Pre-tourney Rankings
SMU
American Athletic
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.3#169
Expected Predictive Rating-1.6#195
Pace72.2#70
Improvement+0.3#155

Offense
Total Offense-1.2#212
First Shot-2.1#247
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#105
Layup/Dunks+2.4#79
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#236
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#292
Freethrows-0.6#224
Improvement+1.3#53

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#142
First Shot+1.6#117
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#257
Layups/Dunks+1.0#137
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#101
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#190
Freethrows-0.2#205
Improvement-1.0#293
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 41 - 8
Quad 21 - 82 - 16
Quad 32 - 54 - 21
Quad 46 - 110 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 314   Texas A&M - Commerce W 77-60 85%     1 - 0 +5.5 -2.8 +8.3
  Nov 11, 2022 78   @ Dayton L 62-74 16%     1 - 1 -1.6 -2.5 +0.5
  Nov 15, 2022 57   New Mexico L 63-84 27%     1 - 2 -14.9 -14.8 +1.7
  Nov 19, 2022 348   Evansville W 55-47 91%     2 - 2 -7.2 -21.3 +14.1
  Nov 22, 2022 101   Louisiana L 72-76 OT 42%     2 - 3 -2.2 -8.8 +6.9
  Nov 27, 2022 356   Lamar W 75-50 93%     3 - 3 +7.7 -2.7 +11.6
  Nov 30, 2022 27   @ Texas A&M L 64-83 8%     3 - 4 -3.5 -1.6 -1.8
  Dec 03, 2022 311   Jackson St. L 68-69 85%     3 - 5 -12.3 -8.5 -3.8
  Dec 07, 2022 66   Arizona St. L 57-75 29%     3 - 6 -12.5 -4.6 -9.7
  Dec 10, 2022 21   TCU L 75-83 11%     3 - 7 +5.1 +2.6 +3.3
  Dec 22, 2022 76   Iona W 85-81 22%     4 - 7 +11.7 +10.3 +1.1
  Dec 23, 2022 28   Utah St. W 77-74 12%     5 - 7 +15.4 +9.4 +6.0
  Dec 25, 2022 130   @ Hawaii L 57-58 30%     5 - 8 +4.0 -6.8 +10.8
  Jan 01, 2023 297   Tulsa W 92-67 83%     6 - 8 1 - 0 +14.8 +17.2 -1.6
  Jan 05, 2023 2   @ Houston L 53-87 3%     6 - 9 1 - 1 -11.9 -5.1 -8.7
  Jan 08, 2023 63   @ Central Florida L 53-85 14%     6 - 10 1 - 2 -20.4 -8.1 -15.3
  Jan 11, 2023 97   Tulane L 88-97 42%     6 - 11 1 - 3 -7.2 +3.6 -9.6
  Jan 14, 2023 52   Cincinnati L 52-54 26%     6 - 12 1 - 4 +4.6 -15.4 +19.9
  Jan 18, 2023 297   @ Tulsa W 79-76 OT 65%     7 - 12 2 - 4 -1.3 -4.7 +3.1
  Jan 22, 2023 99   Wichita St. L 69-71 42%     7 - 13 2 - 5 -0.2 -5.7 +5.6
  Jan 26, 2023 22   @ Memphis L 84-99 7%     7 - 14 2 - 6 +1.1 +6.3 -2.9
  Jan 29, 2023 148   South Florida W 82-80 55%     8 - 14 3 - 6 +0.3 +3.0 -2.8
  Feb 01, 2023 97   @ Tulane L 52-74 22%     8 - 15 3 - 7 -14.2 -20.7 +7.5
  Feb 04, 2023 173   @ East Carolina L 72-77 39%     8 - 16 3 - 8 -2.4 +2.2 -4.6
  Feb 08, 2023 112   Temple W 72-71 46%     9 - 16 4 - 8 +1.8 -3.3 +5.1
  Feb 12, 2023 99   @ Wichita St. L 89-91 2OT 22%     9 - 17 4 - 9 +5.7 +5.4 +0.7
  Feb 16, 2023 2   Houston L 65-80 7%     9 - 18 4 - 10 +1.1 +3.3 -2.8
  Feb 19, 2023 173   East Carolina W 86-70 62%     10 - 18 5 - 10 +12.7 +7.5 +4.4
  Feb 25, 2023 148   @ South Florida L 67-71 33%     10 - 19 5 - 11 +0.3 +0.3 -0.2
  Mar 02, 2023 22   Memphis L 62-81 17%     10 - 20 5 - 12 -8.9 -8.7 +0.6
  Mar 05, 2023 52   @ Cincinnati L 74-97 12%     10 - 21 5 - 13 -10.5 +5.7 -15.7
  Mar 09, 2023 63   Central Florida L 70-76 20%     10 - 22 +2.6 +5.2 -2.9
Projected Record 10 - 22 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%