IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Boston University
Patriot League
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.5	#313
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	64.4	#277
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.9	#334

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.6	#256

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.6%	4.7%	1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.3	15.1	15.5

.500 or above	27.4%	46.5%	21.8%
.500 or above in Conference	40.8%	54.2%	36.9%
Conference Champion	3.2%	5.8%	2.4%
Last Place in Conference	16.6%	9.5%	18.6%

First Four	1.0%	1.2%	0.9%
First Round	2.0%	4.1%	1.4%
Second Round	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Northeastern (Away) - 22.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 3	1 - 5	1 - 7
Quad 4	11 - 11	12 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2023	228	@ Northeastern	L	61-69	23%
Nov 10, 2023	51	@ Rutgers	L	53-74	2%
Nov 14, 2023	247	@ Howard	L	67-74	27%
Nov 16, 2023	208	Bryant	L	72-75	38%
Nov 21, 2023	149	@ Davidson	L	58-71	12%
Nov 29, 2023	318	@ Albany	L	66-69	41%
Dec 02, 2023	301	@ Sacred Heart	L	68-72	36%
Dec 06, 2023	264	Maine	W	66-65	51%
Dec 10, 2023	298	@ Wagner	L	58-62	36%
Dec 13, 2023	243	@ Dartmouth	L	65-72	27%
Dec 22, 2023	179	Umass Lowell	L	67-72	33%
Dec 30, 2023	330	Merrimack	W	63-59	64%
Jan 03, 2024	277	@ Navy	L	60-65	33%
Jan 06, 2024	293	Lafayette	W	62-61	55%
Jan 10, 2024	261	American	L	62-63	50%
Jan 13, 2024	295	@ Loyola Maryland	L	64-68	36%
Jan 17, 2024	331	Bucknell	W	69-64	65%
Jan 20, 2024	110	@ Colgate	L	62-77	10%
Jan 24, 2024	300	Army	W	69-67	57%
Jan 27, 2024	293	@ Lafayette	L	59-64	35%
Jan 29, 2024	327	@ Holy Cross	L	67-69	44%
Feb 03, 2024	274	Lehigh	W	69-68	52%
Feb 07, 2024	110	Colgate	L	65-74	22%
Feb 10, 2024	331	@ Bucknell	L	66-67	45%
Feb 14, 2024	300	@ Army	L	66-70	37%
Feb 17, 2024	277	Navy	W	63-62	53%
Feb 21, 2024	261	@ American	L	59-65	31%
Feb 25, 2024	295	Loyola Maryland	W	67-65	55%
Feb 28, 2024	274	@ Lehigh	L	66-71	33%
Mar 02, 2024	327	Holy Cross	W	70-66	63%
Projected Record						12 - 18	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Patriot League Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	0.5	0.9	0.8	0.4	0.2	0.0		3.2	1st
2nd										0.0	0.2	1.2	2.5	2.3	1.3	0.4	0.0				8.0	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.4	2.3	3.7	2.3	0.7	0.1						9.4	3rd
4th								0.0	0.5	2.9	4.5	2.3	0.5	0.0							10.7	4th
5th							0.0	0.4	3.2	4.8	2.2	0.3	0.0								10.9	5th
6th						0.0	0.5	3.3	5.2	2.2	0.3	0.0									11.5	6th
7th					0.0	0.6	3.4	5.3	2.4	0.2	0.0										12.0	7th
8th				0.1	1.0	3.4	4.7	2.3	0.2	0.0											11.6	8th
9th		0.0	0.3	1.7	3.8	4.0	1.8	0.2	0.0												11.8	9th
10th	0.4	1.2	2.7	3.2	2.5	1.0	0.1	0.0													11.0	10th

Total	0.4	1.2	3.0	4.9	7.2	9.1	10.6	11.5	11.3	10.5	9.4	7.7	5.5	3.5	2.3	1.2	0.4	0.2	0.0			Total

Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
16-2	90.7%	0.4		0.3	0.1
15-3	67.0%	0.8		0.6	0.3	0.0
14-4	40.7%	0.9		0.5	0.4	0.1	0.0
13-5	15.1%	0.5		0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
12-6	4.4%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.4%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	3.2%	3.2		1.7	1.1	0.3	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		34.8%	34.8%		12.0													0.0					0.0
17-1	0.2%		41.9%	41.9%		13.5													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
16-2	0.4%		33.8%	33.8%		14.2													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.3
15-3	1.2%		24.0%	24.0%		14.7														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.9
14-4	2.3%		16.9%	16.9%		15.1													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	1.9
13-5	3.5%		8.3%	8.3%		15.3														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	3.2
12-6	5.5%		6.0%	6.0%		15.6															0.0	0.1	0.2	5.2
11-7	7.7%		5.2%	5.2%		15.7														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	7.3
10-8	9.4%		2.9%	2.9%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.3	9.2
9-9	10.5%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																0.0	0.1	10.4
8-10	11.3%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																0.0	0.1	11.2
7-11	11.5%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	11.4
6-12	10.6%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	10.6
5-13	9.1%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	9.0
4-14	7.2%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	7.2
3-15	4.9%																							4.9
2-16	3.0%																							3.0
1-17	1.2%																							1.2
0-18	0.4%																							0.4

Total	100%		2.6%	2.6%	0.0%	15.3													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.4	97.4		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%