St. Peter's
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.9#206
Expected Predictive Rating-4.3#244
Pace65.3#268
Improvement-0.4#303

Offense
Total Offense-3.1#271
First Shot-4.2#309
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#107
Layup/Dunks-4.7#334
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#124
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#137
Freethrows-1.8#287
Improvement-0.1#242

Defense
Total Defense+1.2#142
First Shot+0.3#165
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#126
Layups/Dunks-2.1#264
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#107
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.2#18
Freethrows-4.9#356
Improvement-0.2#289
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.0% 8.0% 5.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.5 14.9
.500 or above 63.0% 77.8% 57.3%
.500 or above in Conference 64.4% 79.0% 58.8%
Conference Champion 6.2% 11.6% 4.2%
Last Place in Conference 4.2% 1.5% 5.3%
First Four0.9% 0.8% 0.9%
First Round5.6% 7.8% 4.8%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Quinnipiac (Away) - 27.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 32 - 42 - 7
Quad 412 - 515 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Jan 13, 2022 150   @ Quinnipiac L 64-70 28%    
  Nov 07, 2022 317   NJIT W 73-59 84%     1 - 0 +1.6 -1.5 +3.8
  Nov 12, 2022 52   @ Seton Hall L 44-80 10%     1 - 1 -23.6 -19.2 -5.4
  Nov 15, 2022 216   Bucknell W 82-71 65%     2 - 1 +5.0 +14.1 -7.7
  Nov 19, 2022 338   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 58-61 75%     2 - 2 -12.1 -17.6 +5.5
  Nov 27, 2022 321   Fairleigh Dickinson W 77-63 85%     3 - 2 +1.1 -1.5 +3.7
  Dec 01, 2022 239   Mount St. Mary's W 68-63 68%    
  Dec 03, 2022 236   @ Fairfield L 62-63 46%    
  Dec 13, 2022 361   @ Hartford W 71-59 87%    
  Dec 18, 2022 150   Quinnipiac L 67-68 50%    
  Dec 22, 2022 12   @ Maryland L 56-78 2%    
  Dec 30, 2022 265   Manhattan W 69-63 72%    
  Jan 01, 2023 83   @ Iona L 63-74 16%    
  Jan 06, 2023 191   @ Siena L 63-67 37%    
  Jan 08, 2023 293   Canisius W 71-63 77%    
  Jan 15, 2023 236   Fairfield W 65-60 67%    
  Jan 20, 2023 310   @ Marist W 62-58 63%    
  Jan 22, 2023 212   Niagara W 63-59 63%    
  Jan 28, 2023 239   @ Mount St. Mary's L 65-66 47%    
  Feb 03, 2023 225   @ Rider L 66-67 45%    
  Feb 10, 2023 310   Marist W 65-55 81%    
  Feb 12, 2023 265   @ Manhattan W 67-66 51%    
  Feb 19, 2023 83   Iona L 66-71 32%    
  Feb 24, 2023 293   @ Canisius W 68-66 58%    
  Feb 26, 2023 212   @ Niagara L 60-62 41%    
  Mar 02, 2023 225   Rider W 69-64 65%    
  Mar 04, 2023 191   Siena W 66-64 58%    
Projected Record 15 - 12 11 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.7 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 6.2 1st
2nd 0.0 1.0 3.0 4.3 3.1 1.4 0.4 0.0 13.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.7 4.2 5.1 2.5 0.6 0.1 14.3 3rd
4th 0.2 1.6 4.9 4.8 1.7 0.2 13.3 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 4.7 4.5 1.2 0.1 0.0 12.0 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 4.1 4.5 1.2 0.1 11.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.6 3.8 1.1 0.1 9.6 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 2.6 3.2 0.9 0.1 7.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.1 2.4 0.8 0.0 0.0 6.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.3 1.5 0.5 0.1 4.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.4 2.7 4.6 6.5 8.9 10.5 12.1 12.3 11.3 10.1 7.8 5.4 3.2 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
18-2 95.3% 0.5    0.5 0.0
17-3 74.2% 1.1    0.9 0.3 0.0
16-4 54.2% 1.7    1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0
15-5 30.7% 1.7    0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0
14-6 10.1% 0.8    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1
13-7 2.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 6.2% 6.2 3.6 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.2% 27.9% 27.9% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.6% 34.8% 34.8% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
17-3 1.5% 25.2% 25.2% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.1
16-4 3.2% 18.9% 18.9% 13.9 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.6
15-5 5.4% 16.0% 16.0% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 4.5
14-6 7.8% 11.5% 11.5% 14.5 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 6.9
13-7 10.1% 9.4% 9.4% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.2 9.1
12-8 11.3% 5.7% 5.7% 15.3 0.1 0.3 0.3 10.7
11-9 12.3% 4.4% 4.4% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 11.8
10-10 12.1% 3.3% 3.3% 15.9 0.0 0.4 11.7
9-11 10.5% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.2 10.3
8-12 8.9% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 8.8
7-13 6.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 6.5
6-14 4.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.5
5-15 2.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.7
4-16 1.4% 1.4
3-17 0.6% 0.6
2-18 0.3% 0.3
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 6.0% 6.0% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.7 2.0 1.6 94.0 0.0%