Pre-tourney Rankings
Villanova
Big East
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.3#55
Expected Predictive Rating+8.0#69
Pace61.0#340
Improvement+2.3#20

Offense
Total Offense+6.1#37
First Shot+7.7#10
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#304
Layup/Dunks+0.8#137
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#324
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.3#13
Freethrows+3.1#10
Improvement-0.1#192

Defense
Total Defense+3.2#84
First Shot+1.6#120
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#42
Layups/Dunks+3.2#56
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#242
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#284
Freethrows+1.0#101
Improvement+2.4#10
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 81 - 8
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 11
Quad 23 - 35 - 14
Quad 36 - 211 - 16
Quad 46 - 017 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 218   La Salle W 81-68 91%     1 - 0 +7.6 +15.1 -6.0
  Nov 11, 2022 112   @ Temple L 64-68 60%     1 - 1 +2.8 -0.4 +2.9
  Nov 14, 2022 359   Delaware St. W 60-50 99%     2 - 1 -7.8 -7.2 +1.6
  Nov 18, 2022 31   @ Michigan St. L 71-73 30%     2 - 2 +12.9 +13.1 -0.4
  Nov 24, 2022 18   Iowa St. L 79-81 OT 35%     2 - 3 +11.2 +8.3 +3.1
  Nov 25, 2022 155   Portland L 71-83 79%     2 - 4 -11.1 -4.0 -7.4
  Nov 27, 2022 47   Oregon L 67-74 47%     2 - 5 +3.0 +7.5 -5.6
  Dec 03, 2022 53   Oklahoma W 70-66 61%     3 - 5 +10.5 +17.6 -6.1
  Dec 07, 2022 139   Penn W 70-59 84%     4 - 5 +9.8 +6.0 +5.7
  Dec 10, 2022 154   Boston College W 77-56 79%     5 - 5 +21.9 +11.3 +11.9
  Dec 17, 2022 171   @ Saint Joseph's W 71-64 74%     6 - 5 +9.6 +3.2 +6.8
  Dec 21, 2022 80   St. John's W 78-63 68%     7 - 5 1 - 0 +19.4 +3.6 +14.8
  Dec 28, 2022 4   @ Connecticut L 66-74 14%     7 - 6 1 - 1 +12.7 +2.8 +9.8
  Dec 31, 2022 11   Marquette L 66-68 38%     7 - 7 1 - 2 +10.5 +5.3 +5.0
  Jan 04, 2023 209   @ Georgetown W 73-57 78%     8 - 7 2 - 2 +17.0 +4.0 +13.9
  Jan 07, 2023 13   Xavier L 80-88 41%     8 - 8 2 - 3 +3.5 +4.8 -0.8
  Jan 10, 2023 125   @ DePaul L 65-75 65%     8 - 9 2 - 4 -4.7 -2.2 -3.1
  Jan 13, 2023 102   @ Butler L 71-79 57%     8 - 10 2 - 5 -0.5 +11.1 -12.2
  Jan 16, 2023 209   Georgetown W 77-73 90%     9 - 10 3 - 5 -0.9 +4.5 -5.2
  Jan 20, 2023 80   @ St. John's W 57-49 46%     10 - 10 4 - 5 +18.4 -6.0 +24.8
  Jan 29, 2023 36   Providence L 65-70 54%     10 - 11 4 - 6 +3.3 +1.8 +1.0
  Feb 01, 2023 11   @ Marquette L 64-73 19%     10 - 12 4 - 7 +9.5 +1.5 +7.5
  Feb 04, 2023 12   @ Creighton L 61-66 21%     10 - 13 4 - 8 +12.7 +4.2 +8.0
  Feb 08, 2023 125   DePaul W 81-65 83%     11 - 13 5 - 8 +15.3 +15.0 +2.0
  Feb 11, 2023 58   Seton Hall W 58-54 62%     12 - 13 6 - 8 +10.1 -1.9 +12.5
  Feb 14, 2023 102   Butler W 62-50 77%     13 - 13 7 - 8 +13.6 +3.4 +12.1
  Feb 18, 2023 36   @ Providence L 72-85 31%     13 - 14 7 - 9 +1.3 +6.4 -5.6
  Feb 21, 2023 13   @ Xavier W 64-63 22%     14 - 14 8 - 9 +18.5 +3.4 +15.2
  Feb 25, 2023 12   Creighton W 79-67 41%     15 - 14 9 - 9 +23.7 +22.1 +3.0
  Feb 28, 2023 58   @ Seton Hall W 76-72 39%     16 - 14 10 - 9 +16.1 +19.4 -2.9
  Mar 04, 2023 4   Connecticut L 59-71 30%     16 - 15 10 - 10 +2.7 -3.0 +4.9
  Mar 08, 2023 209   Georgetown W 80-48 85%     17 - 15 +30.1 +14.9 +18.8
  Mar 09, 2023 12   Creighton L 74-87 30%     17 - 16 +1.7 +9.1 -7.3
Projected Record 17 - 16 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 100.0% 0.1% 0.1% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.1%
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.1%