Pre-tourney Rankings
Kentucky
Southeastern
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.5#26
Expected Predictive Rating+12.0#31
Pace66.0#235
Improvement+0.2#164

Offense
Total Offense+8.5#15
First Shot+4.4#60
After Offensive Rebound+4.1#4
Layup/Dunks+0.1#176
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.8#6
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#273
Freethrows+0.7#121
Improvement+1.4#50

Defense
Total Defense+4.1#68
First Shot+2.6#92
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#53
Layups/Dunks+2.9#59
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#346
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#130
Freethrows+1.2#80
Improvement-1.2#308
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 1.6% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 51.7% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.8% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.8% n/a n/a
Average Seed 6.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.8% n/a n/a
Second Round57.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen23.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight9.7% n/a n/a
Final Four3.7% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.3% n/a n/a
National Champion0.4% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 43 - 4
Quad 1b3 - 36 - 7
Quad 26 - 112 - 8
Quad 33 - 215 - 10
Quad 46 - 121 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 228   Howard W 95-63 95%     1 - 0 +25.9 +11.8 +11.7
  Nov 11, 2022 121   Duquesne W 77-52 88%     2 - 0 +24.9 +2.0 +22.5
  Nov 15, 2022 31   Michigan St. L 77-86 2OT 53%     2 - 1 +2.9 -2.7 +7.1
  Nov 17, 2022 351   South Carolina St. W 106-63 99%     3 - 1 +27.1 +14.0 +9.0
  Nov 20, 2022 8   @ Gonzaga L 72-88 25%     3 - 2 +3.7 -1.5 +6.5
  Nov 23, 2022 234   North Florida W 96-56 95%     4 - 2 +33.3 +12.5 +19.8
  Nov 29, 2022 256   Bellarmine W 60-41 96%     5 - 2 +10.9 -6.3 +20.9
  Dec 04, 2022 44   Michigan W 73-69 58%     6 - 2 +14.5 +4.3 +10.2
  Dec 10, 2022 75   Yale W 69-59 77%     7 - 2 +14.7 +10.2 +6.2
  Dec 17, 2022 3   UCLA L 53-63 28%     7 - 3 +8.6 -5.3 +13.4
  Dec 21, 2022 357   Florida A&M W 88-68 99%     8 - 3 +2.5 +26.8 -20.6
  Dec 28, 2022 51   @ Missouri L 75-89 50%     8 - 4 0 - 1 -1.4 +5.2 -7.0
  Dec 31, 2022 261   Louisville W 86-63 96%     9 - 4 +14.7 +15.9 +0.8
  Jan 03, 2023 126   LSU W 74-71 89%     10 - 4 1 - 1 +2.3 +13.9 -11.0
  Jan 07, 2023 1   @ Alabama L 52-78 17%     10 - 5 1 - 2 -3.3 -6.2 +1.9
  Jan 10, 2023 199   South Carolina L 68-71 93%     10 - 6 1 - 3 -7.4 +7.7 -15.9
  Jan 14, 2023 6   @ Tennessee W 63-56 24%     11 - 6 2 - 3 +26.9 +4.4 +22.6
  Jan 17, 2023 142   Georgia W 85-71 90%     12 - 6 3 - 3 +12.6 +11.4 +1.1
  Jan 21, 2023 27   Texas A&M W 76-67 61%     13 - 6 4 - 3 +18.5 +8.5 +10.1
  Jan 24, 2023 79   @ Vanderbilt W 69-53 58%     14 - 6 5 - 3 +26.4 +12.6 +17.2
  Jan 28, 2023 9   Kansas L 68-77 46%     14 - 7 +4.5 +3.9 +0.6
  Jan 31, 2023 106   @ Mississippi W 75-66 69%     15 - 7 6 - 3 +16.3 +14.4 +2.8
  Feb 04, 2023 54   Florida W 72-67 72%     16 - 7 7 - 3 +11.3 +11.3 +0.5
  Feb 07, 2023 17   Arkansas L 73-88 59%     16 - 8 7 - 4 -4.7 +7.1 -11.9
  Feb 11, 2023 142   @ Georgia L 68-75 78%     16 - 9 7 - 5 -2.4 +2.5 -5.4
  Feb 15, 2023 49   @ Mississippi St. W 71-68 50%     17 - 9 8 - 5 +15.7 +22.0 -5.8
  Feb 18, 2023 6   Tennessee W 66-54 45%     18 - 9 9 - 5 +25.9 +10.5 +16.7
  Feb 22, 2023 54   @ Florida W 82-74 51%     19 - 9 10 - 5 +20.3 +18.2 +2.2
  Feb 25, 2023 29   Auburn W 86-54 62%     20 - 9 11 - 5 +41.3 +25.5 +18.3
  Mar 01, 2023 79   Vanderbilt L 66-68 78%     20 - 10 11 - 6 +2.4 -6.4 +8.8
  Mar 04, 2023 17   @ Arkansas W 88-79 36%     21 - 10 12 - 6 +25.2 +18.7 +5.9
  Mar 10, 2023 79   Vanderbilt L 73-80 69%     21 - 11 +0.4 +2.7 -2.5
  Mar 17, 2023 36   Providence W 74-73 55%    
Projected Record 22 - 11 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 99.8% 99.8% 6.4 0.1 1.5 13.1 37.0 39.1 8.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 99.8%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 99.8% 0.0% 99.8% 6.4 0.1 1.5 13.1 37.0 39.1 8.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 99.8%