Pre-tourney Rankings
South Dakota St.
Summit League
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.7#181
Expected Predictive Rating+0.7#155
Pace67.0#205
Improvement+0.7#115

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#183
First Shot+1.8#121
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#326
Layup/Dunks-1.1#229
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#98
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#107
Freethrows-0.1#185
Improvement+1.4#49

Defense
Total Defense-0.3#186
First Shot-0.1#171
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#211
Layups/Dunks-0.1#183
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#271
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#267
Freethrows+2.6#19
Improvement-0.6#262
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 31 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 11 - 4
Quad 20 - 31 - 7
Quad 32 - 43 - 11
Quad 415 - 218 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 109   @ Akron L 80-81 OT 23%     0 - 1 +6.0 +4.3 +1.7
  Nov 09, 2022 38   @ Boise St. W 68-66 9%     1 - 1 +16.1 +1.8 +14.2
  Nov 15, 2022 182   St. Bonaventure W 66-62 50%     2 - 1 +3.2 -11.9 +14.6
  Nov 16, 2022 17   @ Arkansas L 56-71 7%     2 - 2 +1.2 -14.1 +17.1
  Nov 19, 2022 144   Stephen F. Austin L 82-93 53%     2 - 3 -12.6 +4.2 -16.0
  Nov 25, 2022 280   Valparaiso W 61-50 71%     3 - 3 +4.7 -8.6 +14.2
  Nov 26, 2022 98   James Madison L 60-79 30%     3 - 4 -14.2 -10.3 -3.6
  Dec 02, 2022 72   @ Kent St. L 68-83 14%     3 - 5 -4.1 +4.9 -9.5
  Dec 03, 2022 1   @ Alabama L 65-78 3%     3 - 6 +9.7 +5.3 +4.3
  Dec 06, 2022 168   @ Montana L 56-81 37%     3 - 7 -22.2 -14.0 -9.8
  Dec 10, 2022 138   Eastern Washington W 77-76 52%     4 - 7 -0.2 +4.0 -4.2
  Dec 19, 2022 68   @ Oral Roberts L 40-79 13%     4 - 8 0 - 1 -27.7 -29.8 +2.2
  Dec 29, 2022 265   Western Illinois W 71-64 78%     5 - 8 1 - 1 -1.7 +0.8 -1.6
  Dec 31, 2022 220   St. Thomas W 71-64 68%     6 - 8 2 - 1 +1.5 -7.5 +9.0
  Jan 05, 2023 222   @ North Dakota St. L 59-65 47%     6 - 9 2 - 2 -5.9 -3.5 -3.6
  Jan 07, 2023 276   @ North Dakota W 60-59 60%     7 - 9 3 - 2 -2.3 -16.1 +13.8
  Jan 14, 2023 294   @ South Dakota W 82-64 63%     8 - 9 4 - 2 +13.9 +6.6 +7.6
  Jan 19, 2023 318   Nebraska Omaha W 84-61 85%     9 - 9 5 - 2 +11.2 +8.3 +4.0
  Jan 21, 2023 306   Denver W 76-61 83%     10 - 9 6 - 2 +4.3 +3.1 +2.4
  Jan 26, 2023 220   @ St. Thomas L 54-60 45%     10 - 10 6 - 3 -5.5 -15.9 +9.8
  Jan 28, 2023 265   @ Western Illinois L 73-81 OT 58%     10 - 11 6 - 4 -10.7 -3.3 -7.3
  Jan 30, 2023 309   @ UMKC W 67-66 67%     11 - 11 7 - 4 -4.2 +3.5 -7.5
  Feb 02, 2023 276   North Dakota W 96-73 79%     12 - 11 8 - 4 +13.8 +16.8 -3.1
  Feb 04, 2023 222   North Dakota St. W 90-85 69%     13 - 11 9 - 4 -0.9 +20.3 -20.9
  Feb 11, 2023 294   South Dakota W 72-67 81%     14 - 11 10 - 4 -5.0 +6.1 -10.2
  Feb 16, 2023 306   @ Denver W 80-75 65%     15 - 11 11 - 4 +0.2 +5.9 -5.6
  Feb 18, 2023 318   @ Nebraska Omaha W 91-70 69%     16 - 11 12 - 4 +15.2 +19.3 -3.0
  Feb 23, 2023 309   UMKC W 73-50 83%     17 - 11 13 - 4 +11.9 +5.7 +9.0
  Feb 25, 2023 68   Oral Roberts L 65-69 28%     17 - 12 13 - 5 +1.4 -5.9 +7.1
  Mar 04, 2023 318   Nebraska Omaha W 63-55 78%     18 - 12 -0.8 -13.7 +13.1
  Mar 06, 2023 222   North Dakota St. L 79-89 58%     18 - 13 -12.9 -0.1 -12.3
Projected Record 18 - 13 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%