Pre-tourney Rankings
Abilene Christian
Western Athletic
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.8#204
Expected Predictive Rating-2.8#220
Pace71.9#80
Improvement+1.0#92

Offense
Total Offense+0.1#170
First Shot+1.0#146
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#250
Layup/Dunks+4.0#34
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#239
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#266
Freethrows-0.2#194
Improvement+0.9#77

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#233
First Shot-3.8#309
After Offensive Rebounds+1.9#26
Layups/Dunks-2.0#265
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#167
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#161
Freethrows-2.5#337
Improvement+0.1#172
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 34 - 94 - 16
Quad 45 - 19 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 311   Jackson St. W 65-56 82%     1 - 0 -2.3 -17.3 +14.4
  Nov 11, 2022 27   @ Texas A&M L 58-77 6%     1 - 1 -3.5 -6.1 +2.2
  Nov 21, 2022 194   Wright St. L 61-77 48%     1 - 2 -17.2 -17.4 +1.5
  Nov 22, 2022 198   Weber St. L 67-77 49%     1 - 3 -11.5 -6.0 -5.2
  Nov 23, 2022 146   UC Riverside L 65-76 38%     1 - 4 -9.6 -6.7 -3.1
  Nov 27, 2022 224   @ Northern Arizona W 92-82 43%     2 - 4 +10.0 +16.8 -6.7
  Dec 06, 2022 23   @ Kansas St. L 64-81 6%     2 - 5 -1.1 +2.6 -4.3
  Dec 10, 2022 314   Texas A&M - Commerce W 83-64 82%     3 - 5 +7.5 +9.5 -0.6
  Dec 17, 2022 287   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 65-59 57%     4 - 5 +2.5 +5.0 -1.5
  Dec 29, 2022 144   @ Stephen F. Austin L 68-75 28%     4 - 6 0 - 1 -2.6 +0.7 -3.5
  Dec 31, 2022 164   Tarleton St. W 69-63 54%     5 - 6 1 - 1 +3.1 -6.1 +9.0
  Jan 07, 2023 115   Southern Utah L 72-74 41%     5 - 7 1 - 2 -1.5 -5.6 +4.2
  Jan 11, 2023 254   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 86-103 51%     5 - 8 1 - 3 -19.1 -5.6 -10.4
  Jan 14, 2023 164   @ Tarleton St. L 63-72 32%     5 - 9 1 - 4 -6.0 -5.1 -1.1
  Jan 18, 2023 82   @ Utah Valley L 54-84 14%     5 - 10 1 - 5 -20.0 -15.1 -2.9
  Jan 21, 2023 242   Texas Arlington W 84-68 70%     6 - 10 2 - 5 +8.9 +15.9 -5.7
  Jan 26, 2023 113   Grand Canyon L 73-75 40%     6 - 11 2 - 6 -1.2 +1.9 -3.2
  Jan 28, 2023 158   Utah Tech W 81-76 53%     7 - 11 3 - 6 +2.3 +1.2 +0.9
  Feb 01, 2023 153   @ Seattle W 83-68 29%     8 - 11 4 - 6 +19.0 +14.6 +4.4
  Feb 04, 2023 161   @ California Baptist W 87-71 31%     9 - 11 5 - 6 +19.2 +23.4 -3.0
  Feb 11, 2023 81   Sam Houston St. L 62-77 28%     9 - 12 5 - 7 -10.7 -0.5 -11.5
  Feb 17, 2023 113   @ Grand Canyon L 84-94 21%     9 - 13 5 - 8 -3.2 +11.7 -15.0
  Feb 22, 2023 144   Stephen F. Austin L 87-91 2OT 49%     9 - 14 5 - 9 -5.6 +0.6 -5.5
  Feb 25, 2023 82   Utah Valley L 62-66 29%     9 - 15 5 - 10 +0.1 -6.4 +6.4
  Mar 03, 2023 81   @ Sam Houston St. L 54-72 13%     9 - 16 5 - 11 -7.8 -6.9 -2.1
  Mar 07, 2023 161   California Baptist L 62-69 42%     9 - 17 -6.8 -10.6 +4.0
Projected Record 9 - 17 5 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%