Pre-tourney Rankings
Merrimack
Northeast
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.4#312
Expected Predictive Rating-8.1#304
Pace66.3#223
Improvement+4.0#2

Offense
Total Offense-10.7#361
First Shot-7.5#347
After Offensive Rebound-3.2#356
Layup/Dunks-4.3#333
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#355
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#118
Freethrows-0.7#231
Improvement+1.9#31

Defense
Total Defense+2.3#103
First Shot+4.0#59
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#336
Layups/Dunks+1.1#131
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#319
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#34
Freethrows+1.0#98
Improvement+2.1#14
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 30 - 40 - 9
Quad 415 - 715 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 80   @ St. John's L 72-97 5%     0 - 1 -14.6 -7.5 -2.5
  Nov 17, 2022 135   Troy L 54-73 16%     0 - 2 -17.0 -13.2 -5.0
  Nov 18, 2022 168   @ Montana L 51-62 15%     0 - 3 -8.2 -18.1 +8.9
  Nov 19, 2022 220   St. Thomas L 61-72 28%     0 - 4 -13.5 -2.2 -13.6
  Nov 23, 2022 36   @ Providence L 57-71 3%     0 - 5 +0.3 -6.7 +5.9
  Nov 26, 2022 87   @ Bradley L 41-83 6%     0 - 6 -32.7 -25.2 -7.8
  Nov 30, 2022 140   @ Umass Lowell L 51-77 12%     0 - 7 -21.3 -22.9 +2.9
  Dec 02, 2022 264   Boston University L 54-68 51%     0 - 8 -22.6 -18.4 -4.9
  Dec 04, 2022 120   Vermont L 43-66 21%     0 - 9 -23.0 -26.0 +0.5
  Dec 07, 2022 94   @ San Francisco L 51-69 7%     0 - 10 -9.9 -17.5 +7.1
  Dec 11, 2022 277   Maine L 47-50 53%     0 - 11 -12.2 -25.4 +12.8
  Dec 18, 2022 300   @ Bucknell L 55-61 35%     0 - 12 -10.4 -15.7 +4.8
  Dec 29, 2022 320   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 63-71 41%     0 - 13 0 - 1 -13.9 -16.7 +2.7
  Dec 31, 2022 315   @ Wagner W 58-48 40%     1 - 13 1 - 1 +4.3 -6.5 +12.2
  Jan 05, 2023 330   Sacred Heart L 55-59 67%     1 - 14 1 - 2 -16.9 -17.0 -0.3
  Jan 07, 2023 355   St. Francis Brooklyn W 65-53 78%     2 - 14 2 - 2 -4.6 -3.5 +0.6
  Jan 14, 2023 333   @ Stonehill W 59-47 47%     3 - 14 3 - 2 +4.4 -8.2 +14.1
  Jan 16, 2023 315   Wagner L 57-62 62%     3 - 15 3 - 3 -16.6 -9.4 -8.0
  Jan 22, 2023 355   @ St. Francis Brooklyn W 63-55 59%     4 - 15 4 - 3 -2.7 -8.1 +5.9
  Jan 26, 2023 339   @ Central Connecticut St. W 64-61 50%     5 - 15 5 - 3 -5.3 -3.7 -1.1
  Jan 28, 2023 320   Fairleigh Dickinson L 71-78 63%     5 - 16 5 - 4 -18.9 -11.6 -7.4
  Feb 02, 2023 363   LIU Brooklyn W 76-59 91%     6 - 16 6 - 4 -6.6 -9.1 +1.9
  Feb 04, 2023 332   St. Francis (PA) W 70-66 69%     7 - 16 7 - 4 -9.5 -11.6 +2.1
  Feb 09, 2023 333   Stonehill W 56-43 69%     8 - 16 8 - 4 -0.6 -16.5 +17.1
  Feb 11, 2023 332   @ St. Francis (PA) W 75-68 47%     9 - 16 9 - 4 -0.6 -4.6 +4.0
  Feb 16, 2023 362   @ Hartford W 67-59 78%     10 - 16 -8.3 -9.6 +1.7
  Feb 18, 2023 330   @ Sacred Heart W 67-55 44%     11 - 16 10 - 4 +5.1 -6.2 +11.7
  Feb 23, 2023 339   Central Connecticut St. W 70-54 71%     12 - 16 11 - 4 +1.8 -7.7 +10.0
  Feb 25, 2023 363   @ LIU Brooklyn W 80-59 81%     13 - 16 12 - 4 +3.4 -7.0 +8.4
  Mar 01, 2023 363   LIU Brooklyn W 91-76 91%     14 - 16 -8.6 -3.4 -7.1
  Mar 04, 2023 330   Sacred Heart W 71-60 67%     15 - 16 -1.9 -4.2 +2.9
  Mar 07, 2023 320   Fairleigh Dickinson W 71-68 63%    
Projected Record 16 - 16 12 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 100.0% 100.0
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%