Pre-tourney Rankings
Central Florida
American Athletic
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.6#63
Expected Predictive Rating+5.4#99
Pace63.0#313
Improvement-1.4#297

Offense
Total Offense+3.3#92
First Shot+1.1#139
After Offensive Rebound+2.2#40
Layup/Dunks-2.3#281
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#151
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#67
Freethrows-0.1#182
Improvement+0.4#124

Defense
Total Defense+5.3#47
First Shot+5.3#40
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#173
Layups/Dunks+1.8#101
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#31
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#103
Freethrows+0.0#189
Improvement-1.8#336
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b2 - 22 - 6
Quad 23 - 45 - 10
Quad 34 - 49 - 14
Quad 49 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 156   UNC Asheville L 95-98 2OT 85%     0 - 1 -5.4 +5.0 -9.9
  Nov 11, 2022 179   Florida St. W 68-54 87%     1 - 1 +10.4 -3.3 +14.5
  Nov 14, 2022 265   Western Illinois W 70-37 94%     2 - 1 +24.3 -2.3 +29.6
  Nov 18, 2022 41   Oklahoma St. W 60-56 OT 42%     3 - 1 +14.7 -6.7 +21.3
  Nov 20, 2022 85   Santa Clara W 57-50 57%     4 - 1 +13.8 -7.9 +22.4
  Nov 23, 2022 348   Evansville W 76-56 98%     5 - 1 +4.8 -3.9 +7.9
  Nov 27, 2022 37   Miami (FL) L 64-66 51%     5 - 2 +6.3 -0.2 +6.3
  Dec 04, 2022 136   Samford W 80-77 OT 82%     6 - 2 +1.9 -1.3 +3.0
  Dec 11, 2022 164   Tarleton St. W 75-49 86%     7 - 2 +23.1 +12.0 +14.5
  Dec 14, 2022 106   @ Mississippi W 72-61 55%     8 - 2 +18.3 +11.0 +8.4
  Dec 17, 2022 51   Missouri L 66-68 46%     8 - 3 +7.6 +0.7 +6.7
  Dec 21, 2022 174   Stetson W 73-58 87%     9 - 3 +11.5 +11.0 +4.2
  Dec 28, 2022 99   Wichita St. W 52-45 74%     10 - 3 1 - 0 +8.8 -2.6 +13.5
  Dec 31, 2022 2   @ Houston L 65-71 11%     10 - 4 1 - 1 +16.1 +11.3 +4.1
  Jan 04, 2023 173   @ East Carolina W 64-61 72%     11 - 4 2 - 1 +5.6 -0.3 +6.3
  Jan 08, 2023 169   SMU W 85-53 86%     12 - 4 3 - 1 +28.8 +19.6 +12.2
  Jan 11, 2023 22   Memphis W 113-104 2OT 44%     13 - 4 4 - 1 +19.1 +20.2 -3.1
  Jan 14, 2023 97   @ Tulane L 69-77 53%     13 - 5 4 - 2 -0.2 -10.3 +11.1
  Jan 21, 2023 148   @ South Florida L 72-85 66%     13 - 6 4 - 3 -8.7 +0.5 -9.0
  Jan 25, 2023 2   Houston L 71-82 24%     13 - 7 4 - 4 +5.1 +17.6 -14.1
  Jan 28, 2023 112   Temple L 70-77 OT 77%     13 - 8 4 - 5 -6.2 -7.6 +2.0
  Feb 04, 2023 52   @ Cincinnati L 64-73 35%     13 - 9 4 - 6 +3.5 -5.9 +9.8
  Feb 08, 2023 99   @ Wichita St. W 72-67 53%     14 - 9 5 - 6 +12.7 +6.6 +6.3
  Feb 11, 2023 297   Tulsa W 96-52 95%     15 - 9 6 - 6 +33.8 +28.8 +9.9
  Feb 16, 2023 22   @ Memphis L 63-64 24%     15 - 10 6 - 7 +15.1 -4.9 +20.0
  Feb 19, 2023 52   Cincinnati L 71-73 58%     15 - 11 6 - 8 +4.6 +9.2 -4.8
  Feb 22, 2023 148   South Florida L 75-82 83%     15 - 12 6 - 9 -8.7 -0.2 -8.3
  Feb 26, 2023 297   @ Tulsa W 68-49 88%     16 - 12 7 - 9 +14.7 +1.7 +15.4
  Mar 02, 2023 112   @ Temple L 55-57 57%     16 - 13 7 - 10 +4.8 -4.3 +8.7
  Mar 05, 2023 173   East Carolina W 84-58 87%     17 - 13 8 - 10 +22.7 +14.0 +9.9
  Mar 09, 2023 169   SMU W 76-70 80%     18 - 13 +5.7 +7.1 -1.2
  Mar 10, 2023 22   Memphis L 76-81 33%     18 - 14 +8.1 +7.1 +1.2
Projected Record 18 - 14 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.7 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.7 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%