Pre-tourney Rankings
Michigan
Big Ten
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.5#44
Expected Predictive Rating+8.8#61
Pace68.4#168
Improvement+2.3#23

Offense
Total Offense+5.6#43
First Shot+6.1#30
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#216
Layup/Dunks+1.4#114
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#119
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#95
Freethrows+1.7#58
Improvement+0.3#137

Defense
Total Defense+4.9#53
First Shot+3.8#64
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#71
Layups/Dunks-0.7#208
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#274
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#35
Freethrows+1.8#50
Improvement+1.9#18
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.8% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 9.8% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four9.8% n/a n/a
First Round5.2% n/a n/a
Second Round2.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.3% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 62 - 12
Quad 26 - 28 - 14
Quad 35 - 013 - 14
Quad 44 - 117 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 236   Purdue Fort Wayne W 75-56 94%     1 - 0 +12.3 -3.1 +14.6
  Nov 11, 2022 310   Eastern Michigan W 88-83 95%     2 - 0 -3.3 -1.8 -2.1
  Nov 16, 2022 67   Pittsburgh W 91-60 58%     3 - 0 +39.4 +24.2 +16.8
  Nov 17, 2022 66   Arizona St. L 62-87 58%     3 - 1 -16.5 -0.6 -17.3
  Nov 20, 2022 129   Ohio W 70-66 OT 86%     4 - 1 +3.2 -7.2 +10.3
  Nov 23, 2022 311   Jackson St. W 78-68 97%     5 - 1 -1.3 -2.8 +1.1
  Nov 29, 2022 32   Virginia L 68-70 57%     5 - 2 +6.8 +9.9 -3.4
  Dec 04, 2022 26   Kentucky L 69-73 42%     5 - 3 +8.5 -0.5 +9.1
  Dec 08, 2022 183   @ Minnesota W 90-75 79%     6 - 3 1 - 0 +17.1 +14.4 +1.9
  Dec 17, 2022 159   Lipscomb W 83-75 89%     7 - 3 +5.3 +6.8 -1.8
  Dec 21, 2022 39   North Carolina L 76-80 48%     7 - 4 +7.0 +5.4 +1.8
  Dec 29, 2022 329   Central Michigan L 61-63 97%     7 - 5 -14.8 -9.7 -5.3
  Jan 01, 2023 25   Maryland W 81-46 53%     8 - 5 2 - 0 +44.7 +7.8 +34.5
  Jan 04, 2023 40   Penn St. W 79-69 60%     9 - 5 3 - 0 +17.8 +11.9 +6.5
  Jan 07, 2023 31   @ Michigan St. L 53-59 34%     9 - 6 3 - 1 +8.9 -10.2 +18.9
  Jan 12, 2023 34   @ Iowa L 84-93 OT 35%     9 - 7 3 - 2 +5.5 +9.7 -3.8
  Jan 15, 2023 43   Northwestern W 85-78 61%     10 - 7 4 - 2 +14.7 +14.0 +0.3
  Jan 19, 2023 25   @ Maryland L 58-64 31%     10 - 8 4 - 3 +9.7 +5.9 +2.4
  Jan 22, 2023 183   Minnesota W 60-56 90%     11 - 8 5 - 3 +0.2 -12.9 +13.1
  Jan 26, 2023 7   Purdue L 70-75 37%     11 - 9 5 - 4 +8.8 +7.9 +0.5
  Jan 29, 2023 40   @ Penn St. L 61-83 38%     11 - 10 5 - 5 -8.2 -1.9 -8.5
  Feb 02, 2023 43   @ Northwestern W 68-51 38%     12 - 10 6 - 5 +30.6 +18.1 +15.8
  Feb 05, 2023 46   Ohio St. W 77-69 62%     13 - 10 7 - 5 +15.4 +8.0 +7.7
  Feb 08, 2023 89   Nebraska W 93-72 76%     14 - 10 8 - 5 +24.0 +22.5 +1.3
  Feb 11, 2023 24   Indiana L 61-62 53%     14 - 11 8 - 6 +8.8 -4.7 +13.5
  Feb 14, 2023 61   @ Wisconsin L 59-64 45%     14 - 12 8 - 7 +6.8 -0.7 +7.2
  Feb 18, 2023 31   Michigan St. W 84-72 56%     15 - 12 9 - 7 +20.9 +22.4 -0.5
  Feb 23, 2023 35   @ Rutgers W 58-45 36%     16 - 12 10 - 7 +27.3 +5.8 +23.5
  Feb 26, 2023 61   Wisconsin W 87-79 OT 67%     17 - 12 11 - 7 +13.9 +14.1 -0.8
  Mar 02, 2023 30   @ Illinois L 87-91 2OT 33%     17 - 13 11 - 8 +11.2 +8.0 +3.9
  Mar 05, 2023 24   @ Indiana L 73-75 OT 31%     17 - 14 11 - 9 +13.7 +4.8 +8.9
  Mar 09, 2023 35   Rutgers L 50-62 47%     17 - 15 -0.7 -6.3 +4.1
Projected Record 17 - 15 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 100.0% 9.8% 9.8% 11.5 4.7 5.1 0.1 90.2 9.8%
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 9.8% 0.0% 9.8% 11.5 4.7 5.1 0.1 90.2 9.8%