Pre-tourney Rankings
Southern Miss
Sun Belt
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.1#107
Expected Predictive Rating+7.3#76
Pace70.1#127
Improvement-2.8#354

Offense
Total Offense+1.6#129
First Shot+0.7#156
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#101
Layup/Dunks+1.0#125
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#187
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#230
Freethrows+0.9#100
Improvement-1.1#293

Defense
Total Defense+2.5#97
First Shot+2.4#100
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#167
Layups/Dunks+3.8#42
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#238
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#207
Freethrows-0.6#241
Improvement-1.7#332
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 01 - 0
Quad 22 - 43 - 4
Quad 35 - 38 - 7
Quad 414 - 022 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2022 79   @ Vanderbilt W 60-48 27%     1 - 0 +22.4 -10.3 +32.8
  Nov 18, 2022 69   @ Liberty W 76-72 25%     2 - 0 +15.3 +14.4 +1.2
  Nov 22, 2022 244   Winthrop W 77-52 79%     3 - 0 +20.6 +1.5 +20.4
  Nov 23, 2022 236   Purdue Fort Wayne W 70-58 77%     4 - 0 +8.2 +2.9 +6.4
  Nov 29, 2022 168   Montana W 64-54 76%     5 - 0 +6.9 +4.0 +5.5
  Dec 04, 2022 225   @ Northwestern St. L 82-84 66%     5 - 1 -2.1 +1.3 -3.3
  Dec 10, 2022 356   Lamar W 95-59 97%     6 - 1 +18.7 +9.0 +7.9
  Dec 13, 2022 356   @ Lamar W 91-65 92%     7 - 1 +14.6 +7.5 +5.7
  Dec 18, 2022 338   McNeese St. W 86-67 95%     8 - 1 +4.9 -0.8 +4.5
  Dec 22, 2022 91   @ UNLV L 63-74 33%     8 - 2 -2.4 -7.6 +5.8
  Dec 29, 2022 135   Troy W 64-60 69%     9 - 2 1 - 0 +3.0 -8.5 +11.5
  Dec 31, 2022 180   Appalachian St. W 76-70 77%     10 - 2 2 - 0 +2.3 +7.4 -4.9
  Jan 05, 2023 101   @ Louisiana L 61-75 36%     10 - 3 2 - 1 -6.3 -4.4 -3.1
  Jan 07, 2023 282   @ Louisiana Monroe W 65-60 76%     11 - 3 3 - 1 +1.6 +2.0 +0.3
  Jan 12, 2023 83   @ Marshall L 67-89 29%     11 - 4 3 - 2 -12.2 -5.9 -4.9
  Jan 14, 2023 284   @ Arkansas St. W 74-57 76%     12 - 4 4 - 2 +13.5 +1.2 +12.7
  Jan 19, 2023 110   South Alabama W 76-72 62%     13 - 4 5 - 2 +5.1 +3.3 +1.7
  Jan 21, 2023 98   James Madison W 83-70 59%     14 - 4 6 - 2 +14.8 +20.0 -4.0
  Jan 26, 2023 284   Arkansas St. W 73-57 89%     15 - 4 7 - 2 +6.6 +6.5 +2.5
  Jan 28, 2023 197   Texas St. W 67-58 79%     16 - 4 8 - 2 +4.7 -1.1 +6.7
  Feb 02, 2023 135   @ Troy W 74-65 47%     17 - 4 9 - 2 +14.0 +10.0 +4.5
  Feb 04, 2023 268   @ Georgia St. W 79-71 74%     18 - 4 10 - 2 +5.2 +4.5 +0.5
  Feb 09, 2023 101   Louisiana W 82-71 59%     19 - 4 11 - 2 +12.8 +8.5 +4.3
  Feb 11, 2023 282   Louisiana Monroe W 76-67 89%     20 - 4 12 - 2 -0.4 -0.5 +0.0
  Feb 16, 2023 110   @ South Alabama L 54-85 39%     20 - 5 12 - 3 -24.0 -11.6 -14.1
  Feb 18, 2023 211   Georgia Southern W 73-62 80%     21 - 5 13 - 3 +6.0 -2.7 +8.3
  Feb 22, 2023 167   @ Old Dominion L 64-69 55%     21 - 6 13 - 4 -2.1 -7.0 +5.0
  Feb 24, 2023 197   @ Texas St. W 79-69 59%     22 - 6 14 - 4 +11.6 +10.0 +2.0
  Mar 04, 2023 110   South Alabama L 61-78 50%     22 - 7 -13.0 -7.1 -6.5
Projected Record 22 - 7 14 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.8 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.8 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%