Pre-tourney Rankings
Xavier
Big East
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.5#13
Expected Predictive Rating+15.3#13
Pace74.4#40
Improvement+0.3#157

Offense
Total Offense+10.4#5
First Shot+10.0#3
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#151
Layup/Dunks+6.7#5
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#192
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#98
Freethrows+1.7#59
Improvement-0.8#266

Defense
Total Defense+4.1#67
First Shot+2.4#98
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#40
Layups/Dunks+0.2#171
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#244
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#174
Freethrows+2.5#25
Improvement+1.0#70
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.3% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 5.9% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 93.3% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 3.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round82.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen49.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight22.9% n/a n/a
Final Four10.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game4.5% n/a n/a
National Champion1.9% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 3 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 54 - 5
Quad 1b5 - 19 - 6
Quad 24 - 213 - 8
Quad 34 - 117 - 9
Quad 48 - 025 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 322   Morgan St. W 96-73 98%     1 - 0 +10.8 +6.6 +1.0
  Nov 11, 2022 168   Montana W 86-64 94%     2 - 0 +18.9 +16.5 +4.2
  Nov 15, 2022 255   Fairfield W 78-65 97%     3 - 0 +4.9 -1.3 +5.5
  Nov 18, 2022 24   Indiana L 79-81 68%     3 - 1 +7.8 +8.8 -1.1
  Nov 24, 2022 54   Florida W 90-83 69%     4 - 1 +16.3 +15.8 -0.2
  Nov 25, 2022 19   Duke L 64-71 55%     4 - 2 +6.2 +3.0 +2.7
  Nov 27, 2022 8   Gonzaga L 84-88 41%     4 - 3 +12.8 +10.0 +3.0
  Nov 30, 2022 266   SE Louisiana W 95-63 97%     5 - 3 +23.3 +3.3 +15.8
  Dec 03, 2022 16   West Virginia W 84-74 64%     6 - 3 +20.7 +13.5 +7.1
  Dec 10, 2022 52   @ Cincinnati W 80-77 58%     7 - 3 +15.5 +7.0 +8.3
  Dec 13, 2022 291   Southern W 79-59 98%     8 - 3 +10.3 -4.2 +12.3
  Dec 16, 2022 209   @ Georgetown W 102-89 89%     9 - 3 1 - 0 +14.0 +19.4 -6.6
  Dec 20, 2022 58   Seton Hall W 73-70 79%     10 - 3 2 - 0 +9.1 +4.4 +4.7
  Dec 28, 2022 80   @ St. John's W 84-79 66%     11 - 3 3 - 0 +15.4 +7.6 +7.1
  Dec 31, 2022 4   Connecticut W 83-73 49%     12 - 3 4 - 0 +24.7 +12.3 +12.0
  Jan 07, 2023 55   @ Villanova W 88-80 59%     13 - 3 5 - 0 +20.3 +14.4 +5.3
  Jan 11, 2023 12   Creighton W 90-87 61%     14 - 3 6 - 0 +14.7 +16.2 -1.8
  Jan 15, 2023 11   Marquette W 80-76 58%     15 - 3 7 - 0 +16.5 +12.2 +4.4
  Jan 18, 2023 125   @ DePaul L 72-73 81%     15 - 4 7 - 1 +4.3 -2.6 +7.0
  Jan 21, 2023 209   Georgetown W 95-82 95%     16 - 4 8 - 1 +8.1 +13.1 -5.9
  Jan 25, 2023 4   @ Connecticut W 82-79 28%     17 - 4 9 - 1 +23.7 +18.5 +5.2
  Jan 28, 2023 12   @ Creighton L 67-84 38%     17 - 5 9 - 2 +0.7 +5.5 -5.3
  Feb 01, 2023 36   Providence W 85-83 OT 72%     18 - 5 10 - 2 +10.3 +11.6 -1.3
  Feb 04, 2023 80   St. John's W 96-71 83%     19 - 5 11 - 2 +29.4 +22.5 +5.8
  Feb 10, 2023 102   @ Butler L 67-69 75%     19 - 6 11 - 3 +5.5 +1.7 +3.8
  Feb 15, 2023 11   @ Marquette L 68-69 35%     19 - 7 11 - 4 +17.5 +4.0 +13.5
  Feb 18, 2023 125   DePaul W 82-68 91%     20 - 7 12 - 4 +13.3 +2.7 +9.8
  Feb 21, 2023 55   Villanova L 63-64 78%     20 - 8 12 - 5 +5.3 -1.6 +6.8
  Feb 24, 2023 58   @ Seton Hall W 82-60 59%     21 - 8 13 - 5 +34.1 +22.1 +12.9
  Mar 01, 2023 36   @ Providence W 94-89 51%     22 - 8 14 - 5 +19.3 +24.5 -5.3
  Mar 04, 2023 102   Butler W 78-66 88%     23 - 8 15 - 5 +13.6 +14.1 +0.2
  Mar 09, 2023 125   DePaul W 89-84 87%     24 - 8 +7.3 +17.4 -10.0
  Mar 10, 2023 12   Creighton W 82-60 49%     25 - 8 +36.7 +19.0 +18.2
  Mar 11, 2023 11   Marquette L 51-65 46%     25 - 9 +1.5 -12.3 +12.8
  Mar 17, 2023 131   Kennesaw St. W 84-72 87%    
Projected Record 26 - 9 15 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0%
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3.5 0.3 5.6 46.3 41.1 6.5 0.2 0.0 100.0%
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3.5 0.3 5.6 46.3 41.1 6.5 0.2 0.0 100.0%