami (FL) L 73-80 35%     8 - 3 0 - 2 +7.3 +4.0 +3.2
  Dec 13, 2022 90   Furman W 92-73 77%     9 - 3 +21.9 +6.5 +13.1
  Dec 17, 2022 79   Vanderbilt W 70-66 62%     10 - 3 +11.4 +5.8 +6.0
  Dec 22, 2022 261   Louisville W 76-64 95%     11 - 3 1 - 2 +3.7 -0.2 +4.1
  Dec 30, 2022 50   @ Clemson L 64-78 42%     11 - 4 1 - 3 -1.4 -2.7 +1.4
  Jan 04, 2023 19   Duke W 84-60 51%     12 - 4 2 - 3 +34.2 +15.7 +18.1
  Jan 07, 2023 74   @ Virginia Tech W 73-69 49%     13 - 4 3 - 3 +14.7 +4.9 +9.9
  Jan 14, 2023 37   Miami (FL) W 83-81 OT 58%     14 - 4 4 - 3 +10.3 +5.9 +4.3
  Jan 17, 2023 143   @ Georgia Tech W 78-66 72%     15 - 4 5 - 3 +16.5 +7.2 +9.1
  Jan 21, 2023 39   @ North Carolina L 69-80 37%     15 - 5 5 - 4 +3.0 +2.8 +0.3
  Jan 24, 2023 149   Notre Dame W 85-82 87%     16 - 5 6 - 4 +1.3 +7.1 -5.9
  Jan 28, 2023 84   @ Wake Forest W 79-77 52%     17 - 5 7 - 4 +11.8 +10.9 +1.0
  Feb 01, 2023 179   Florida St. W 94-66 90%     18 - 5 8 - 4 +24.4 +19.5 +5.1
  Feb 04, 2023 143   Georgia Tech W 72-64 87%     19 - 5 9 - 4 +6.5 +1.2 +5.5
  Feb 07, 2023 32   @ Virginia L 50-63 34%     19 - 6 9 - 5 +1.8 -4.1 +3.2
  Feb 11, 2023 154   @ Boston College W 92-62 74%     20 - 6 10 - 5 +33.9 +22.6 +11.1
  Feb 14, 2023 103   @ Syracuse L 72-75 61%     20 - 7 10 - 6 +4.5 +0.3 +4.2
  Feb 19, 2023 39   North Carolina W 77-69 59%     21 - 7 11 - 6 +16.0 +10.0 +6.2
  Feb 22, 2023 84   Wake Forest W 90-74 74%     22 - 7 12 - 6 +19.9 +21.0 -0.4
  Feb 25, 2023 50   Clemson L 71-96 64%     22 - 8 12 - 7 -18.4 +1.8 -20.2
  Feb 28, 2023 19   @ Duke L 67-71 29%     22 - 9 12 - 8 +12.1 +8.5 +3.3
  Mar 08, 2023 74   Virginia Tech W 97-77 60%     23 - 9 +27.7 +28.1 +0.1
  Mar 09, 2023 50   Clemson L 54-80 53%     23 - 10 -16.4 -12.9 -3.9
  Mar 17, 2023 12   Creighton L 72-76 34%    
Projected Record 23 - 11 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 100.0% 53.1% 53.1% 11.0 0.0 0.4 4.3 41.3 7.0 0.0 46.9 53.1%
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 53.1% 0.0% 53.1% 11.0 0.0 0.4 4.3 41.3 7.0 0.0 46.9 53.1%