Pre-tourney Rankings
East Tennessee St.
Southern
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.1#241
Expected Predictive Rating-7.2#291
Pace65.2#264
Improvement+0.1#176

Offense
Total Offense-2.6#254
First Shot-2.8#275
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#164
Layup/Dunks+0.2#168
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#86
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#304
Freethrows-1.2#280
Improvement+0.6#102

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#217
First Shot-0.3#184
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#307
Layups/Dunks-0.3#190
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#179
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#238
Freethrows+1.0#100
Improvement-0.6#252
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 33 - 93 - 12
Quad 47 - 810 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2022 334   Elon W 77-64 74%     1 - 0 +2.3 -3.0 +4.9
  Nov 13, 2022 101   Louisiana L 77-81 20%     1 - 1 +0.7 +0.9 +0.1
  Nov 17, 2022 327   Arkansas Little Rock W 84-76 79%     2 - 1 -4.7 -6.2 +0.7
  Nov 20, 2022 295   @ Tennessee Tech L 62-69 50%     2 - 2 -11.1 -12.8 +1.6
  Nov 23, 2022 180   Appalachian St. L 70-74 49%     2 - 3 -7.7 -1.0 -6.8
  Nov 27, 2022 142   @ Georgia L 47-62 21%     2 - 4 -10.4 -19.1 +7.5
  Dec 03, 2022 233   Jacksonville St. L 61-63 59%     2 - 5 -8.5 -6.1 -2.7
  Dec 11, 2022 252   @ Morehead St. L 57-61 42%     2 - 6 -6.0 -6.2 -0.5
  Dec 14, 2022 214   Queens L 75-78 54%     2 - 7 -8.1 +1.3 -9.6
  Dec 17, 2022 156   UNC Asheville L 73-74 44%     2 - 8 -3.4 -0.9 -2.5
  Dec 21, 2022 126   @ LSU L 68-72 19%     2 - 9 +1.3 -2.8 +4.1
  Dec 29, 2022 223   @ Wofford W 73-71 35%     3 - 9 1 - 0 +2.0 +4.8 -2.5
  Dec 31, 2022 350   @ VMI W 64-50 70%     4 - 9 2 - 0 +4.4 -9.8 +15.6
  Jan 04, 2023 237   Western Carolina L 60-71 60%     4 - 10 2 - 1 -17.8 -12.5 -6.0
  Jan 07, 2023 90   Furman L 56-70 25%     4 - 11 2 - 2 -11.1 -15.9 +4.1
  Jan 11, 2023 324   @ The Citadel W 96-74 58%     5 - 11 3 - 2 +15.8 +14.5 +0.0
  Jan 14, 2023 226   Mercer L 55-68 58%     5 - 12 3 - 3 -19.0 -12.3 -8.3
  Jan 18, 2023 136   Samford L 59-69 39%     5 - 13 3 - 4 -11.1 -9.2 -3.1
  Jan 21, 2023 177   @ Chattanooga W 78-62 27%     6 - 13 4 - 4 +18.3 +2.1 +15.8
  Jan 25, 2023 226   @ Mercer L 67-71 OT 35%     6 - 14 4 - 5 -4.1 -9.3 +5.5
  Jan 28, 2023 177   Chattanooga L 64-73 48%     6 - 15 4 - 6 -12.6 -6.7 -6.9
  Feb 01, 2023 223   Wofford W 77-52 57%     7 - 15 5 - 6 +19.1 +14.7 +10.1
  Feb 04, 2023 136   @ Samford L 62-73 20%     7 - 16 5 - 7 -6.1 -9.3 +2.9
  Feb 07, 2023 119   @ UNC Greensboro L 65-91 17%     7 - 17 5 - 8 -20.0 -1.7 -18.4
  Feb 10, 2023 350   VMI W 69-65 86%     8 - 17 6 - 8 -11.5 -6.8 -4.3
  Feb 15, 2023 237   @ Western Carolina L 66-68 38%     8 - 18 6 - 9 -2.8 -1.0 -2.0
  Feb 19, 2023 90   @ Furman L 79-83 12%     8 - 19 6 - 10 +4.8 +12.5 -8.0
  Feb 22, 2023 324   The Citadel W 78-70 78%     9 - 19 7 - 10 -4.2 +4.8 -8.4
  Feb 25, 2023 119   UNC Greensboro W 63-62 35%     10 - 19 8 - 10 +1.0 +0.9 +0.3
  Mar 04, 2023 237   Western Carolina L 57-69 49%     10 - 20 -15.8 -8.9 -8.9
Projected Record 10 - 20 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%