Pre-tourney Rankings
Texas
Big 12
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.2#23
Expected Predictive Rating+12.1#31
Pace68.0#185
Improvement+2.0#104

Offense
Total Offense+8.9#17
First Shot+8.5#16
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#148
Layup/Dunks+6.1#17
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#102
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#154
Freethrows+0.4#148
Improvement+1.6#98

Defense
Total Defense+4.2#59
First Shot+3.9#54
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#137
Layups/Dunks+3.5#61
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#167
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#201
Freethrows+0.6#147
Improvement+0.5#152
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 4.8% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 87.1% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 87.1% n/a n/a
Average Seed 8.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four10.2% n/a n/a
First Round82.7% n/a n/a
Second Round46.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen13.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight6.0% n/a n/a
Final Four2.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.7% n/a n/a
National Champion0.2% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 83 - 8
Quad 1b2 - 15 - 9
Quad 23 - 28 - 11
Quad 35 - 113 - 12
Quad 47 - 020 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 351   Incarnate Word W 88-56 99%     1 - 0 +15.4 -0.4 +13.1
  Nov 10, 2023 295   Delaware St. W 86-59 97%     2 - 0 +17.2 +6.4 +8.9
  Nov 15, 2023 218   Rice W 80-64 95%     3 - 0 +10.5 +3.8 +7.0
  Nov 19, 2023 179   Louisville W 81-80 90%     4 - 0 +0.1 +12.6 -12.4
  Nov 20, 2023 1   Connecticut L 71-81 19%     4 - 1 +12.7 +11.0 +1.0
  Nov 26, 2023 151   Wyoming W 86-63 91%     5 - 1 +21.5 +13.0 +9.0
  Nov 30, 2023 187   Texas St. W 77-58 93%     6 - 1 +15.3 +8.1 +7.9
  Dec 06, 2023 12   @ Marquette L 65-86 29%     6 - 2 -2.1 -1.5 +0.3
  Dec 09, 2023 357   Houston Christian W 77-50 99%     7 - 2 +8.3 -8.5 +16.2
  Dec 16, 2023 87   LSU W 96-85 74%     8 - 2 +17.6 +21.2 -4.3
  Dec 22, 2023 189   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 71-55 94%     9 - 2 +12.0 +2.7 +10.0
  Dec 29, 2023 154   UNC Greensboro W 72-37 91%     10 - 2 +33.1 +5.9 +31.5
  Jan 01, 2024 112   Texas Arlington W 79-62 87%     11 - 2 +18.0 +13.1 +6.4
  Jan 06, 2024 26   Texas Tech L 67-78 61%     11 - 3 0 - 1 -0.6 -0.9 +0.0
  Jan 09, 2024 34   @ Cincinnati W 74-73 45%     12 - 3 1 - 1 +15.4 +9.8 +5.6
  Jan 13, 2024 129   @ West Virginia L 73-76 78%     12 - 4 1 - 2 +2.1 -2.3 +4.6
  Jan 17, 2024 55   Central Florida L 71-77 72%     12 - 5 1 - 3 +1.0 +8.0 -7.3
  Jan 20, 2024 14   Baylor W 75-73 52%     13 - 5 2 - 3 +14.7 +19.3 -4.2
  Jan 23, 2024 37   @ Oklahoma W 75-60 47%     14 - 5 3 - 3 +29.1 +13.5 +16.4
  Jan 27, 2024 17   @ BYU L 72-84 35%     14 - 6 3 - 4 +5.1 +11.3 -7.2
  Jan 29, 2024 2   Houston L 72-76 OT 31%     14 - 7 3 - 5 +14.4 +9.0 +5.4
  Feb 03, 2024 31   @ TCU W 77-66 42%     15 - 7 4 - 5 +26.3 +17.0 +10.1
  Feb 06, 2024 7   Iowa St. L 65-70 41%     15 - 8 4 - 6 +10.6 +8.7 +1.6
  Feb 10, 2024 129   West Virginia W 94-58 89%     16 - 8 5 - 6 +35.9 +21.1 +15.2
  Feb 17, 2024 2   @ Houston L 61-82 16%     16 - 9 5 - 7 +2.6 +5.4 -4.1
  Feb 19, 2024 62   Kansas St. W 62-56 74%     17 - 9 6 - 7 +12.4 -3.7 +16.2
  Feb 24, 2024 20   @ Kansas L 67-86 38%     17 - 10 6 - 8 -2.7 +3.8 -6.4
  Feb 27, 2024 26   @ Texas Tech W 81-69 41%     18 - 10 7 - 8 +27.6 +14.3 +13.3
  Mar 02, 2024 106   Oklahoma St. W 81-65 85%     19 - 10 8 - 8 +18.0 +14.5 +4.6
  Mar 04, 2024 14   @ Baylor L 85-93 32%     19 - 11 8 - 9 +9.9 +17.0 -7.1
  Mar 09, 2024 37   Oklahoma W 94-80 66%     20 - 11 9 - 9 +22.9 +27.0 -4.0
  Mar 13, 2024 62   Kansas St. L 74-78 66%     20 - 12 +5.0 +7.7 -2.6
Projected Record 20 - 12 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 87.1% 87.1% 8.7 0.9 3.8 9.4 20.5 27.0 21.5 4.0 12.9 87.1%
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 87.1% 0.0% 87.1% 8.7 0.9 3.8 9.4 20.5 27.0 21.5 4.0 12.9 87.1%