Pre-tourney Rankings
Oregon
Pac-12
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.0#47
Expected Predictive Rating+9.5#53
Pace66.1#230
Improvement+0.2#162

Offense
Total Offense+6.4#32
First Shot+4.5#56
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#51
Layup/Dunks+5.0#26
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#306
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#124
Freethrows+0.6#124
Improvement+0.9#74

Defense
Total Defense+3.6#77
First Shot+4.5#52
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#275
Layups/Dunks+3.7#45
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#294
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#192
Freethrows+2.2#37
Improvement-0.7#274
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 42.8% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 42.8% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four34.4% n/a n/a
First Round26.1% n/a n/a
Second Round10.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen3.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 9
Quad 27 - 49 - 13
Quad 35 - 114 - 14
Quad 45 - 019 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 357   Florida A&M W 80-45 99%     1 - 0 +17.5 +4.6 +14.0
  Nov 11, 2022 104   UC Irvine L 56-69 79%     1 - 1 -11.5 -15.4 +3.9
  Nov 15, 2022 117   Montana St. W 81-51 83%     2 - 1 +30.1 +10.8 +19.6
  Nov 20, 2022 2   Houston L 56-66 28%     2 - 2 +6.1 +1.0 +3.5
  Nov 24, 2022 4   Connecticut L 59-83 23%     2 - 3 -6.3 -4.7 -2.1
  Nov 25, 2022 31   Michigan St. L 70-74 43%     2 - 4 +7.9 +9.5 -2.0
  Nov 27, 2022 55   Villanova W 74-67 53%     3 - 4 +16.3 +15.2 +2.1
  Dec 01, 2022 62   Washington St. W 74-60 66%     4 - 4 1 - 0 +19.7 +8.7 +11.8
  Dec 04, 2022 3   @ UCLA L 56-65 14%     4 - 5 1 - 1 +12.6 +3.5 +8.0
  Dec 10, 2022 56   Nevada W 78-65 65%     5 - 5 +19.1 +9.3 +9.9
  Dec 14, 2022 146   UC Riverside W 71-65 86%     6 - 5 +4.4 -2.4 +6.9
  Dec 17, 2022 155   Portland W 78-56 87%     7 - 5 +19.9 -2.2 +21.3
  Dec 20, 2022 82   Utah Valley L 72-77 72%     7 - 6 -0.9 -0.4 -0.3
  Dec 31, 2022 196   Oregon St. W 77-68 90%     8 - 6 2 - 1 +4.7 +17.7 -11.4
  Jan 05, 2023 59   @ Colorado L 41-68 42%     8 - 7 2 - 2 -15.0 -21.5 +5.6
  Jan 07, 2023 70   @ Utah W 70-60 46%     9 - 7 3 - 2 +21.1 +6.5 +14.8
  Jan 12, 2023 66   Arizona St. L 73-90 67%     9 - 8 3 - 3 -11.5 +7.5 -19.4
  Jan 14, 2023 10   Arizona W 87-68 37%     10 - 8 4 - 3 +32.4 +15.6 +16.2
  Jan 18, 2023 243   @ California W 87-58 86%     11 - 8 5 - 3 +27.6 +29.4 +2.7
  Jan 21, 2023 86   @ Stanford L 64-71 51%     11 - 9 5 - 4 +2.8 -3.0 +5.4
  Jan 26, 2023 59   Colorado W 75-69 65%     12 - 9 6 - 4 +12.0 +7.0 +4.9
  Jan 28, 2023 70   Utah W 68-56 68%     13 - 9 7 - 4 +17.2 +10.4 +8.6
  Feb 02, 2023 10   @ Arizona L 76-91 19%     13 - 10 7 - 5 +4.3 +10.0 -5.5
  Feb 04, 2023 66   @ Arizona St. W 75-70 44%     14 - 10 8 - 5 +16.5 +6.1 +10.0
  Feb 09, 2023 42   USC W 78-60 59%     15 - 10 9 - 5 +25.7 +15.0 +12.2
  Feb 11, 2023 3   UCLA L 63-70 29%     15 - 11 9 - 6 +8.6 +4.4 +3.8
  Feb 15, 2023 100   @ Washington L 71-72 OT 59%     15 - 12 9 - 7 +6.7 +5.6 +1.2
  Feb 19, 2023 62   @ Washington St. L 65-68 44%     15 - 13 9 - 8 +8.6 +4.8 +3.4
  Feb 25, 2023 196   @ Oregon St. W 69-67 79%     16 - 13 10 - 8 +3.7 +13.3 -9.2
  Mar 02, 2023 243   California W 84-51 94%     17 - 13 11 - 8 +25.7 +20.9 +9.1
  Mar 04, 2023 86   Stanford W 73-68 72%     18 - 13 12 - 8 +8.8 +6.9 +2.4
  Mar 09, 2023 62   Washington St. W 75-70 55%     19 - 13 +13.6 +10.9 +3.0
  Mar 10, 2023 3   UCLA L 56-75 21%     19 - 14 -0.4 -2.8 +1.6
Projected Record 19 - 14 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 100.0% 42.8% 42.8% 11.1 0.0 0.2 2.9 33.2 6.5 0.0 57.2 42.8%
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 42.8% 0.0% 42.8% 11.1 0.0 0.2 2.9 33.2 6.5 0.0 57.2 42.8%