Pre-tourney Rankings
San Jose St.
Mountain West
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.8#96
Expected Predictive Rating+7.5#73
Pace59.4#351
Improvement+1.9#42

Offense
Total Offense+3.6#84
First Shot+2.6#96
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#95
Layup/Dunks+3.8#39
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#333
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#57
Freethrows-1.7#313
Improvement-0.1#187

Defense
Total Defense+1.2#134
First Shot+1.0#135
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#149
Layups/Dunks+0.9#140
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#251
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#177
Freethrows+0.5#143
Improvement+2.0#16
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.2% n/a n/a
First Round0.1% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 60 - 6
Quad 1b3 - 23 - 8
Quad 23 - 26 - 10
Quad 37 - 313 - 13
Quad 46 - 019 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2022 211   Georgia Southern W 63-48 82%     1 - 0 +10.0 -5.4 +16.5
  Nov 15, 2022 353   Alabama St. W 70-57 96%     2 - 0 -3.1 -1.8 +0.0
  Nov 17, 2022 93   Hofstra L 76-85 60%     2 - 1 -6.7 +5.5 -12.4
  Nov 19, 2022 227   @ Northern Colorado W 80-69 68%     3 - 1 +10.9 +13.7 -1.5
  Nov 25, 2022 65   North Texas L 54-69 36%     3 - 2 -6.5 +3.0 -13.9
  Nov 26, 2022 273   Oakland W 80-67 85%     4 - 2 +6.9 +6.6 +1.1
  Nov 27, 2022 165   Ball St. W 67-65 68%     5 - 2 +2.0 -0.9 +3.2
  Dec 03, 2022 17   @ Arkansas L 58-99 14%     5 - 3 -24.8 -6.4 -17.7
  Dec 06, 2022 287   Cal St. Bakersfield W 58-48 90%     6 - 3 +0.5 -3.8 +6.5
  Dec 10, 2022 85   @ Santa Clara W 75-64 31%     7 - 3 +20.8 +11.7 +9.9
  Dec 17, 2022 178   @ Pacific L 58-59 60%     7 - 4 +1.3 -4.6 +5.7
  Dec 20, 2022 278   Cal Poly W 65-43 90%     8 - 4 +12.7 +0.2 +15.5
  Dec 28, 2022 91   UNLV W 75-72 OT 58%     9 - 4 1 - 0 +5.7 +3.9 +1.7
  Dec 31, 2022 105   @ Colorado St. W 78-70 40%     10 - 4 2 - 0 +15.4 +11.0 +4.8
  Jan 03, 2023 38   @ Boise St. L 64-67 19%     10 - 5 2 - 1 +11.1 +4.9 +5.9
  Jan 07, 2023 56   Nevada L 40-67 45%     10 - 6 2 - 2 -20.9 -26.3 +3.4
  Jan 10, 2023 132   Fresno St. W 74-64 71%     11 - 6 3 - 2 +9.1 +13.7 -3.2
  Jan 17, 2023 57   @ New Mexico L 57-77 24%     11 - 7 3 - 3 -7.9 -7.9 -1.7
  Jan 21, 2023 28   @ Utah St. L 74-75 16%     11 - 8 3 - 4 +14.3 +16.5 -2.3
  Jan 24, 2023 152   Air Force W 82-52 74%     12 - 8 4 - 4 +28.1 +26.4 +8.3
  Jan 28, 2023 20   @ San Diego St. L 51-72 15%     12 - 9 4 - 5 -4.9 -3.3 -5.1
  Feb 04, 2023 150   Wyoming W 84-64 74%     13 - 9 5 - 5 +18.2 +16.2 +3.7
  Feb 07, 2023 132   @ Fresno St. L 62-70 49%     13 - 10 5 - 6 -3.0 +2.9 -7.0
  Feb 11, 2023 28   Utah St. W 69-64 33%     14 - 10 6 - 6 +14.4 +4.5 +10.3
  Feb 14, 2023 91   @ UNLV W 75-66 36%     15 - 10 7 - 6 +17.6 +8.9 +8.9
  Feb 17, 2023 57   New Mexico L 68-96 45%     15 - 11 7 - 7 -21.9 -1.5 -21.6
  Feb 21, 2023 56   @ Nevada L 51-66 24%     15 - 12 7 - 8 -2.9 -3.3 -3.2
  Feb 25, 2023 38   Boise St. W 74-68 OT 37%     16 - 12 8 - 8 +14.1 +6.6 +7.5
  Feb 28, 2023 105   Colorado St. W 63-46 63%     17 - 12 9 - 8 +18.4 -0.2 +21.7
  Mar 04, 2023 152   @ Air Force W 63-61 53%     18 - 12 10 - 8 +6.0 +0.6 +5.7
  Mar 09, 2023 56   Nevada W 81-77 OT 34%     19 - 12 +13.1 +13.4 -0.3
  Mar 10, 2023 20   San Diego St. L 49-64 21%     19 - 13 -1.8 -7.9 +3.8
Projected Record 19 - 13 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 0.2% 0.2% 11.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 99.8 0.2%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 11.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 99.8 0.2%