Pre-tourney Rankings
Northwestern
Big Ten
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.7#43
Expected Predictive Rating+11.9#33
Pace63.8#292
Improvement+1.0#91

Offense
Total Offense+2.4#107
First Shot+2.5#101
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#194
Layup/Dunks+0.0#182
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#268
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#105
Freethrows+2.2#32
Improvement+1.8#36

Defense
Total Defense+8.3#13
First Shot+6.8#22
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#51
Layups/Dunks+4.5#33
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#53
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#197
Freethrows+1.1#94
Improvement-0.8#280
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 7.7% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 7.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.0% n/a n/a
Second Round45.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen12.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight4.8% n/a n/a
Final Four1.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.4% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 33 - 3
Quad 1b4 - 27 - 5
Quad 24 - 611 - 11
Quad 31 - 012 - 11
Quad 49 - 021 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 307   Chicago St. W 85-54 97%     1 - 0 +20.0 +3.8 +15.8
  Nov 11, 2022 248   Northern Illinois W 63-46 95%     2 - 0 +9.4 -7.1 +18.1
  Nov 15, 2022 209   @ Georgetown W 75-63 82%     3 - 0 +13.0 +4.7 +8.7
  Nov 18, 2022 236   Purdue Fort Wayne W 60-52 94%     4 - 0 +1.3 -16.7 +17.7
  Nov 22, 2022 69   Liberty W 66-52 59%     5 - 0 +22.3 +1.9 +21.4
  Nov 23, 2022 29   Auburn L 42-43 44%     5 - 1 +11.3 -17.7 +28.8
  Nov 28, 2022 67   Pittsburgh L 58-87 69%     5 - 2 -23.6 -10.1 -16.0
  Dec 04, 2022 31   @ Michigan St. W 70-63 34%     6 - 2 1 - 0 +21.9 +8.9 +13.4
  Dec 11, 2022 286   Prairie View W 61-51 96%     7 - 2 +0.5 -9.3 +10.2
  Dec 17, 2022 125   DePaul W 83-45 85%     8 - 2 +37.3 +4.2 +31.1
  Dec 20, 2022 288   Illinois-Chicago W 92-54 96%     9 - 2 +28.5 +15.7 +12.8
  Dec 29, 2022 192   Brown W 63-58 91%     10 - 2 +1.0 -6.3 +7.5
  Jan 01, 2023 46   Ohio St. L 57-73 63%     10 - 3 1 - 1 -8.6 -13.2 +4.1
  Jan 04, 2023 30   Illinois W 73-60 56%     11 - 3 2 - 1 +22.2 +5.4 +16.9
  Jan 08, 2023 24   @ Indiana W 84-83 31%     12 - 3 3 - 1 +16.7 +13.9 +2.8
  Jan 11, 2023 35   Rutgers L 62-65 59%     12 - 4 3 - 2 +5.4 +10.1 -5.4
  Jan 15, 2023 44   @ Michigan L 78-85 39%     12 - 5 3 - 3 +6.5 +7.0 -0.1
  Jan 23, 2023 61   Wisconsin W 66-63 68%     13 - 5 4 - 3 +8.9 +10.5 -1.1
  Jan 25, 2023 89   @ Nebraska W 78-63 57%     14 - 5 5 - 3 +24.0 +13.9 +10.6
  Jan 28, 2023 183   Minnesota W 81-61 91%     15 - 5 6 - 3 +16.2 +17.6 +1.1
  Jan 31, 2023 34   @ Iowa L 70-86 35%     15 - 6 6 - 4 -1.5 +3.5 -5.9
  Feb 02, 2023 44   Michigan L 51-68 62%     15 - 7 6 - 5 -9.4 -8.5 -4.2
  Feb 05, 2023 61   @ Wisconsin W 54-52 45%     16 - 7 7 - 5 +13.8 +2.6 +11.7
  Feb 09, 2023 46   @ Ohio St. W 69-63 40%     17 - 7 8 - 5 +19.3 +7.8 +12.2
  Feb 12, 2023 7   Purdue W 64-58 38%     18 - 7 9 - 5 +19.8 +1.1 +19.2
  Feb 15, 2023 24   Indiana W 64-62 54%     19 - 7 10 - 5 +11.8 +3.0 +9.0
  Feb 19, 2023 34   Iowa W 80-60 58%     20 - 7 11 - 5 +28.6 +8.6 +20.5
  Feb 23, 2023 30   @ Illinois L 62-66 33%     20 - 8 11 - 6 +11.2 +0.7 +10.3
  Feb 26, 2023 25   @ Maryland L 59-75 31%     20 - 9 11 - 7 -0.3 +10.2 -14.9
  Mar 01, 2023 40   Penn St. L 65-68 OT 61%     20 - 10 11 - 8 +4.8 +0.4 +4.1
  Mar 05, 2023 35   @ Rutgers W 65-53 36%     21 - 10 12 - 8 +26.3 +5.5 +21.0
  Mar 10, 2023 40   Penn St. L 65-67 OT 49%     21 - 11 +8.8 -5.2 +14.0
  Mar 16, 2023 38   Boise St. L 62-63 48%    
Projected Record 21 - 12 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 100.0% 99.0% 99.0% 7.6 0.0 0.6 7.1 35.0 43.6 12.0 0.7 0.0 1.0 99.0%
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 99.0% 0.0% 99.0% 7.6 0.0 0.6 7.1 35.0 43.6 12.0 0.7 0.0 1.0 99.0%