IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Florida International
Conference USA
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	-1.3	#196
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	74.3	#40
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.4	#192

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.9	#204

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	5.0%	8.9%	4.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.2%	0.7%	0.1%
Average Seed	13.6	12.6	14.0

.500 or above	40.4%	66.8%	35.8%
.500 or above in Conference	36.7%	53.1%	33.8%
Conference Champion	5.1%	10.3%	4.1%
Last Place in Conference	22.2%	12.4%	23.9%

First Four	0.9%	0.8%	0.9%
First Round	4.6%	8.5%	3.9%
Second Round	0.6%	1.5%	0.4%
Sweet Sixteen	0.2%	0.5%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Central Florida (Away) - 15.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	1 - 4	1 - 7
Quad 3	4 - 6	5 - 12
Quad 4	8 - 3	13 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2023	81	@ Central Florida	L	64-75	15%
Nov 09, 2023	214	Tarleton St.	W	74-70	65%
Nov 13, 2023	30	@ Miami (FL)	L	70-86	7%
Nov 15, 2023	360	@ Houston Christian	W	86-75	83%
Nov 19, 2023	114	Akron	L	69-74	33%
Nov 26, 2023	204	Kennesaw St.	W	77-73	63%
Nov 29, 2023	159	Florida Gulf Coast	W	75-74	54%
Dec 02, 2023	359	LIU Brooklyn	W	88-72	92%
Dec 13, 2023	25	@ Florida Atlantic	L	67-84	7%
Dec 19, 2023	207	Stetson	W	76-72	62%
Dec 21, 2023	264	Maine	W	75-68	73%
Dec 30, 2023	210	@ Utah Tech	L	56-58	43%
Jan 06, 2024	221	@ Jacksonville St.	L	71-72	45%
Jan 11, 2024	167	New Mexico St.	W	77-76	54%
Jan 13, 2024	155	UTEP	W	72-71	52%
Jan 18, 2024	84	@ Liberty	L	65-76	18%
Jan 25, 2024	172	@ Western Kentucky	L	72-76	36%
Jan 27, 2024	137	@ Middle Tennessee	L	70-76	31%
Feb 01, 2024	120	Louisiana Tech	L	72-73	47%
Feb 03, 2024	117	Sam Houston St.	L	68-69	46%
Feb 10, 2024	137	Middle Tennessee	L	73-74	49%
Feb 15, 2024	117	@ Sam Houston St.	L	65-72	27%
Feb 17, 2024	120	@ Louisiana Tech	L	69-76	28%
Feb 22, 2024	84	Liberty	L	68-73	35%
Feb 24, 2024	221	Jacksonville St.	W	74-69	65%
Mar 02, 2024	172	Western Kentucky	W	75-73	56%
Mar 07, 2024	155	@ UTEP	L	69-74	33%
Mar 09, 2024	167	@ New Mexico St.	L	74-79	34%
Projected Record						13 - 15	7 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Conference USA Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.3	1.0	1.6	1.3	0.6	0.2	0.1		5.1	1st
2nd									0.0	0.7	2.3	2.5	1.3	0.3	0.0				7.1	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.9	3.2	3.1	1.2	0.1	0.0					8.6	3rd
4th							0.0	1.0	4.0	4.0	1.1	0.1	0.0						10.1	4th
5th						0.0	1.0	4.8	4.6	1.0	0.1								11.6	5th
6th					0.1	1.4	5.4	5.1	1.1	0.0									13.2	6th
7th			0.0	0.3	2.0	5.4	5.5	1.3	0.0										14.4	7th
8th		0.0	0.8	3.4	5.5	4.3	1.1	0.0											15.2	8th
9th	0.8	2.3	4.3	4.4	2.4	0.6	0.0												14.8	9th

Total	0.8	2.4	5.1	8.0	10.0	11.8	13.0	12.2	10.7	8.9	6.8	4.7	3.0	1.6	0.6	0.2	0.1			Total

Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
15-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
14-2	95.4%	0.6		0.6	0.1
13-3	81.7%	1.3		0.9	0.4	0.0
12-4	51.7%	1.6		0.8	0.7	0.2	0.0
11-5	20.6%	1.0		0.2	0.4	0.3	0.0	0.0
10-6	4.3%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
9-7	0.0%	0.0			0.0		0.0	0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	5.1%	5.1		2.8	1.6	0.6	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.1%		71.8%	41.9%	29.9%	6.4					0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0		51.5%
15-1	0.2%		58.7%	42.9%	15.8%	10.8						0.0	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.1		27.7%
14-2	0.6%		39.2%	31.9%	7.3%	11.4								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.4		10.7%
13-3	1.6%		27.8%	24.5%	3.3%	12.0									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0			1.2		4.3%
12-4	3.0%		20.0%	19.6%	0.4%	12.6											0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0		2.4		0.5%
11-5	4.7%		14.0%	13.9%	0.1%	13.1												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0	4.1		0.1%
10-6	6.8%		10.1%	10.1%		13.5												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	6.1
9-7	8.9%		7.3%	7.3%		14.2													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	8.2
8-8	10.7%		4.8%	4.8%		14.9													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	10.2
7-9	12.2%		3.0%	3.0%		15.4														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	11.9
6-10	13.0%		2.1%	2.1%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.3	12.7
5-11	11.8%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0															0.0		0.2	11.6
4-12	10.0%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	9.9
3-13	8.0%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	7.9
2-14	5.1%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	5.1
1-15	2.4%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	2.4
0-16	0.8%																							0.8

Total	100%		5.0%	4.8%	0.2%	13.6					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	1.0	0.9	0.7	1.0	95.0		0.2%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%