Pre-tourney Rankings
St. John's
Big East
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.1#25
Expected Predictive Rating+10.9#52
Pace71.9#84
Improvement+3.1#59

Offense
Total Offense+8.8#20
First Shot+3.6#79
After Offensive Rebound+5.2#3
Layup/Dunks+2.0#94
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#27
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#261
Freethrows+0.2#165
Improvement+3.5#35

Defense
Total Defense+4.3#58
First Shot+7.5#12
After Offensive Rebounds-3.2#358
Layups/Dunks+3.3#67
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#184
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#17
Freethrows-0.8#241
Improvement-0.4#206
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.2% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 63.7% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 63.7% n/a n/a
Average Seed 9.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four20.7% n/a n/a
First Round54.6% n/a n/a
Second Round29.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen8.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight3.7% n/a n/a
Final Four1.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.4% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 34 - 10
Quad 26 - 210 - 12
Quad 33 - 113 - 13
Quad 47 - 020 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2023 174   Stony Brook W 90-74 93%     1 - 0 +12.8 +17.3 -4.2
  Nov 13, 2023 117   Michigan L 73-89 87%     1 - 1 -15.3 -2.7 -12.2
  Nov 16, 2023 78   North Texas W 53-52 72%     2 - 1 +8.1 -9.5 +17.7
  Nov 17, 2023 44   Dayton L 81-88 59%     2 - 2 +3.9 +8.3 -4.2
  Nov 19, 2023 47   Utah W 91-82 59%     3 - 2 +19.7 +16.2 +2.8
  Nov 25, 2023 341   Holy Cross W 91-45 99%     4 - 2 +30.4 +11.2 +21.1
  Dec 01, 2023 129   @ West Virginia W 79-73 78%     5 - 2 +11.1 +12.7 -1.2
  Dec 06, 2023 298   Sacred Heart W 85-50 97%     6 - 2 +24.9 +7.7 +17.7
  Dec 10, 2023 74   Boston College L 80-86 71%     6 - 3 +1.3 +8.2 -6.8
  Dec 16, 2023 185   Fordham W 77-55 93%     7 - 3 +18.3 -5.4 +20.9
  Dec 20, 2023 57   Xavier W 81-66 72%     8 - 3 1 - 0 +21.9 +6.7 +14.3
  Dec 23, 2023 1   @ Connecticut L 65-69 13%     8 - 4 1 - 1 +21.3 +9.8 +10.9
  Dec 30, 2023 122   Hofstra W 84-79 88%     9 - 4 +5.3 +10.3 -5.1
  Jan 02, 2024 63   Butler W 86-70 74%     10 - 4 2 - 1 +22.4 +15.6 +6.7
  Jan 06, 2024 35   @ Villanova W 81-71 45%     11 - 4 3 - 1 +24.4 +12.7 +11.1
  Jan 10, 2024 50   Providence W 75-73 70%     12 - 4 4 - 1 +9.7 +10.3 -0.5
  Jan 13, 2024 11   @ Creighton L 65-66 28%     12 - 5 4 - 2 +18.0 +3.1 +14.8
  Jan 16, 2024 58   @ Seton Hall L 65-80 54%     12 - 6 4 - 3 -3.0 +1.7 -5.4
  Jan 20, 2024 12   Marquette L 72-73 48%     12 - 7 4 - 4 +12.7 +5.8 +6.9
  Jan 24, 2024 35   Villanova W 70-50 65%     13 - 7 5 - 4 +29.2 +13.8 +18.2
  Jan 31, 2024 57   @ Xavier L 77-88 54%     13 - 8 5 - 5 +1.1 +6.8 -5.2
  Feb 03, 2024 1   Connecticut L 64-77 25%     13 - 9 5 - 6 +7.1 +3.0 +3.2
  Feb 06, 2024 294   DePaul W 85-57 97%     14 - 9 6 - 6 +18.2 +9.4 +9.5
  Feb 10, 2024 12   @ Marquette L 75-86 29%     14 - 10 6 - 7 +7.9 +14.3 -6.9
  Feb 13, 2024 50   @ Providence L 72-75 51%     14 - 11 6 - 8 +9.9 +3.5 +6.6
  Feb 18, 2024 58   Seton Hall L 62-68 73%     14 - 12 6 - 9 +0.8 -9.7 +10.8
  Feb 21, 2024 176   @ Georgetown W 90-85 85%     15 - 12 7 - 9 +6.8 +13.7 -6.9
  Feb 25, 2024 11   Creighton W 80-66 47%     16 - 12 8 - 9 +27.8 +16.4 +12.1
  Feb 28, 2024 63   @ Butler W 82-59 56%     17 - 12 9 - 9 +34.6 +17.1 +18.2
  Mar 05, 2024 294   @ DePaul W 104-77 94%     18 - 12 10 - 9 +22.4 +29.0 -6.5
  Mar 09, 2024 176   Georgetown W 86-78 93%     19 - 12 11 - 9 +4.6 +8.8 -4.0
  Mar 14, 2024 58   Seton Hall W 91-72 73%     20 - 12 +25.8 +23.1 +2.9
  Mar 15, 2024 1   Connecticut L 90-95 25%     20 - 13 +15.1 +26.9 -12.0
Projected Record 20 - 13 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 100.0% 63.7% 63.7% 9.6 0.0 0.1 1.1 6.7 16.4 30.4 9.0 36.3 63.7%
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 63.7% 0.0% 63.7% 9.6 0.0 0.1 1.1 6.7 16.4 30.4 9.0 36.3 63.7%