Pre-tourney Rankings
Texas Arlington
Western Athletic
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.1#242
Expected Predictive Rating-3.6#234
Pace65.1#265
Improvement+0.8#106

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#281
First Shot-5.7#333
After Offensive Rebound+2.2#41
Layup/Dunks+0.1#173
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#248
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#298
Freethrows-1.7#314
Improvement+0.8#85

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#192
First Shot-1.0#206
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#124
Layups/Dunks+1.4#116
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#151
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#259
Freethrows-1.1#278
Improvement+0.0#186
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 3
Quad 22 - 42 - 7
Quad 34 - 116 - 18
Quad 42 - 38 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 41   @ Oklahoma St. L 66-77 6%     0 - 1 +2.7 -2.1 +5.7
  Nov 18, 2022 56   Nevada L 43-62 17%     0 - 2 -12.9 -26.6 +13.9
  Nov 21, 2022 201   Drexel L 38-59 40%     0 - 3 -22.5 -27.7 +1.9
  Nov 22, 2022 172   Northern Kentucky W 60-56 36%     1 - 3 +3.7 -3.7 +7.9
  Nov 23, 2022 173   East Carolina L 65-79 36%     1 - 4 -14.3 -1.6 -14.0
  Dec 02, 2022 126   @ LSU L 59-63 19%     1 - 5 +1.3 -5.7 +6.6
  Dec 06, 2022 65   North Texas L 57-60 18%     1 - 6 +2.5 +3.4 -1.6
  Dec 10, 2022 197   Texas St. L 65-71 39%     1 - 7 -7.4 -2.3 -5.6
  Dec 19, 2022 94   @ San Francisco W 68-63 13%     2 - 7 +13.1 -1.9 +15.0
  Dec 21, 2022 243   @ California L 51-73 39%     2 - 8 -23.4 -12.8 -13.8
  Dec 29, 2022 164   @ Tarleton St. L 63-70 25%     2 - 9 0 - 1 -4.0 -3.9 -0.4
  Dec 31, 2022 144   Stephen F. Austin L 62-66 40%     2 - 10 0 - 2 -5.6 -2.5 -3.5
  Jan 05, 2023 82   Utah Valley L 64-72 22%     2 - 11 0 - 3 -3.9 -4.3 +0.4
  Jan 07, 2023 153   Seattle L 61-76 41%     2 - 12 0 - 4 -16.9 -0.3 -19.0
  Jan 12, 2023 113   @ Grand Canyon L 48-80 15%     2 - 13 0 - 5 -25.2 -20.9 -6.6
  Jan 14, 2023 184   @ New Mexico St. W 66-55 27%     3 - 13 1 - 5 +13.1 -7.1 +20.0
  Jan 19, 2023 254   UT Rio Grande Valley W 85-73 65%     4 - 13 2 - 5 +3.9 +5.3 -1.6
  Jan 21, 2023 204   @ Abilene Christian L 68-84 30%     4 - 14 2 - 6 -14.8 +0.3 -16.3
  Jan 25, 2023 161   California Baptist L 66-74 45%     4 - 15 2 - 7 -10.7 -2.2 -9.1
  Feb 04, 2023 81   Sam Houston St. W 70-58 21%     5 - 15 3 - 7 +16.3 +12.3 +5.7
  Feb 06, 2023 164   Tarleton St. L 64-69 45%     5 - 16 3 - 8 -7.9 -8.9 +1.0
  Feb 09, 2023 254   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 64-58 42%     6 - 16 4 - 8 +3.9 -10.0 +14.0
  Feb 15, 2023 81   @ Sam Houston St. L 56-66 10%     6 - 17 4 - 9 +0.2 -6.3 +6.1
  Feb 18, 2023 144   @ Stephen F. Austin W 75-70 21%     7 - 17 5 - 9 +9.4 +6.6 +2.9
  Feb 23, 2023 115   Southern Utah L 76-86 33%     7 - 18 5 - 10 -9.5 -4.4 -4.3
  Feb 25, 2023 158   Utah Tech W 71-69 OT 44%     8 - 18 6 - 10 -0.7 -4.2 +3.5
  Mar 01, 2023 82   @ Utah Valley L 59-78 10%     8 - 19 6 - 11 -9.0 -6.2 -3.0
  Mar 03, 2023 153   @ Seattle L 56-80 22%     8 - 20 6 - 12 -20.0 -11.0 -9.5
  Mar 07, 2023 113   Grand Canyon L 77-82 23%     8 - 21 -1.2 +6.5 -7.9
Projected Record 8 - 21 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%