Pre-tourney Rankings
Iowa
Big Ten
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.6#34
Expected Predictive Rating+10.7#44
Pace73.1#48
Improvement-0.6#242

Offense
Total Offense+11.0#3
First Shot+7.6#12
After Offensive Rebound+3.3#10
Layup/Dunks+5.5#17
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#224
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#162
Freethrows+2.6#23
Improvement+0.6#105

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#154
First Shot+0.0#170
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#115
Layups/Dunks-3.4#315
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#200
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#138
Freethrows+2.3#30
Improvement-1.2#312
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.3% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 95.8% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 95.8% n/a n/a
Average Seed 8.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.2% n/a n/a
First Round95.8% n/a n/a
Second Round47.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen13.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight6.1% n/a n/a
Final Four2.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.8% n/a n/a
National Champion0.2% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b3 - 34 - 7
Quad 29 - 313 - 10
Quad 31 - 214 - 12
Quad 45 - 119 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 352   Bethune-Cookman W 89-58 99%     1 - 0 +15.0 +2.4 +10.8
  Nov 11, 2022 316   N.C. A&T W 112-71 97%     2 - 0 +29.3 +18.7 +5.2
  Nov 16, 2022 58   @ Seton Hall W 83-67 48%     3 - 0 +28.1 +19.6 +8.4
  Nov 21, 2022 318   Nebraska Omaha W 100-64 97%     4 - 0 +24.2 +15.1 +7.2
  Nov 25, 2022 50   Clemson W 74-71 57%     5 - 0 +12.6 +8.2 +4.5
  Nov 26, 2022 21   TCU L 66-79 44%     5 - 1 +0.1 -0.8 +1.2
  Nov 29, 2022 143   Georgia Tech W 81-65 88%     6 - 1 +14.5 +14.6 +1.2
  Dec 06, 2022 19   Duke L 62-74 44%     6 - 2 +1.2 -1.4 +2.2
  Dec 08, 2022 18   Iowa St. W 75-56 55%     7 - 2 +29.2 +12.0 +17.8
  Dec 11, 2022 61   Wisconsin L 75-78 OT 71%     7 - 3 0 - 1 +2.9 +1.0 +2.2
  Dec 17, 2022 260   Southeast Missouri St. W 106-75 96%     8 - 3 +22.8 +17.6 +1.8
  Dec 21, 2022 345   Eastern Illinois L 83-92 98%     8 - 4 -23.9 -7.1 -15.5
  Dec 29, 2022 89   @ Nebraska L 50-66 60%     8 - 5 0 - 2 -7.0 -13.5 +5.4
  Jan 01, 2023 40   @ Penn St. L 79-83 41%     8 - 6 0 - 3 +9.8 +10.1 -0.4
  Jan 05, 2023 24   Indiana W 91-89 57%     9 - 6 1 - 3 +11.8 +15.1 -3.5
  Jan 08, 2023 35   @ Rutgers W 76-65 39%     10 - 6 2 - 3 +25.3 +17.3 +8.3
  Jan 12, 2023 44   Michigan W 93-84 OT 65%     11 - 6 3 - 3 +16.6 +19.6 -3.5
  Jan 15, 2023 25   Maryland W 81-67 57%     12 - 6 4 - 3 +23.7 +20.5 +4.4
  Jan 21, 2023 46   @ Ohio St. L 77-93 43%     12 - 7 4 - 4 -2.7 +7.0 -9.5
  Jan 26, 2023 31   @ Michigan St. L 61-63 37%     12 - 8 4 - 5 +12.9 -0.5 +13.3
  Jan 29, 2023 35   Rutgers W 93-82 62%     13 - 8 5 - 5 +19.4 +20.3 -2.0
  Jan 31, 2023 43   Northwestern W 86-70 65%     14 - 8 6 - 5 +23.7 +25.1 -0.5
  Feb 04, 2023 30   Illinois W 81-79 59%     15 - 8 7 - 5 +11.2 +17.4 -6.1
  Feb 09, 2023 7   @ Purdue L 73-87 22%     15 - 9 7 - 6 +5.8 +7.5 -1.6
  Feb 12, 2023 183   @ Minnesota W 68-56 81%     16 - 9 8 - 6 +14.1 +1.2 +13.7
  Feb 16, 2023 46   Ohio St. W 92-75 66%     17 - 9 9 - 6 +24.4 +25.2 +0.2
  Feb 19, 2023 43   @ Northwestern L 60-80 42%     17 - 10 9 - 7 -6.4 -1.3 -5.6
  Feb 22, 2023 61   @ Wisconsin L 52-64 49%     17 - 11 9 - 8 -0.2 -4.3 +2.3
  Feb 25, 2023 31   Michigan St. W 112-106 OT 60%     18 - 11 10 - 8 +14.9 +28.0 -13.9
  Feb 28, 2023 24   @ Indiana W 90-68 34%     19 - 11 11 - 8 +37.7 +25.4 +12.5
  Mar 05, 2023 89   Nebraska L 77-81 79%     19 - 12 11 - 9 -1.0 +12.1 -13.3
  Mar 09, 2023 46   Ohio St. L 69-73 55%     19 - 13 +6.3 +5.9 +0.0
  Mar 16, 2023 29   Auburn L 77-78 47%    
Projected Record 19 - 14 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 100.0% 95.8% 95.8% 8.9 0.0 0.3 3.7 24.8 42.1 22.7 2.2 4.2 95.8%
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 95.8% 0.0% 95.8% 8.9 0.0 0.3 3.7 24.8 42.1 22.7 2.2 4.2 95.8%