Pre-tourney Rankings
UNC Wilmington
Colonial Athletic
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.4#157
Expected Predictive Rating+4.4#109
Pace63.9#289
Improvement-1.2#288

Offense
Total Offense-1.8#237
First Shot-1.1#218
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#234
Layup/Dunks-4.2#329
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#33
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#291
Freethrows+3.1#12
Improvement-1.4#318

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#105
First Shot+1.2#128
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#80
Layups/Dunks+0.6#155
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#321
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#38
Freethrows-1.1#272
Improvement+0.1#169
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 41 - 5
Quad 21 - 22 - 7
Quad 35 - 27 - 9
Quad 415 - 122 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 39   @ North Carolina L 56-69 11%     0 - 1 +1.0 -4.7 +4.5
  Nov 15, 2022 53   @ Oklahoma L 53-74 13%     0 - 2 -8.5 -5.2 -6.4
  Nov 18, 2022 4   @ Connecticut L 50-86 4%     0 - 3 -15.3 -10.2 -7.4
  Nov 25, 2022 151   Missouri St. W 68-54 47%     1 - 3 +15.1 +1.7 +14.5
  Nov 26, 2022 120   Vermont W 68-66 40%     2 - 3 +5.0 +0.2 +5.0
  Nov 27, 2022 65   North Texas W 55-51 22%     3 - 3 +12.5 +0.4 +13.1
  Nov 30, 2022 290   @ Coastal Carolina W 60-58 66%     4 - 3 -1.8 -13.5 +11.9
  Dec 06, 2022 173   East Carolina W 74-61 64%     5 - 3 +9.7 +8.7 +2.5
  Dec 10, 2022 230   Jacksonville W 81-53 74%     6 - 3 +21.6 +16.6 +8.6
  Dec 18, 2022 302   High Point W 85-82 85%     7 - 3 -7.5 -1.0 -6.7
  Dec 21, 2022 229   @ Campbell W 74-66 53%     8 - 3 +7.7 +6.7 +1.8
  Dec 28, 2022 343   @ Monmouth W 68-55 80%     9 - 3 1 - 0 +4.4 -1.4 +6.7
  Dec 31, 2022 349   Hampton W 82-65 92%     10 - 3 2 - 0 +1.6 +3.8 -1.5
  Jan 04, 2023 334   @ Elon W 81-66 78%     11 - 3 3 - 0 +7.3 +8.6 -0.6
  Jan 07, 2023 316   @ N.C. A&T W 66-61 72%     12 - 3 4 - 0 -0.7 -7.9 +7.3
  Jan 11, 2023 71   College of Charleston L 69-71 33%     12 - 4 4 - 1 +3.0 +6.4 -3.6
  Jan 14, 2023 319   William & Mary L 67-69 87%     12 - 5 4 - 2 -13.8 -9.3 -4.6
  Jan 16, 2023 334   Elon W 62-54 90%     13 - 5 5 - 2 -5.7 -10.4 +5.6
  Jan 19, 2023 93   @ Hofstra L 46-70 23%     13 - 6 5 - 3 -15.8 -17.7 -1.1
  Jan 21, 2023 326   @ Stony Brook W 62-51 74%     14 - 6 6 - 3 +4.7 -4.6 +10.7
  Jan 26, 2023 343   Monmouth W 52-49 91%     15 - 6 7 - 3 -11.6 -20.4 +9.1
  Feb 02, 2023 316   N.C. A&T W 87-63 87%     16 - 6 8 - 3 +12.3 +7.7 +4.4
  Feb 04, 2023 319   @ William & Mary W 70-63 73%     17 - 6 9 - 3 +1.1 +6.1 -3.7
  Feb 08, 2023 71   @ College of Charleston L 61-93 16%     17 - 7 9 - 4 -21.0 -11.2 -7.3
  Feb 11, 2023 299   Northeastern W 71-59 84%     18 - 7 10 - 4 +1.6 +0.1 +2.5
  Feb 16, 2023 201   @ Drexel W 72-71 2OT 46%     19 - 7 11 - 4 +2.4 -4.9 +7.3
  Feb 18, 2023 235   @ Delaware L 66-75 55%     19 - 8 11 - 5 -9.7 -6.8 -3.1
  Feb 23, 2023 326   Stony Brook W 76-69 88%     20 - 8 12 - 5 -5.3 -1.0 -4.2
  Feb 25, 2023 134   Towson L 53-57 55%     20 - 9 12 - 6 -5.0 -19.6 +14.5
  Mar 05, 2023 201   Drexel W 73-68 58%     21 - 9 +3.5 +13.2 -8.9
  Mar 06, 2023 93   Hofstra W 79-73 OT 32%     22 - 9 +11.3 +4.4 +6.6
  Mar 07, 2023 71   College of Charleston L 58-63 23%     22 - 10 +3.0 -5.6 +8.2
Projected Record 22 - 10 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%