Pre-tourney Rankings
Colorado
Pac-12
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.8#29
Expected Predictive Rating+11.9#36
Pace69.2#147
Improvement-0.5#209

Offense
Total Offense+7.9#26
First Shot+9.2#8
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#264
Layup/Dunks+11.7#1
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#307
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#278
Freethrows+2.5#44
Improvement-0.4#204

Defense
Total Defense+4.9#38
First Shot+3.3#70
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#54
Layups/Dunks+1.4#122
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#123
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#165
Freethrows+0.6#148
Improvement-0.1#184
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 5.2% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 86.9% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 86.9% n/a n/a
Average Seed 8.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four10.5% n/a n/a
First Round82.3% n/a n/a
Second Round44.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen12.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight5.0% n/a n/a
Final Four1.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.5% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b4 - 24 - 5
Quad 26 - 510 - 10
Quad 37 - 017 - 10
Quad 47 - 024 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 150   Towson W 75-57 90%     1 - 0 +16.5 +9.9 +8.0
  Nov 10, 2023 282   Grambling St. W 95-63 97%     2 - 0 +23.2 +17.6 +4.8
  Nov 14, 2023 219   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 106-79 95%     3 - 0 +21.4 +20.1 -0.7
  Nov 20, 2023 88   Richmond W 64-59 73%     4 - 0 +11.5 +5.7 +6.4
  Nov 21, 2023 79   Florida St. L 71-77 OT 71%     4 - 1 +1.0 -8.3 +10.2
  Nov 26, 2023 239   Iona W 85-68 95%     5 - 1 +10.6 +8.6 +1.9
  Nov 29, 2023 48   @ Colorado St. L 83-88 48%     5 - 2 +8.2 +15.6 -7.4
  Dec 03, 2023 196   Pepperdine W 91-66 94%     6 - 2 +20.4 +10.5 +8.8
  Dec 10, 2023 94   Miami (FL) W 90-63 74%     7 - 2 +33.1 +19.4 +13.6
  Dec 15, 2023 206   Northern Colorado W 90-68 94%     8 - 2 +17.0 +3.5 +11.6
  Dec 21, 2023 283   Utah Tech W 98-71 97%     9 - 2 +18.1 +17.2 -0.7
  Dec 29, 2023 65   Washington W 73-69 74%     10 - 2 1 - 0 +10.2 -2.6 +12.5
  Dec 31, 2023 39   Washington St. W 74-67 65%     11 - 2 2 - 0 +15.8 +8.5 +7.5
  Jan 04, 2024 5   @ Arizona L 50-97 19%     11 - 3 2 - 1 -24.9 -14.7 -8.7
  Jan 06, 2024 118   @ Arizona St. L 73-76 75%     11 - 4 2 - 2 +2.8 +7.5 -4.7
  Jan 10, 2024 113   @ California L 78-82 74%     11 - 5 2 - 3 +2.2 +13.0 -11.0
  Jan 13, 2024 76   USC W 68-58 78%     12 - 5 3 - 3 +14.7 +0.8 +14.3
  Jan 18, 2024 54   Oregon W 86-70 71%     13 - 5 4 - 3 +23.1 +14.0 +8.8
  Jan 20, 2024 137   Oregon St. W 90-57 89%     14 - 5 5 - 3 +32.3 +16.0 +16.1
  Jan 24, 2024 65   @ Washington W 98-81 56%     15 - 5 6 - 3 +28.4 +23.4 +4.0
  Jan 27, 2024 39   @ Washington St. L 69-78 46%     15 - 6 6 - 4 +5.0 +7.9 -3.5
  Feb 03, 2024 47   @ Utah L 68-73 48%     15 - 7 6 - 5 +8.3 -2.1 +10.7
  Feb 08, 2024 118   Arizona St. W 82-70 87%     16 - 7 7 - 5 +12.6 +10.1 +2.2
  Feb 10, 2024 5   Arizona L 79-99 35%     16 - 8 7 - 6 -3.1 +8.8 -10.8
  Feb 15, 2024 93   @ UCLA L 60-64 65%     16 - 9 7 - 7 +4.8 +5.6 -1.6
  Feb 17, 2024 76   @ USC W 92-89 2OT 61%     17 - 9 8 - 7 +12.8 +12.6 -0.1
  Feb 24, 2024 47   Utah W 89-65 68%     18 - 9 9 - 7 +32.1 +24.7 +8.6
  Feb 28, 2024 113   California W 88-78 86%     19 - 9 10 - 7 +11.0 +8.0 +2.2
  Mar 03, 2024 98   Stanford W 81-71 83%     20 - 9 11 - 7 +12.8 +10.8 +2.2
  Mar 07, 2024 54   @ Oregon W 79-75 52%     21 - 9 12 - 7 +16.3 +18.2 -1.5
  Mar 09, 2024 137   @ Oregon St. W 73-57 78%     22 - 9 13 - 7 +20.5 +15.6 +7.9
  Mar 14, 2024 47   Utah W 72-58 58%     23 - 9 +24.7 +11.1 +14.9
  Mar 15, 2024 39   Washington St. W 58-52 56%     24 - 9 +17.4 +0.6 +17.7
  Mar 16, 2024 54   Oregon L 68-75 62%     24 - 10 +2.7 +3.1 -0.7
  Mar 20, 2024 45   Boise St. W 74-72 58%    
Projected Record 25 - 10 13 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 100.0% 86.9% 86.9% 8.7 0.0 0.7 4.5 9.1 18.4 26.9 23.2 4.0 13.1 86.9%
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 86.9% 0.0% 86.9% 8.7 0.0 0.7 4.5 9.1 18.4 26.9 23.2 4.0 13.1 86.9%