IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Northeastern
Colonial Athletic
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.4	#228
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	67.3	#198
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.4	#282

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.0	#171

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.9%	3.4%	1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.1	14.0	14.7

.500 or above	35.7%	41.3%	16.6%
.500 or above in Conference	54.9%	59.2%	40.1%
Conference Champion	3.5%	4.2%	1.4%
Last Place in Conference	4.1%	3.2%	7.3%

First Four	0.5%	0.5%	0.4%
First Round	2.7%	3.1%	1.3%
Second Round	0.3%	0.3%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Boston University (Home) - 77.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	1 - 3	1 - 5
Quad 3	3 - 7	4 - 12
Quad 4	10 - 5	14 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2023	313	Boston University	W	69-61	77%
Nov 11, 2023	199	@ La Salle	L	67-72	32%
Nov 14, 2023	219	@ Harvard	L	63-67	37%
Nov 19, 2023	146	@ East Carolina	L	65-73	24%
Nov 20, 2023	204	Kennesaw St.	L	69-71	45%
Nov 21, 2023	229	Georgia Southern	W	67-66	50%
Nov 25, 2023	130	@ Princeton	L	65-74	22%
Nov 29, 2023	66	@ Seton Hall	L	59-74	10%
Dec 02, 2023	180	Old Dominion	W	65-64	50%
Dec 06, 2023	108	Vermont	L	64-68	35%
Dec 16, 2023	34	@ Virginia	L	52-70	6%
Dec 19, 2023	335	@ Central Connecticut St.	W	67-63	64%
Dec 30, 2023	190	@ Rhode Island	L	64-70	32%
Jan 04, 2024	255	Stony Brook	W	67-62	65%
Jan 08, 2024	311	@ Monmouth	W	70-68	56%
Jan 11, 2024	112	Hofstra	L	68-72	36%
Jan 13, 2024	158	Towson	L	65-66	46%
Jan 18, 2024	352	@ N.C. A&T	W	74-68	69%
Jan 20, 2024	309	@ Elon	W	68-66	56%
Jan 25, 2024	140	UNC Wilmington	L	65-67	42%
Jan 27, 2024	302	William & Mary	W	70-63	72%
Feb 01, 2024	158	@ Towson	L	62-69	28%
Feb 03, 2024	255	@ Stony Brook	L	64-65	45%
Feb 08, 2024	294	@ Campbell	W	66-65	52%
Feb 10, 2024	311	Monmouth	W	73-65	74%
Feb 15, 2024	80	College of Charleston	L	70-77	27%
Feb 17, 2024	112	@ Hofstra	L	65-75	21%
Feb 22, 2024	309	Elon	W	71-63	74%
Feb 24, 2024	312	Hampton	W	75-67	74%
Feb 29, 2024	194	@ Delaware	L	66-71	33%
Mar 02, 2024	125	@ Drexel	L	59-68	23%
Projected Record						14 - 17	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.8	1.1	0.9	0.4	0.1		3.5	1st
2nd												0.0	0.5	1.7	2.0	1.0	0.2	0.0			5.3	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.0	0.8	2.6	2.8	1.0	0.1					7.4	3rd
4th										0.0	0.7	3.2	3.6	1.1	0.1	0.0					8.7	4th
5th									0.0	0.7	3.5	4.2	1.4	0.1							9.9	5th
6th								0.0	0.5	3.1	4.7	1.7	0.1								10.0	6th
7th							0.0	0.3	2.8	4.8	2.2	0.2									10.3	7th
8th							0.1	2.0	4.7	2.5	0.3	0.0									9.6	8th
9th						0.1	1.2	4.2	3.1	0.4	0.0										9.0	9th
10th					0.0	0.8	3.5	3.1	0.6	0.0											8.0	10th
11th				0.0	0.6	2.6	2.9	0.8	0.0												6.9	11th
12th			0.0	0.4	1.9	2.3	0.7	0.1													5.4	12th
13th		0.1	0.4	1.3	1.5	0.6	0.1	0.0													3.9	13th
14th	0.1	0.4	0.7	0.7	0.2	0.0															2.1	14th

Total	0.1	0.4	1.1	2.3	4.2	6.5	8.6	10.3	11.7	11.5	11.5	10.2	8.2	5.8	3.9	2.2	1.1	0.4	0.1			Total

Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	98.8%	0.4		0.4	0.0
16-2	85.1%	0.9		0.6	0.3	0.0
15-3	50.7%	1.1		0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0
14-4	20.2%	0.8		0.2	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0
13-5	3.8%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.1%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0				0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	3.5%	3.5		1.8	1.1	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		57.0%	48.2%	8.8%	10.8							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0		16.9%
17-1	0.4%		32.0%	28.2%	3.8%	11.8									0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.3		5.3%
16-2	1.1%		25.3%	23.9%	1.4%	12.6										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.8		1.9%
15-3	2.2%		15.8%	15.8%		13.0											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	1.9
14-4	3.9%		10.0%	10.0%		13.4												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	3.5
13-5	5.8%		7.5%	7.5%		14.3													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	5.4
12-6	8.2%		5.1%	5.1%		14.6													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	7.8
11-7	10.2%		3.3%	3.3%		14.9													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	9.8
10-8	11.5%		2.1%	2.1%		15.5														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	11.3
9-9	11.5%		1.1%	1.1%		15.6															0.0	0.0	0.1	11.4
8-10	11.7%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																0.0	0.1	11.6
7-11	10.3%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																0.0	0.1	10.2
6-12	8.6%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	8.6
5-13	6.5%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	6.4
4-14	4.2%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	4.2
3-15	2.3%																							2.3
2-16	1.1%																							1.1
1-17	0.4%																							0.4
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		2.9%	2.9%	0.0%	14.1							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.7	0.6	0.6	97.1		0.0%