Pre-tourney Rankings
Connecticut
Big East
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+17.7#4
Expected Predictive Rating+15.6#11
Pace67.5#190
Improvement-2.3#338

Offense
Total Offense+9.9#8
First Shot+5.9#33
After Offensive Rebound+4.0#5
Layup/Dunks+2.7#71
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#352
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#25
Freethrows+1.9#44
Improvement-0.7#257

Defense
Total Defense+7.8#16
First Shot+8.2#8
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#220
Layups/Dunks+2.3#82
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#165
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.1#2
Freethrows-1.5#298
Improvement-1.6#330
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 3.6% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 27.5% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 99.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 2.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round91.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen65.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight40.0% n/a n/a
Final Four23.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game12.9% n/a n/a
National Champion7.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 3 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 43 - 4
Quad 1b4 - 27 - 6
Quad 26 - 113 - 7
Quad 34 - 117 - 8
Quad 48 - 025 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 333   Stonehill W 85-54 99%     1 - 0 +17.4 +1.8 +13.6
  Nov 11, 2022 264   Boston University W 86-57 98%     2 - 0 +20.4 +10.8 +9.7
  Nov 15, 2022 212   Buffalo W 84-64 97%     3 - 0 +15.0 +0.6 +12.6
  Nov 18, 2022 157   UNC Wilmington W 86-50 96%     4 - 0 +33.4 +19.5 +16.2
  Nov 20, 2022 359   Delaware St. W 95-60 99.6%    5 - 0 +17.2 +9.3 +6.0
  Nov 24, 2022 47   Oregon W 83-59 77%     6 - 0 +34.0 +15.6 +18.9
  Nov 25, 2022 1   Alabama W 82-67 42%     7 - 0 +34.7 +16.4 +17.5
  Nov 27, 2022 18   Iowa St. W 71-53 67%     8 - 0 +31.2 +14.9 +18.1
  Dec 01, 2022 41   Oklahoma St. W 74-64 83%     9 - 0 +17.7 +11.3 +6.8
  Dec 07, 2022 54   @ Florida W 75-54 70%     10 - 0 +33.3 +10.9 +22.5
  Dec 10, 2022 363   LIU Brooklyn W 114-61 99.8%    11 - 0 +29.4 +18.8 +4.7
  Dec 17, 2022 102   @ Butler W 68-46 83%     12 - 0 1 - 0 +29.5 +5.8 +24.8
  Dec 20, 2022 209   Georgetown W 84-73 97%     13 - 0 2 - 0 +6.1 +7.0 -1.1
  Dec 28, 2022 55   Villanova W 74-66 86%     14 - 0 3 - 0 +14.3 +3.3 +11.1
  Dec 31, 2022 13   @ Xavier L 73-83 51%     14 - 1 3 - 1 +7.5 +2.0 +5.9
  Jan 04, 2023 36   @ Providence L 61-73 63%     14 - 2 3 - 2 +2.3 +1.8 -1.3
  Jan 07, 2023 12   Creighton W 69-60 72%     15 - 2 4 - 2 +20.7 +6.9 +14.4
  Jan 11, 2023 11   @ Marquette L 76-82 47%     15 - 3 4 - 3 +12.5 +11.2 +1.2
  Jan 15, 2023 80   St. John's L 74-85 89%     15 - 4 4 - 4 -6.6 -2.2 -3.4
  Jan 18, 2023 58   @ Seton Hall L 66-67 71%     15 - 5 4 - 5 +11.1 +5.2 +5.8
  Jan 22, 2023 102   Butler W 86-56 93%     16 - 5 5 - 5 +31.6 +22.2 +11.0
  Jan 25, 2023 13   Xavier L 79-82 72%     16 - 6 5 - 6 +8.5 +8.8 -0.3
  Jan 31, 2023 125   @ DePaul W 90-76 87%     17 - 6 6 - 6 +19.3 +19.7 -0.2
  Feb 04, 2023 209   @ Georgetown W 68-62 93%     18 - 6 7 - 6 +7.0 +8.6 -0.3
  Feb 07, 2023 11   Marquette W 87-72 69%     19 - 6 8 - 6 +27.5 +20.8 +7.2
  Feb 11, 2023 12   @ Creighton L 53-56 50%     19 - 7 8 - 7 +14.7 -2.0 +16.2
  Feb 18, 2023 58   Seton Hall W 64-55 86%     20 - 7 9 - 7 +15.1 +0.6 +14.9
  Feb 22, 2023 36   Providence W 87-69 81%     21 - 7 10 - 7 +26.3 +23.7 +4.3
  Feb 25, 2023 80   @ St. John's W 95-86 76%     22 - 7 11 - 7 +19.4 +20.4 -1.8
  Mar 01, 2023 125   DePaul W 88-59 95%     23 - 7 12 - 7 +28.3 +14.7 +13.9
  Mar 04, 2023 55   @ Villanova W 71-59 70%     24 - 7 13 - 7 +24.3 +8.3 +16.9
  Mar 09, 2023 36   Providence W 73-66 73%     25 - 7 +18.3 +9.7 +9.3
  Mar 10, 2023 11   Marquette L 68-70 58%     25 - 8 +13.5 +13.5 -0.4
  Mar 17, 2023 76   Iona W 78-68 83%    
Projected Record 26 - 8 13 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2.9 3.6 23.9 53.5 18.0 1.0 0.0 100.0%
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2.9 3.6 23.9 53.5 18.0 1.0 0.0 100.0%