Pre-tourney Rankings
Houston
American Athletic
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+19.1#2
Expected Predictive Rating+19.8#2
Pace60.6#343
Improvement-2.1#333

Offense
Total Offense+9.0#12
First Shot+3.2#79
After Offensive Rebound+5.8#1
Layup/Dunks+0.1#178
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#24
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#166
Freethrows-0.4#205
Improvement-0.3#221

Defense
Total Defense+10.1#5
First Shot+8.3#7
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#30
Layups/Dunks+7.1#7
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#133
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#94
Freethrows-1.3#289
Improvement-1.8#338
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 21.7% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 77.2% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 99.4% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round97.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen75.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight54.0% n/a n/a
Final Four35.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game21.9% n/a n/a
National Champion13.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 1 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 23 - 2
Quad 1b4 - 07 - 2
Quad 28 - 015 - 2
Quad 36 - 121 - 3
Quad 410 - 031 - 3


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 227   Northern Colorado W 83-36 98%     1 - 0 +40.9 +12.4 +33.2
  Nov 11, 2022 171   Saint Joseph's W 81-55 95%     2 - 0 +25.7 +9.5 +16.6
  Nov 14, 2022 68   Oral Roberts W 83-45 90%     3 - 0 +43.4 +14.0 +31.0
  Nov 16, 2022 303   Texas Southern W 83-48 99%     4 - 0 +24.5 +12.8 +13.9
  Nov 20, 2022 47   @ Oregon W 66-56 72%     5 - 0 +23.0 +9.1 +15.5
  Nov 26, 2022 72   Kent St. W 49-44 90%     6 - 0 +9.9 -19.0 +28.9
  Nov 29, 2022 200   Norfolk St. W 100-52 98%     7 - 0 +43.5 +31.2 +16.4
  Dec 03, 2022 15   St. Mary's W 53-48 68%     8 - 0 +19.2 +2.5 +17.9
  Dec 06, 2022 234   North Florida W 76-42 98%     9 - 0 +27.3 +7.0 +25.7
  Dec 10, 2022 1   Alabama L 65-71 59%     9 - 1 +10.7 +0.3 +10.5
  Dec 13, 2022 316   N.C. A&T W 74-46 99%     10 - 1 +16.3 -1.7 +19.0
  Dec 17, 2022 32   @ Virginia W 69-61 66%     11 - 1 +22.8 +17.7 +6.6
  Dec 21, 2022 338   McNeese St. W 83-44 99%     12 - 1 +24.9 +13.1 +17.1
  Dec 28, 2022 297   @ Tulsa W 89-50 97%     13 - 1 1 - 0 +34.7 +19.6 +17.6
  Dec 31, 2022 63   Central Florida W 71-65 89%     14 - 1 2 - 0 +11.6 +10.3 +2.1
  Jan 05, 2023 169   SMU W 87-53 97%     15 - 1 3 - 0 +30.8 +18.7 +14.0
  Jan 08, 2023 52   @ Cincinnati W 72-59 74%     16 - 1 4 - 0 +25.5 +9.7 +16.6
  Jan 11, 2023 148   South Florida W 83-77 96%     17 - 1 5 - 0 +4.3 +12.1 -7.6
  Jan 17, 2023 97   @ Tulane W 80-60 85%     18 - 1 6 - 0 +27.8 +13.1 +15.6
  Jan 22, 2023 112   Temple L 55-56 95%     18 - 2 6 - 1 -0.2 -10.1 +9.8
  Jan 25, 2023 63   @ Central Florida W 82-71 76%     19 - 2 7 - 1 +22.6 +28.5 -4.2
  Jan 28, 2023 52   Cincinnati W 75-69 88%     20 - 2 8 - 1 +12.6 +13.5 -0.2
  Feb 02, 2023 99   @ Wichita St. W 70-61 85%     21 - 2 9 - 1 +16.7 +12.6 +5.5
  Feb 05, 2023 112   @ Temple W 81-65 87%     22 - 2 10 - 1 +22.8 +23.2 +1.8
  Feb 08, 2023 297   Tulsa W 80-42 99%     23 - 2 11 - 1 +27.8 +10.7 +21.2
  Feb 16, 2023 169   @ SMU W 80-65 93%     24 - 2 12 - 1 +17.7 +12.8 +5.5
  Feb 19, 2023 22   Memphis W 72-64 80%     25 - 2 13 - 1 +18.1 +8.1 +10.5
  Feb 22, 2023 97   Tulane W 89-59 94%     26 - 2 14 - 1 +31.8 +14.6 +16.9
  Feb 25, 2023 173   @ East Carolina W 76-57 93%     27 - 2 15 - 1 +21.6 +12.6 +10.9
  Mar 02, 2023 99   Wichita St. W 83-66 94%     28 - 2 16 - 1 +18.8 +18.4 +1.6
  Mar 05, 2023 22   @ Memphis W 67-65 62%     29 - 2 17 - 1 +18.1 +7.9 +10.4
  Mar 10, 2023 173   East Carolina W 60-46 95%     30 - 2 +13.7 -13.6 +27.0
  Mar 11, 2023 52   Cincinnati W 69-48 82%     31 - 2 +30.6 +5.6 +26.4
  Mar 12, 2023 22   Memphis L 65-75 72%     31 - 3 +3.1 +3.3 -1.0
  Mar 16, 2023 172   Northern Kentucky W 69-50 95%    
Projected Record 32 - 3 17 - 1




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 100.0    100.0
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.2 77.2 22.2 0.6 0.0 100.0%
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 1.2 77.2 22.2 0.6 0.0 100.0%