Pre-tourney Rankings
Chattanooga
Southern
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.7#177
Expected Predictive Rating-2.3#214
Pace69.5#145
Improvement-0.8#255

Offense
Total Offense+2.2#112
First Shot+2.2#108
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#184
Layup/Dunks-2.6#289
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#362
3 Pt Jumpshots+9.6#2
Freethrows+0.1#168
Improvement-1.5#324

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#266
First Shot-3.4#295
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#121
Layups/Dunks+1.7#103
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#267
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#323
Freethrows-0.8#257
Improvement+0.8#100
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 41 - 5
Quad 33 - 94 - 14
Quad 411 - 315 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 71   @ College of Charleston L 78-85 14%     0 - 1 +4.0 +4.8 -0.4
  Nov 15, 2022 106   @ Mississippi L 58-70 22%     0 - 2 -4.7 -5.8 +0.2
  Nov 23, 2022 159   Lipscomb L 66-72 58%     0 - 3 -8.7 -6.7 -2.1
  Nov 26, 2022 217   Murray St. W 69-66 68%     1 - 3 -2.4 -3.6 +1.5
  Nov 30, 2022 295   @ Tennessee Tech W 81-74 63%     2 - 3 +2.9 +6.3 -3.3
  Dec 03, 2022 215   @ Gardner-Webb W 82-71 44%     3 - 3 +11.8 +10.0 +1.4
  Dec 06, 2022 232   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 88-76 71%     4 - 3 +5.5 +12.4 -6.8
  Dec 15, 2022 122   @ Middle Tennessee W 82-73 27%     5 - 3 +14.7 +17.6 -2.4
  Dec 18, 2022 123   Belmont L 79-83 OT 48%     5 - 4 -4.2 +1.2 -5.3
  Dec 21, 2022 142   @ Georgia L 65-72 31%     5 - 5 -2.4 -1.2 -1.6
  Dec 29, 2022 324   @ The Citadel L 68-76 70%     5 - 6 0 - 1 -14.2 -3.4 -11.3
  Dec 31, 2022 226   @ Mercer W 80-51 48%     6 - 6 1 - 1 +28.9 +13.1 +17.3
  Jan 04, 2023 119   @ UNC Greensboro L 61-73 26%     6 - 7 1 - 2 -6.0 -3.7 -2.7
  Jan 07, 2023 350   VMI W 85-78 91%     7 - 7 2 - 2 -8.5 +5.4 -13.6
  Jan 11, 2023 237   Western Carolina W 95-76 72%     8 - 7 3 - 2 +12.2 +21.6 -8.7
  Jan 14, 2023 136   @ Samford L 74-75 30%     8 - 8 3 - 3 +3.9 +6.4 -2.6
  Jan 18, 2023 90   Furman L 69-77 37%     8 - 9 3 - 4 -5.1 -4.6 -0.6
  Jan 21, 2023 241   East Tennessee St. L 62-78 73%     8 - 10 3 - 5 -23.0 -15.1 -7.6
  Jan 25, 2023 223   Wofford L 80-85 69%     8 - 11 3 - 6 -10.9 +1.0 -12.0
  Jan 28, 2023 241   @ East Tennessee St. W 73-64 52%     9 - 11 4 - 6 +7.9 +7.6 +1.2
  Feb 01, 2023 90   @ Furman L 58-79 19%     9 - 12 4 - 7 -12.2 -11.8 -1.1
  Feb 04, 2023 237   @ Western Carolina L 68-83 51%     9 - 13 4 - 8 -15.8 -10.0 -4.9
  Feb 08, 2023 324   The Citadel W 82-63 86%     10 - 13 5 - 8 +6.8 +1.9 +4.7
  Feb 11, 2023 226   Mercer W 73-56 70%     11 - 13 6 - 8 +11.0 +4.3 +7.9
  Feb 15, 2023 350   @ VMI W 78-58 80%     12 - 13 7 - 8 +10.4 +2.7 +8.9
  Feb 18, 2023 119   UNC Greensboro L 76-93 47%     12 - 14 7 - 9 -17.0 +5.6 -22.4
  Feb 22, 2023 136   Samford L 70-75 52%     12 - 15 7 - 10 -6.1 -9.7 +4.0
  Feb 25, 2023 223   @ Wofford L 74-86 47%     12 - 16 7 - 11 -12.0 +2.1 -14.8
  Mar 03, 2023 350   VMI W 92-72 86%     13 - 16 +7.5 +7.8 -1.0
  Mar 04, 2023 136   Samford W 85-82 40%     14 - 16 +4.9 +6.2 -1.5
  Mar 05, 2023 223   Wofford W 74-62 59%     15 - 16 +9.0 -0.2 +9.9
  Mar 06, 2023 90   Furman L 79-88 27%     15 - 17 -3.2 +1.1 -3.7
Projected Record 15 - 17 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%