Quinnipiac
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.1#150
Expected Predictive Rating+7.4#78
Pace74.6#64
Improvement+0.3#14

Offense
Total Offense-1.4#212
First Shot-2.6#258
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#110
Layup/Dunks-2.1#248
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#250
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#95
Freethrows-2.0#291
Improvement-0.3#352

Defense
Total Defense+2.6#100
First Shot+2.8#92
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#202
Layups/Dunks+3.9#62
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#296
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#176
Freethrows+0.2#165
Improvement+0.6#1
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.9% 15.5% 12.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.7 14.1
.500 or above 97.3% 98.3% 94.1%
.500 or above in Conference 87.4% 90.2% 77.4%
Conference Champion 17.6% 20.0% 9.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.4% 1.5%
First Four0.3% 0.2% 0.3%
First Round14.8% 15.4% 12.6%
Second Round1.3% 1.4% 1.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Peter's (Home) - 77.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 34 - 45 - 6
Quad 416 - 321 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Jan 13, 2022 241   St. Peter's W 71-63 78%    
  Nov 07, 2022 175   @ Rhode Island W 67-62 44%     1 - 0 +7.7 -4.1 +11.5
  Nov 10, 2022 345   @ Stonehill W 102-95 85%     2 - 0 -2.9 +14.9 -18.2
  Nov 13, 2022 341   @ Central Connecticut St. W 72-70 84%     3 - 0 -7.4 -6.7 -0.8
  Nov 15, 2022 319   Dartmouth W 81-72 90%     4 - 0 -3.7 -4.8 +0.2
  Nov 25, 2022 193   Stephen F. Austin W 58-44 59%     5 - 0 +12.7 -17.3 +29.8
  Nov 26, 2022 171   Montana St. W 70-53 55%     6 - 0 +16.8 -2.4 +19.4
  Nov 27, 2022 132   Hofstra L 70-72 44%     6 - 1 +0.6 -8.1 +8.8
  Dec 04, 2022 210   Niagara W 69-62 74%    
  Dec 07, 2022 353   @ Holy Cross W 78-65 88%    
  Dec 10, 2022 273   Lafayette W 69-59 81%    
  Dec 18, 2022 241   @ St. Peter's W 68-66 58%    
  Dec 22, 2022 44   @ Penn St. L 63-75 14%    
  Dec 30, 2022 194   Siena W 72-67 69%    
  Jan 01, 2023 268   @ Manhattan W 71-68 62%    
  Jan 06, 2023 228   @ Rider W 73-71 55%    
  Jan 08, 2023 84   Iona L 73-75 42%    
  Jan 15, 2023 205   @ Mount St. Mary's W 71-70 50%    
  Jan 22, 2023 293   Canisius W 78-67 85%    
  Jan 29, 2023 84   @ Iona L 70-78 23%    
  Jan 31, 2023 311   Marist W 70-57 87%    
  Feb 03, 2023 240   Fairfield W 70-62 76%    
  Feb 05, 2023 205   Mount St. Mary's W 73-67 71%    
  Feb 10, 2023 210   @ Niagara W 66-65 53%    
  Feb 12, 2023 293   @ Canisius W 75-70 68%    
  Feb 17, 2023 194   @ Siena L 69-70 48%    
  Feb 19, 2023 228   Rider W 76-68 74%    
  Feb 26, 2023 268   Manhattan W 74-65 79%    
  Mar 02, 2023 240   @ Fairfield W 67-65 58%    
  Mar 04, 2023 311   @ Marist W 67-60 73%    
Projected Record 21 - 9 13 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.7 3.3 4.5 4.4 2.3 0.9 0.1 17.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.8 8.2 7.1 3.9 1.2 0.2 27.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.6 5.4 6.8 3.8 0.9 0.1 18.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 4.4 4.4 1.8 0.3 0.0 11.9 4th
5th 0.1 0.8 3.3 3.3 1.1 0.1 0.0 8.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.3 2.8 0.7 0.1 6.3 6th
7th 0.2 1.3 1.9 0.7 0.0 4.2 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 1.3 0.5 0.1 2.7 8th
9th 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.0 1.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.0 3.5 5.5 8.1 10.2 12.3 13.8 13.9 11.2 8.5 5.6 2.5 0.9 0.1 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.9    0.9 0.0
18-2 93.7% 2.3    2.1 0.3
17-3 78.2% 4.4    3.3 1.1 0.0
16-4 52.7% 4.5    2.8 1.6 0.1
15-5 29.4% 3.3    1.5 1.4 0.3 0.0
14-6 12.1% 1.7    0.5 0.8 0.4 0.1
13-7 2.7% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 17.6% 17.6 11.2 5.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 82.1% 64.3% 17.9% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 50.0%
19-1 0.9% 50.3% 48.1% 2.2% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 4.2%
18-2 2.5% 38.7% 38.7% 12.7 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.1 1.5
17-3 5.6% 32.3% 32.3% 13.0 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.4 0.0 3.8
16-4 8.5% 26.0% 26.0% 13.3 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.8 0.0 6.3
15-5 11.2% 20.3% 20.3% 13.7 0.1 0.8 1.1 0.3 0.0 9.0
14-6 13.9% 17.4% 17.4% 13.9 0.0 0.7 1.3 0.4 0.0 11.5
13-7 13.8% 12.9% 12.9% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.6 0.0 12.1
12-8 12.3% 8.9% 8.9% 14.5 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 11.2
11-9 10.2% 8.1% 8.1% 14.8 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 9.4
10-10 8.1% 6.8% 6.8% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 7.6
9-11 5.5% 3.6% 3.6% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 5.3
8-12 3.5% 3.4% 3.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 3.4
7-13 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 2.0
6-14 1.0% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.0 1.0
5-15 0.4% 0.4
4-16 0.1% 0.1
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 14.9% 14.9% 0.0% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.3 4.6 5.5 2.6 0.8 85.1 0.1%