Pre-tourney Rankings
College of Charleston
Colonial Athletic
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.0#71
Expected Predictive Rating+11.4#38
Pace76.8#21
Improvement+0.8#105

Offense
Total Offense+4.2#70
First Shot+1.9#116
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#33
Layup/Dunks-1.9#264
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#237
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#64
Freethrows+1.6#64
Improvement-0.7#264

Defense
Total Defense+3.8#73
First Shot+3.2#76
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#117
Layups/Dunks+0.7#148
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.3#363
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#14
Freethrows+3.1#8
Improvement+1.6#31
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round29.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen9.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight2.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 12 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 22 - 02 - 1
Quad 312 - 214 - 3
Quad 416 - 030 - 3


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 177   Chattanooga W 85-78 86%     1 - 0 +3.4 +1.7 +1.2
  Nov 11, 2022 39   @ North Carolina L 86-102 28%     1 - 1 -2.0 +13.4 -14.2
  Nov 14, 2022 147   Richmond W 92-90 OT 82%     2 - 1 +0.3 +5.7 -5.6
  Nov 17, 2022 124   Davidson W 89-66 79%     3 - 1 +22.3 +15.2 +7.1
  Nov 18, 2022 105   Colorado St. W 74-64 74%     4 - 1 +11.4 -2.3 +13.4
  Nov 20, 2022 74   Virginia Tech W 77-75 62%     5 - 1 +6.7 +1.1 +5.6
  Nov 23, 2022 72   Kent St. W 74-72 62%     6 - 1 +6.9 +5.1 +1.8
  Nov 29, 2022 167   Old Dominion W 75-60 85%     7 - 1 +11.9 +6.7 +6.2
  Dec 03, 2022 324   @ The Citadel W 79-57 90%     8 - 1 +15.8 +1.7 +13.7
  Dec 06, 2022 335   @ Presbyterian W 67-62 92%     9 - 1 -2.8 -3.8 +1.2
  Dec 14, 2022 174   Stetson W 65-60 86%     10 - 1 +1.5 -6.1 +8.4
  Dec 19, 2022 290   @ Coastal Carolina W 83-69 86%     11 - 1 +10.2 -0.4 +9.6
  Dec 29, 2022 349   Hampton W 89-61 97%     12 - 1 1 - 0 +12.6 +0.9 +9.7
  Dec 31, 2022 134   @ Towson W 76-74 OT 62%     13 - 1 2 - 0 +7.0 +0.4 +6.5
  Jan 04, 2023 316   @ N.C. A&T W 92-79 90%     14 - 1 3 - 0 +7.3 +5.3 +0.3
  Jan 07, 2023 235   Delaware W 75-64 91%     15 - 1 4 - 0 +4.3 -2.3 +6.5
  Jan 11, 2023 157   @ UNC Wilmington W 71-69 67%     16 - 1 5 - 0 +5.4 +10.0 -4.4
  Jan 14, 2023 334   Elon W 78-60 97%     17 - 1 6 - 0 +4.3 +0.3 +4.4
  Jan 16, 2023 319   William & Mary W 82-54 96%     18 - 1 7 - 0 +16.2 +0.8 +14.8
  Jan 19, 2023 343   @ Monmouth W 69-55 93%     19 - 1 8 - 0 +5.4 -2.9 +8.9
  Jan 21, 2023 299   @ Northeastern W 87-61 87%     20 - 1 9 - 0 +21.6 +5.0 +14.2
  Jan 28, 2023 93   Hofstra L 81-85 71%     20 - 2 9 - 1 -1.7 +8.3 -10.0
  Feb 02, 2023 201   @ Drexel L 69-70 74%     20 - 3 9 - 2 +0.4 -0.1 +0.5
  Feb 04, 2023 235   @ Delaware W 84-67 80%     21 - 3 10 - 2 +16.3 +13.3 +3.5
  Feb 08, 2023 157   UNC Wilmington W 93-61 84%     22 - 3 11 - 2 +29.4 +13.7 +13.2
  Feb 11, 2023 349   @ Hampton W 83-70 94%     23 - 3 12 - 2 +3.6 +4.8 -1.2
  Feb 13, 2023 299   Northeastern W 99-63 95%     24 - 3 13 - 2 +25.6 +20.6 +4.5
  Feb 16, 2023 334   @ Elon W 88-66 92%     25 - 3 14 - 2 +14.3 +8.1 +5.3
  Feb 23, 2023 134   Towson W 83-75 80%     26 - 3 15 - 2 +7.0 +4.6 +2.1
  Feb 25, 2023 326   Stony Brook W 92-52 96%     27 - 3 16 - 2 +27.7 +12.6 +14.5
  Mar 05, 2023 326   Stony Brook W 74-52 94%     28 - 3 +12.7 -1.1 +14.2
  Mar 06, 2023 134   Towson W 77-72 72%     29 - 3 +7.0 +0.7 +6.0
  Mar 07, 2023 157   UNC Wilmington W 63-58 77%     30 - 3 +5.4 -1.7 +7.6
  Mar 16, 2023 20   San Diego St. L 69-74 31%    
Projected Record 30 - 4 16 - 2




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 12.2 0.0 0.0 3.2 72.9 23.7 0.2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12.2 0.0 0.0 3.2 72.9 23.7 0.2