Pre-tourney Rankings
UC San Diego
Big West
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.1#253
Expected Predictive Rating-5.7#263
Pace65.8#242
Improvement+1.2#80

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#235
First Shot-0.5#198
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#271
Layup/Dunks+1.5#110
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#267
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#106
Freethrows-2.3#336
Improvement+1.2#56

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#279
First Shot-2.6#270
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#263
Layups/Dunks+0.6#156
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#205
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#327
Freethrows+0.5#144
Improvement+0.0#190
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: San Diego (Away) - 31.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 32 - 123 - 16
Quad 45 - 48 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 153   Seattle L 71-85 38%     0 - 1 -15.9 +4.0 -20.7
  Nov 12, 2022 231   Sacramento St. L 55-65 55%     0 - 2 -16.4 -10.7 -7.8
  Nov 15, 2022 243   California W 64-62 59%     1 - 2 -5.3 -0.7 -4.3
  Nov 18, 2022 191   @ Navy L 69-78 OT 25%     1 - 3 -7.0 -6.4 -0.1
  Nov 19, 2022 133   Youngstown St. L 54-73 25%     1 - 4 -17.0 -17.2 -1.5
  Nov 22, 2022 207   @ George Washington W 75-70 28%     2 - 4 +6.1 +2.2 +4.2
  Nov 27, 2022 310   @ Eastern Michigan W 66-63 51%     3 - 4 -2.3 -8.7 +6.5
  Dec 12, 2022 221   @ San Diego L 73-78 31%    
  Dec 14, 2022 56   @ Nevada L 56-64 6%     3 - 5 +4.1 -6.5 +10.0
  Dec 20, 2022 20   @ San Diego St. L 46-62 4%     3 - 6 +0.1 -16.3 +16.2
  Dec 29, 2022 162   @ Long Beach St. W 85-83 OT 22%     4 - 6 1 - 0 +5.1 +1.2 +3.7
  Dec 31, 2022 108   @ UC Santa Barbara L 61-82 13%     4 - 7 1 - 1 -13.9 -4.1 -11.9
  Jan 05, 2023 130   Hawaii L 49-62 34%     4 - 8 1 - 2 -13.9 -12.5 -3.6
  Jan 11, 2023 146   UC Riverside L 68-74 37%     4 - 9 1 - 3 -7.6 -4.5 -3.2
  Jan 14, 2023 287   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 52-56 44%     4 - 10 1 - 4 -7.5 -7.9 -0.5
  Jan 16, 2023 160   UC Davis L 70-78 41%     4 - 11 1 - 5 -10.7 +0.5 -11.7
  Jan 19, 2023 278   @ Cal Poly W 71-64 43%     5 - 11 2 - 5 +3.7 +6.8 -2.5
  Jan 21, 2023 162   Long Beach St. L 110-112 3OT 41%     5 - 12 2 - 6 -4.8 +4.3 -8.5
  Jan 26, 2023 321   @ Cal St. Northridge W 65-57 54%     6 - 12 3 - 6 +1.9 -9.2 +11.1
  Jan 28, 2023 146   @ UC Riverside L 65-72 19%     6 - 13 3 - 7 -2.6 -0.4 -2.8
  Feb 02, 2023 104   UC Irvine L 60-76 26%     6 - 14 3 - 8 -14.5 -12.6 -1.6
  Feb 04, 2023 287   Cal St. Bakersfield L 69-75 OT 67%     6 - 15 3 - 9 -15.5 -5.1 -10.4
  Feb 09, 2023 130   @ Hawaii L 62-69 17%     6 - 16 3 - 10 -2.0 +4.2 -7.2
  Feb 15, 2023 127   Cal St. Fullerton L 73-76 34%     6 - 17 3 - 11 -3.7 +7.1 -11.1
  Feb 18, 2023 321   Cal St. Northridge W 75-62 75%     7 - 17 4 - 11 +1.0 +0.1 +1.2
  Feb 20, 2023 160   @ UC Davis L 66-76 21%     7 - 18 4 - 12 -6.8 -5.8 -0.7
  Feb 23, 2023 104   @ UC Irvine W 99-91 12%     8 - 18 5 - 12 +15.5 +15.2 -1.0
  Feb 25, 2023 108   UC Santa Barbara L 71-87 28%     8 - 19 5 - 13 -14.9 +2.8 -19.0
Projected Record 8 - 20 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15 100.0% 100.0
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 31.5%
Lose Out 68.5%