Pre-tourney Rankings
Tarleton St.
Western Athletic
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.1#164
Expected Predictive Rating+0.9#150
Pace66.4#220
Improvement-1.0#268

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#218
First Shot+0.2#171
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#297
Layup/Dunks+0.4#159
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#51
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.9#352
Freethrows+4.4#2
Improvement-1.0#288

Defense
Total Defense+1.4#125
First Shot-0.5#193
After Offensive Rebounds+1.9#27
Layups/Dunks+2.9#60
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#68
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#250
Freethrows-3.4#353
Improvement+0.0#191
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 21 - 51 - 9
Quad 36 - 57 - 14
Quad 46 - 213 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 66   @ Arizona St. L 59-62 14%     0 - 1 +8.5 -11.0 +19.8
  Nov 18, 2022 123   Belmont W 89-81 40%     1 - 1 +10.8 +8.3 +1.9
  Nov 20, 2022 154   Boston College W 70-54 47%     2 - 1 +16.9 +6.5 +12.0
  Nov 21, 2022 73   Drake L 64-71 23%     2 - 2 +0.9 -2.1 +2.8
  Nov 26, 2022 99   @ Wichita St. L 71-83 23%     2 - 3 -4.3 +7.4 -12.4
  Nov 29, 2022 198   Weber St. W 75-65 67%     3 - 3 +5.6 +0.8 +4.5
  Dec 06, 2022 14   @ Baylor L 57-80 6%     3 - 4 -5.6 -11.8 +6.3
  Dec 11, 2022 63   @ Central Florida L 49-75 14%     3 - 5 -14.4 -10.5 -7.3
  Dec 18, 2022 152   @ Air Force L 67-81 35%     3 - 6 -10.0 +1.1 -12.0
  Dec 29, 2022 242   Texas Arlington W 70-63 75%     4 - 6 1 - 0 -0.1 -1.5 +1.7
  Dec 31, 2022 204   @ Abilene Christian L 63-69 46%     4 - 7 1 - 1 -4.8 -12.2 +7.6
  Jan 05, 2023 115   Southern Utah W 68-65 48%     5 - 7 2 - 1 +3.5 -1.2 +5.0
  Jan 07, 2023 81   @ Sam Houston St. L 68-75 17%     5 - 8 2 - 2 +3.2 +4.1 -0.9
  Jan 11, 2023 307   Chicago St. W 73-63 85%     6 - 8 -1.0 -2.2 +1.9
  Jan 14, 2023 204   Abilene Christian W 72-63 68%     7 - 8 3 - 2 +4.3 -2.1 +6.6
  Jan 19, 2023 153   @ Seattle L 47-67 35%     7 - 9 3 - 3 -16.0 -18.7 +1.7
  Jan 21, 2023 161   @ California Baptist L 48-77 38%     7 - 10 3 - 4 -25.8 -9.9 -23.0
  Jan 26, 2023 158   Utah Tech W 74-72 60%     8 - 10 4 - 4 -0.7 -7.4 +6.6
  Jan 28, 2023 113   Grand Canyon W 81-62 47%     9 - 10 5 - 4 +19.8 +21.6 +1.9
  Feb 04, 2023 254   UT Rio Grande Valley L 65-68 78%     9 - 11 5 - 5 -11.1 -11.5 +0.3
  Feb 06, 2023 242   @ Texas Arlington W 69-64 55%     10 - 11 6 - 5 +3.8 -2.9 +6.7
  Feb 09, 2023 115   @ Southern Utah L 62-72 27%     10 - 12 6 - 6 -3.6 -4.9 +0.6
  Feb 11, 2023 158   @ Utah Tech W 75-71 38%     11 - 12 7 - 6 +7.3 +8.6 -1.0
  Feb 15, 2023 144   @ Stephen F. Austin L 60-65 34%     11 - 13 7 - 7 -0.6 -5.2 +4.2
  Feb 18, 2023 81   Sam Houston St. L 59-64 34%     11 - 14 7 - 8 -0.7 -0.1 -1.4
  Feb 23, 2023 82   Utah Valley W 77-58 35%     12 - 14 8 - 8 +23.1 +6.4 +16.2
  Feb 25, 2023 254   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 95-99 OT 58%     12 - 15 8 - 9 -6.1 -0.3 -5.0
  Mar 07, 2023 254   UT Rio Grande Valley W 74-70 69%     13 - 15 -1.1 +0.0 -0.9
  Mar 09, 2023 82   Utah Valley L 58-72 25%     13 - 16 -6.9 -8.1 +0.9
Projected Record 13 - 16 8 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%