IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Albany
America East
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.2	#300
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	64.6	#275
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-6.4	#332

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.8	#235

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.2%	8.3%	2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.2	14.7	15.3

.500 or above	19.0%	50.3%	16.3%
.500 or above in Conference	41.1%	66.6%	38.9%
Conference Champion	3.3%	9.6%	2.7%
Last Place in Conference	13.9%	4.1%	14.7%

First Four	1.2%	1.9%	1.2%
First Round	2.6%	7.3%	2.1%
Second Round	0.1%	0.5%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Towson (Away) - 8.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 6
Quad 3	1 - 6	1 - 11
Quad 4	8 - 7	10 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2022	118	@ Towson	L	57-72	8%
Nov 12, 2022	244	@ Siena	L	60-68	25%
Nov 17, 2022	149	@ Saint Joseph's	L	61-73	14%
Nov 21, 2022	254	Austin Peay	L	62-66	38%
Nov 26, 2022	125	Florida Atlantic	L	64-72	24%
Nov 29, 2022	312	@ American	L	63-65	43%
Dec 05, 2022	124	@ Massachusetts	L	65-80	12%
Dec 10, 2022	50	@ Providence	L	54-75	4%
Dec 14, 2022	304	LIU Brooklyn	W	74-71	61%
Dec 18, 2022	54	@ Loyola Chicago	L	52-73	5%
Dec 20, 2022	294	@ Northern Illinois	L	64-67	40%
Dec 28, 2022	20	@ Virginia	L	45-70	2%
Dec 31, 2022	329	New Hampshire	W	64-58	68%
Jan 05, 2023	236	@ Maryland Baltimore Co.	L	65-73	26%
Jan 08, 2023	238	Umass Lowell	L	66-68	44%
Jan 11, 2023	163	@ Bryant	L	69-80	19%
Jan 14, 2023	325	@ NJIT	L	64-65	47%
Jan 19, 2023	323	Binghamton	W	70-65	65%
Jan 25, 2023	329	@ New Hampshire	L	61-62	49%
Jan 28, 2023	337	Maine	W	65-58	70%
Feb 01, 2023	238	@ Umass Lowell	L	63-71	27%
Feb 04, 2023	104	Vermont	L	60-70	22%
Feb 08, 2023	163	Bryant	L	72-77	34%
Feb 11, 2023	323	@ Binghamton	L	67-68	47%
Feb 15, 2023	236	Maryland Baltimore Co.	L	68-70	44%
Feb 18, 2023	337	@ Maine	W	62-61	52%
Feb 25, 2023	325	NJIT	W	67-62	65%
Feb 28, 2023	104	@ Vermont	L	57-73	11%
Projected Record						10 - 18	7 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected America East Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.3	0.8	1.1	0.8	0.3	0.1		3.3	1st
2nd									0.0	0.2	1.1	2.3	2.3	1.1	0.1				7.1	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.6	2.5	4.1	2.7	0.6	0.0					10.6	3rd
4th							0.1	1.3	4.5	5.0	2.2	0.4	0.0						13.5	4th
5th						0.3	2.5	6.1	5.3	1.7	0.2	0.0							16.0	5th
6th				0.0	0.4	3.0	6.4	4.1	0.9	0.0									14.9	6th
7th			0.0	0.7	3.6	6.0	3.3	0.6	0.0										14.2	7th
8th		0.1	1.2	4.0	4.5	1.9	0.3	0.0											11.9	8th
9th	0.6	2.0	2.9	2.1	0.7	0.1	0.0												8.5	9th

Total	0.6	2.2	4.2	6.8	9.2	11.2	12.6	12.1	11.4	9.3	7.6	5.7	3.7	2.2	0.9	0.3	0.1			Total

America East Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
15-1	100.0%	0.3		0.3	0.0
14-2	84.1%	0.8		0.6	0.2	0.0
13-3	49.0%	1.1		0.5	0.4	0.1
12-4	20.5%	0.8		0.2	0.4	0.1	0.0
11-5	5.2%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
10-6	0.5%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	3.3%	3.3		1.7	1.1	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.1%		52.8%	52.8%		13.1												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
15-1	0.3%		39.0%	39.0%		13.5													0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2
14-2	0.9%		26.4%	26.2%	0.3%	14.1												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.7		0.4%
13-3	2.2%		21.5%	21.5%		14.4													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	1.7
12-4	3.7%		13.2%	13.2%		14.9													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	3.2
11-5	5.7%		8.0%	8.0%		15.4														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	5.2
10-6	7.6%		5.8%	5.8%		15.7														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	7.2
9-7	9.3%		3.4%	3.4%		15.8														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3	9.0
8-8	11.4%		2.4%	2.4%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.3	11.1
7-9	12.1%		1.4%	1.4%		16.0																0.0	0.2	12.0
6-10	12.6%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	12.5
5-11	11.2%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	11.2
4-12	9.2%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	9.1
3-13	6.8%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	6.8
2-14	4.2%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	4.2
1-15	2.2%																							2.2
0-16	0.6%																							0.6

Total	100%		3.2%	3.2%	0.0%	15.2												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.7	1.7	96.8		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.3%