Pre-tourney Rankings
Florida Gulf Coast
Atlantic Sun
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.4#228
Expected Predictive Rating-5.6#270
Pace61.8#338
Improvement+3.3#56

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#231
First Shot-3.2#272
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#96
Layup/Dunks-1.0#217
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#230
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#172
Freethrows-1.4#277
Improvement-1.1#245

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#216
First Shot-0.9#196
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#240
Layups/Dunks+2.2#96
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#215
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#316
Freethrows+0.6#146
Improvement+4.3#24
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 30 - 51 - 9
Quad 410 - 911 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2023 82   @ Indiana L 63-69 12%     0 - 1 +3.4 +1.6 +1.3
  Nov 13, 2023 33   @ Pittsburgh L 74-86 6%     0 - 2 +2.4 +8.1 -5.8
  Nov 17, 2023 149   Missouri St. L 61-70 33%     0 - 3 -7.9 -1.9 -7.1
  Nov 18, 2023 338   Hampton L 85-92 80%     0 - 4 -19.2 +3.5 -22.3
  Nov 20, 2023 245   Norfolk St. L 66-69 53%     0 - 5 -7.1 +1.6 -9.2
  Nov 25, 2023 130   UNC Wilmington L 55-71 38%     0 - 6 -16.1 -14.8 -3.2
  Nov 29, 2023 278   @ Florida International W 68-65 50%     1 - 6 -0.3 -5.3 +5.1
  Dec 03, 2023 34   @ Cincinnati L 62-99 6%     1 - 7 -22.6 -1.6 -21.3
  Dec 09, 2023 69   @ Minnesota L 57-77 11%     1 - 8 -9.7 -7.4 -4.3
  Dec 16, 2023 211   @ Mercer L 65-70 37%     1 - 9 -5.0 +3.1 -9.1
  Dec 19, 2023 259   Georgia Southern W 53-42 57%     2 - 9 +5.9 -18.2 +25.4
  Dec 30, 2023 43   Florida Atlantic W 72-68 13%     3 - 9 +12.6 +5.8 +7.1
  Jan 04, 2024 270   Jacksonville W 80-70 68%     4 - 9 1 - 0 +1.8 +4.9 -3.0
  Jan 06, 2024 240   North Florida L 58-78 62%     4 - 10 1 - 1 -26.6 -8.6 -22.2
  Jan 10, 2024 258   @ Queens L 75-78 46%     4 - 11 1 - 2 -5.4 -4.7 -0.6
  Jan 12, 2024 264   @ Kennesaw St. L 75-78 48%     4 - 12 1 - 3 -5.8 -4.2 -1.5
  Jan 20, 2024 209   Stetson W 80-56 57%     5 - 12 2 - 3 +18.8 +9.2 +12.4
  Jan 25, 2024 168   Lipscomb L 72-98 48%     5 - 13 2 - 4 -28.8 +1.5 -33.2
  Jan 27, 2024 222   Austin Peay W 73-67 59%     6 - 13 3 - 4 +0.3 +0.3 +0.7
  Feb 01, 2024 337   @ Central Arkansas W 82-59 72%     7 - 13 4 - 4 +13.5 +9.1 +5.6
  Feb 03, 2024 247   @ North Alabama L 69-70 43%     7 - 14 4 - 5 -2.6 +0.2 -3.0
  Feb 07, 2024 208   @ Eastern Kentucky L 82-90 37%     7 - 15 4 - 6 -7.9 +13.0 -21.5
  Feb 10, 2024 312   Bellarmine W 63-52 77%     8 - 15 5 - 6 -0.2 -8.6 +9.7
  Feb 17, 2024 209   @ Stetson L 60-61 37%     8 - 16 5 - 7 -1.0 -10.6 +9.5
  Feb 22, 2024 264   Kennesaw St. L 67-74 67%     8 - 17 5 - 8 -15.0 -14.2 -0.5
  Feb 24, 2024 258   Queens W 90-81 66%     9 - 17 6 - 8 +1.4 +11.0 -9.7
  Feb 28, 2024 240   @ North Florida W 79-60 42%     10 - 17 7 - 8 +17.6 +11.0 +8.6
  Mar 01, 2024 270   @ Jacksonville W 59-57 49%     11 - 17 8 - 8 -1.0 -4.4 +3.7
  Mar 04, 2024 258   Queens L 63-69 66%     11 - 18 -13.6 -12.6 -1.3
Projected Record 11 - 18 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 100.0% 100.0
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%