Preseason Rankings
Old Dominion
Sun Belt
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.5#180
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace63.4#300
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#243
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.5#126
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.4% 9.8% 4.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.4 13.1 14.0
.500 or above 48.2% 61.9% 33.9%
.500 or above in Conference 59.9% 68.2% 51.3%
Conference Champion 9.0% 12.0% 5.9%
Last Place in Conference 5.4% 3.5% 7.3%
First Four0.8% 0.8% 0.8%
First Round7.1% 9.5% 4.5%
Second Round1.0% 1.4% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Ball St. (Away) - 50.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 34 - 65 - 10
Quad 48 - 313 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2023 234   @ Ball St. W 68-67 51%    
  Nov 13, 2023 17   @ Arkansas L 60-77 5%    
  Nov 22, 2023 130   Princeton W 68-67 50%    
  Nov 26, 2023 125   Drexel W 62-61 50%    
  Nov 29, 2023 182   Radford W 65-62 61%    
  Dec 02, 2023 228   @ Northeastern L 64-65 50%    
  Dec 06, 2023 302   @ William & Mary W 66-62 64%    
  Dec 09, 2023 121   James Madison L 70-71 49%    
  Dec 21, 2023 24   TCU L 62-75 13%    
  Dec 30, 2023 177   South Alabama W 66-63 59%    
  Jan 04, 2024 218   @ Troy L 65-66 47%    
  Jan 06, 2024 198   @ Arkansas St. L 62-64 43%    
  Jan 11, 2024 206   @ Georgia St. L 65-66 45%    
  Jan 13, 2024 270   @ Coastal Carolina W 70-68 58%    
  Jan 18, 2024 135   Marshall W 73-72 52%    
  Jan 20, 2024 287   Louisiana Monroe W 69-60 78%    
  Jan 24, 2024 121   James Madison L 70-71 49%    
  Jan 27, 2024 229   Georgia Southern W 68-62 69%    
  Feb 01, 2024 135   @ Marshall L 70-75 33%    
  Feb 03, 2024 121   @ James Madison L 68-74 31%    
  Feb 07, 2024 152   @ Southern Miss L 65-70 35%    
  Feb 15, 2024 176   Louisiana W 70-67 59%    
  Feb 17, 2024 206   Georgia St. W 68-63 64%    
  Feb 22, 2024 153   Appalachian St. W 63-62 55%    
  Feb 24, 2024 270   Coastal Carolina W 73-65 75%    
  Feb 28, 2024 153   @ Appalachian St. L 60-65 36%    
  Mar 01, 2024 229   @ Georgia Southern L 64-65 50%    
Projected Record 13 - 14 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.5 2.5 1.6 0.8 0.2 9.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.1 2.3 0.9 0.1 0.0 8.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.9 3.5 2.3 0.6 0.0 8.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 3.9 2.6 0.5 0.0 8.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 3.7 3.1 0.6 0.0 8.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.9 4.0 1.0 0.0 8.2 6th
7th 0.1 1.9 4.2 1.7 0.1 7.9 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 3.9 2.7 0.2 7.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 3.1 3.4 0.6 0.0 7.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.2 3.3 1.0 0.0 6.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.9 1.4 0.1 6.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.4 1.6 0.2 0.0 5.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.6 1.3 0.3 0.0 4.4 13th
14th 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.9 14th
Total 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.0 3.7 5.6 7.7 9.1 10.6 11.3 11.0 10.3 8.7 7.0 5.4 3.5 1.7 0.8 0.2 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 99.9% 0.8    0.7 0.0
16-2 92.6% 1.6    1.4 0.2 0.0
15-3 73.2% 2.5    1.6 0.9 0.1 0.0
14-4 46.9% 2.5    1.0 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0
13-5 15.8% 1.1    0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.1% 0.3    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 9.0% 9.0 5.1 2.7 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 68.4% 59.5% 8.8% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 21.9%
17-1 0.8% 55.0% 45.3% 9.7% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 17.7%
16-2 1.7% 39.8% 37.3% 2.4% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.1 3.9%
15-3 3.5% 28.2% 27.7% 0.5% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.5 0.6%
14-4 5.4% 20.3% 20.3% 12.8 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 4.3
13-5 7.0% 13.9% 13.9% 13.3 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 6.1
12-6 8.7% 9.9% 9.9% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 7.8
11-7 10.3% 7.4% 7.4% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 9.5
10-8 11.0% 4.8% 4.8% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 10.5
9-9 11.3% 4.2% 4.2% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 10.9
8-10 10.6% 2.2% 2.2% 15.9 0.0 0.2 10.4
7-11 9.1% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 8.9
6-12 7.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 7.6
5-13 5.6% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 5.6
4-14 3.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.7
3-15 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 2.0
2-16 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 0.9
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 7.4% 7.2% 0.1% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.7 1.4 1.1 0.9 92.6 0.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%