IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Syracuse
Atlantic Coast
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	+7.0	#75
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	67.8	#181
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+5.0	#50

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+2.0	#111

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.3%	0.3%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.8%	0.9%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	3.0%	3.2%	0.3%
Top 6 Seed	6.6%	6.9%	1.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid	24.2%	25.1%	9.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	21.4%	22.3%	7.9%
Average Seed	8.2	8.2	9.3

.500 or above	55.5%	57.2%	27.2%
.500 or above in Conference	46.9%	48.1%	27.4%
Conference Champion	2.4%	2.5%	0.5%
Last Place in Conference	6.8%	6.3%	15.1%

First Four	4.6%	4.7%	2.6%
First Round	21.7%	22.6%	7.8%
Second Round	11.5%	12.0%	3.0%
Sweet Sixteen	4.3%	4.5%	0.8%
Elite Eight	1.6%	1.7%	0.1%
Final Four	0.6%	0.6%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
National Champion	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

Next Game: New Hampshire (Home) - 94.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 4	1 - 4
Quad 1b	1 - 3	2 - 7
Quad 2	4 - 4	6 - 11
Quad 3	5 - 2	11 - 13
Quad 4	4 - 0	15 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2023	288	New Hampshire	W	76-59	94%
Nov 08, 2023	269	Canisius	W	80-64	93%
Nov 14, 2023	110	Colgate	W	78-72	72%
Nov 20, 2023	7	Tennessee	L	63-72	20%
Nov 28, 2023	56	LSU	W	71-70	53%
Dec 02, 2023	34	@ Virginia	L	60-67	26%
Dec 05, 2023	157	Cornell	W	84-75	79%
Dec 09, 2023	106	@ Georgetown	W	76-75	50%
Dec 17, 2023	35	Oregon	L	70-74	36%
Dec 21, 2023	258	Niagara	W	74-59	91%
Dec 30, 2023	69	Pittsburgh	W	74-72	57%
Jan 02, 2024	3	@ Duke	L	64-77	13%
Jan 10, 2024	103	Boston College	W	74-68	69%
Jan 13, 2024	16	@ North Carolina	L	70-80	21%
Jan 16, 2024	69	@ Pittsburgh	L	71-75	38%
Jan 20, 2024	30	Miami (FL)	L	75-77	43%
Jan 23, 2024	85	Florida St.	W	77-73	63%
Jan 27, 2024	61	North Carolina St.	W	76-75	54%
Jan 30, 2024	103	@ Boston College	L	70-71	50%
Feb 03, 2024	64	@ Wake Forest	L	74-78	36%
Feb 07, 2024	124	Louisville	W	76-69	73%
Feb 10, 2024	45	Clemson	L	73-74	50%
Feb 13, 2024	16	North Carolina	L	73-77	37%
Feb 17, 2024	98	@ Georgia Tech	L	71-72	48%
Feb 20, 2024	61	@ North Carolina St.	L	73-78	34%
Feb 24, 2024	133	Notre Dame	W	74-66	74%
Feb 27, 2024	57	Virginia Tech	W	73-72	53%
Mar 02, 2024	124	@ Louisville	W	73-72	55%
Mar 05, 2024	45	@ Clemson	L	70-76	31%
Projected Record						15 - 14	9 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0		2.4	1st
2nd													0.0	0.3	1.0	1.5	1.1	0.3	0.1	0.0			4.2	2nd
3rd												0.0	0.4	1.5	2.0	1.2	0.3	0.0					5.5	3rd
4th											0.0	0.4	2.1	2.6	1.3	0.3	0.0						6.8	4th
5th										0.0	0.3	2.0	3.4	1.5	0.2	0.0							7.5	5th
6th									0.0	0.1	1.8	3.8	2.0	0.3	0.0								8.1	6th
7th									0.1	1.4	4.0	2.7	0.5	0.0									8.7	7th
8th								0.0	0.8	3.5	3.2	0.7	0.0										8.2	8th
9th							0.0	0.4	2.9	3.8	1.2	0.1											8.4	9th
10th						0.0	0.4	2.2	3.9	1.7	0.2	0.0											8.4	10th
11th					0.0	0.2	1.8	3.5	2.1	0.3	0.0												7.8	11th
12th				0.0	0.2	1.4	3.6	2.2	0.4	0.0													7.8	12th
13th			0.0	0.2	1.1	2.6	2.1	0.4	0.0														6.6	13th
14th		0.0	0.3	1.1	2.1	1.6	0.5	0.0															5.6	14th
15th	0.1	0.5	1.1	1.1	0.9	0.3	0.0	0.0															3.9	15th

Total	0.1	0.5	1.3	2.4	4.4	6.1	8.4	8.8	10.2	10.8	10.6	9.7	8.6	6.4	4.7	3.4	2.1	1.0	0.5	0.1	0.0		Total

Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	99.6%	0.1		0.1	0.0
18-2	88.2%	0.4		0.3	0.1
17-3	64.0%	0.6		0.4	0.2	0.0
16-4	34.4%	0.7		0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0
15-5	11.1%	0.4		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0		0.0
14-6	2.3%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.3%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	2.4%	2.4		1.2	0.8	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%		100.0%	18.9%	81.1%	1.2		0.0	0.0	0.0																100.0%
19-1	0.1%		100.0%	36.1%	63.9%	1.7		0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0															100.0%
18-2	0.5%		100.0%	21.6%	78.4%	2.4		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0												100.0%
17-3	1.0%		100.0%	18.4%	81.6%	3.5		0.1	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0										100.0%
16-4	2.1%		98.5%	11.8%	86.8%	4.8		0.0	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0						0.0		98.4%
15-5	3.4%		95.1%	10.8%	84.3%	6.4		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.7	0.5	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.1						0.2		94.5%
14-6	4.7%		86.9%	8.2%	78.7%	7.7			0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.8	0.7	0.7	0.5	0.2	0.0					0.6		85.7%
13-7	6.4%		67.7%	6.3%	61.4%	8.9				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.7	1.0	1.1	0.6	0.0					2.1		65.5%
12-8	8.6%		49.5%	5.2%	44.3%	9.7					0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.9	1.4	1.1	0.1	0.0				4.3		46.8%
11-9	9.7%		27.5%	4.2%	23.3%	10.3							0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.7	1.2	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0		7.1		24.3%
10-10	10.6%		11.9%	2.7%	9.2%	10.9									0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		9.3		9.5%
9-11	10.8%		3.2%	1.9%	1.3%	12.2										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	10.4		1.3%
8-12	10.2%		1.9%	1.8%	0.0%	14.2											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	10.0		0.0%
7-13	8.8%		1.2%	1.2%		15.4														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	8.7
6-14	8.4%		1.0%	1.0%		15.8														0.0		0.0	0.1	8.3
5-15	6.1%		0.5%	0.5%		15.9																0.0	0.0	6.1
4-16	4.4%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	4.3
3-17	2.4%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	2.4
2-18	1.3%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	1.3
1-19	0.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	0.5
0-20	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		24.2%	3.5%	20.7%	8.2		0.3	0.5	1.0	1.2	1.7	1.9	2.2	2.6	3.4	4.2	3.8	0.7	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	75.8		21.4%