Preseason Rankings
Butler
Big East
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.7#88
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace64.9#269
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#137
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+4.4#61
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.9% 2.0% 0.2%
Top 6 Seed 4.6% 4.8% 0.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.6% 17.3% 4.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 14.4% 15.0% 3.2%
Average Seed 8.3 8.3 9.9
.500 or above 34.7% 36.0% 10.3%
.500 or above in Conference 22.5% 23.2% 8.8%
Conference Champion 1.0% 1.0% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 21.5% 20.6% 37.8%
First Four3.1% 3.2% 1.1%
First Round15.0% 15.6% 3.8%
Second Round7.6% 8.0% 1.2%
Sweet Sixteen2.7% 2.9% 0.2%
Elite Eight1.0% 1.0% 0.1%
Final Four0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Eastern Michigan (Home) - 94.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 10
Quad 23 - 45 - 14
Quad 33 - 18 - 16
Quad 44 - 012 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 315   Eastern Michigan W 79-62 95%    
  Nov 10, 2023 308   Southeast Missouri St. W 82-65 94%    
  Nov 13, 2023 239   East Tennessee St. W 72-59 87%    
  Nov 17, 2023 5   @ Michigan St. L 58-72 10%    
  Nov 23, 2023 25   Florida Atlantic L 65-72 26%    
  Nov 30, 2023 41   Texas Tech L 66-68 43%    
  Dec 05, 2023 216   Buffalo W 79-68 84%    
  Dec 09, 2023 105   California W 65-60 66%    
  Dec 19, 2023 106   Georgetown W 73-68 65%    
  Dec 23, 2023 46   @ Providence L 65-72 27%    
  Jan 02, 2024 44   @ St. John's L 71-79 26%    
  Jan 05, 2024 6   Connecticut L 64-72 25%    
  Jan 10, 2024 9   @ Marquette L 64-77 14%    
  Jan 13, 2024 66   Seton Hall W 66-65 52%    
  Jan 16, 2024 43   @ Xavier L 68-76 26%    
  Jan 20, 2024 109   DePaul W 73-68 66%    
  Jan 23, 2024 106   @ Georgetown L 70-71 46%    
  Jan 27, 2024 20   Villanova L 63-67 35%    
  Feb 02, 2024 8   @ Creighton L 62-75 14%    
  Feb 06, 2024 6   @ Connecticut L 61-75 13%    
  Feb 10, 2024 46   Providence L 68-69 45%    
  Feb 13, 2024 9   Marquette L 67-74 28%    
  Feb 17, 2024 8   Creighton L 65-72 28%    
  Feb 20, 2024 20   @ Villanova L 60-70 20%    
  Feb 24, 2024 66   @ Seton Hall L 63-68 33%    
  Feb 28, 2024 44   St. John's L 74-76 45%    
  Mar 02, 2024 109   @ DePaul L 70-71 46%    
  Mar 06, 2024 43   Xavier L 71-73 44%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 3.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 1.6 1.8 0.9 0.1 0.0 5.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 2.4 2.4 0.9 0.1 0.0 6.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.2 3.0 1.0 0.1 8.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.4 3.4 1.1 0.1 11.5 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 3.2 5.0 3.8 1.0 0.1 13.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.6 5.8 3.3 0.8 0.0 16.3 9th
10th 0.1 0.8 3.0 5.3 4.7 2.3 0.4 0.0 16.7 10th
11th 0.7 2.3 3.9 4.0 2.5 0.9 0.2 0.0 14.6 11th
Total 0.7 2.4 4.7 7.2 9.7 11.0 11.7 11.0 10.4 8.7 7.1 5.5 4.0 2.7 1.4 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 92.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 87.9% 0.2    0.1 0.0 0.0
16-4 56.1% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
15-5 27.0% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 9.0% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 100.0% 47.8% 52.2% 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.1% 100.0% 21.4% 78.6% 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.2% 100.0% 20.8% 79.2% 2.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.6% 100.0% 20.5% 79.5% 3.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 0.9% 99.6% 17.5% 82.1% 4.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.5%
14-6 1.4% 99.0% 10.5% 88.4% 5.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.8%
13-7 2.7% 93.5% 7.3% 86.2% 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 93.0%
12-8 4.0% 83.5% 6.9% 76.6% 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.7 82.3%
11-9 5.5% 60.5% 5.9% 54.6% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.2 58.0%
10-10 7.1% 33.7% 3.8% 29.9% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.7 31.1%
9-11 8.7% 11.3% 3.3% 8.0% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.7 8.3%
8-12 10.4% 3.2% 2.3% 0.9% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 10.1 0.9%
7-13 11.0% 2.0% 1.9% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 10.8 0.1%
6-14 11.7% 1.0% 1.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 11.6
5-15 11.0% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1 10.9
4-16 9.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 9.6
3-17 7.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 7.2
2-18 4.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.7
1-19 2.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.4
0-20 0.7% 0.7
Total 100% 16.6% 2.6% 14.0% 8.3 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.4 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 83.4 14.4%