Pre-tourney Rankings
Ball St.
Mid-American
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.0#165
Expected Predictive Rating+0.8#153
Pace68.0#179
Improvement-1.7#317

Offense
Total Offense+2.1#114
First Shot+1.0#145
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#93
Layup/Dunks-0.2#193
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#254
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#212
Freethrows+2.9#16
Improvement-0.6#247

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#242
First Shot-1.1#208
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#280
Layups/Dunks-0.3#189
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#217
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#204
Freethrows-0.3#220
Improvement-1.1#302
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 22 - 52 - 6
Quad 32 - 34 - 9
Quad 414 - 318 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2022 95   @ Indiana St. L 71-83 22%     0 - 1 -3.9 -0.7 -2.9
  Nov 16, 2022 318   @ Nebraska Omaha W 71-61 71%     1 - 1 +4.2 -8.7 +12.5
  Nov 25, 2022 120   Vermont L 73-78 39%     1 - 2 -2.0 +5.1 -7.4
  Nov 26, 2022 151   Missouri St. W 67-64 46%     2 - 2 +4.1 +0.4 +4.0
  Nov 27, 2022 96   San Jose St. L 65-67 32%     2 - 3 +2.8 +0.1 +2.5
  Dec 03, 2022 121   @ Duquesne L 77-78 29%     2 - 4 +4.8 +13.6 -8.8
  Dec 07, 2022 345   @ Eastern Illinois W 76-59 80%     3 - 4 +8.0 +7.9 +1.8
  Dec 10, 2022 348   Evansville W 88-69 92%     4 - 4 +3.8 +10.8 -7.1
  Dec 17, 2022 267   Illinois St. W 83-69 71%     5 - 4 +8.3 +8.3 +0.1
  Dec 21, 2022 211   Georgia Southern W 58-54 69%     6 - 4 -1.0 -11.0 +10.3
  Dec 28, 2022 307   Chicago St. W 70-63 85%     7 - 4 -4.0 -1.0 -2.1
  Jan 03, 2023 88   @ Toledo W 90-83 19%     8 - 4 1 - 0 +16.1 +17.8 -1.4
  Jan 06, 2023 109   Akron W 70-63 46%     9 - 4 2 - 0 +8.1 +0.5 +8.0
  Jan 10, 2023 129   @ Ohio L 71-76 31%     9 - 5 2 - 1 +0.1 -4.8 +5.1
  Jan 14, 2023 270   Miami (OH) W 75-61 80%     10 - 5 3 - 1 +5.3 -3.1 +8.5
  Jan 17, 2023 313   Western Michigan W 71-70 86%     11 - 5 4 - 1 -10.4 -10.3 -0.1
  Jan 20, 2023 72   @ Kent St. L 65-86 16%     11 - 6 4 - 2 -10.1 +2.7 -13.8
  Jan 24, 2023 212   Buffalo L 65-91 69%     11 - 7 4 - 3 -31.0 -12.8 -17.3
  Jan 28, 2023 248   @ Northern Illinois W 87-69 57%     12 - 7 5 - 3 +16.3 +17.7 -0.6
  Jan 31, 2023 281   @ Bowling Green W 69-60 63%     13 - 7 6 - 3 +5.6 -4.1 +10.2
  Feb 03, 2023 310   Eastern Michigan W 91-90 OT 85%     14 - 7 7 - 3 -10.3 +1.2 -11.6
  Feb 07, 2023 329   @ Central Michigan W 65-51 75%     15 - 7 8 - 3 +7.1 -3.0 +11.2
  Feb 11, 2023 281   Bowling Green W 93-72 81%     16 - 7 9 - 3 +11.7 +12.4 -1.0
  Feb 14, 2023 248   Northern Illinois W 87-77 77%     17 - 7 10 - 3 +2.4 +8.3 -6.2
  Feb 18, 2023 313   @ Western Michigan L 68-78 70%     17 - 8 10 - 4 -15.5 -10.8 -4.7
  Feb 21, 2023 72   Kent St. W 82-70 32%     18 - 8 11 - 4 +16.9 +19.3 -1.5
  Feb 25, 2023 310   @ Eastern Michigan L 68-75 70%     18 - 9 11 - 5 -12.3 -7.9 -4.6
  Feb 28, 2023 109   @ Akron L 83-87 25%     18 - 10 11 - 6 +3.0 +13.1 -10.1
  Mar 03, 2023 88   Toledo L 81-87 38%     18 - 11 11 - 7 -2.8 +5.0 -8.0
  Mar 09, 2023 129   Ohio L 70-90 42%     18 - 12 -17.9 -8.0 -8.8
Projected Record 18 - 12 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%