Preseason Rankings
Cornell
Ivy League
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.7#157
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace76.0#27
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+3.9#70
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#270
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.6% 13.8% 7.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Average Seed 13.2 12.9 14.0
.500 or above 57.3% 67.7% 38.7%
.500 or above in Conference 67.9% 73.5% 57.9%
Conference Champion 13.6% 16.3% 8.8%
Last Place in Conference 6.7% 4.8% 10.1%
First Four1.0% 1.0% 1.1%
First Round11.1% 13.4% 7.1%
Second Round1.8% 2.4% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lehigh (Away) - 64.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 5
Quad 34 - 55 - 9
Quad 48 - 313 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 274   @ Lehigh W 82-78 64%    
  Nov 11, 2023 162   @ Fordham L 77-80 40%    
  Nov 15, 2023 139   @ George Mason L 74-78 35%    
  Nov 19, 2023 161   Cal St. Fullerton W 75-74 51%    
  Nov 29, 2023 311   Monmouth W 84-72 85%    
  Dec 02, 2023 293   @ Lafayette W 74-69 66%    
  Dec 05, 2023 75   @ Syracuse L 75-84 21%    
  Dec 19, 2023 266   @ Siena W 78-75 62%    
  Dec 22, 2023 285   @ Robert Morris W 77-73 65%    
  Dec 30, 2023 110   Colgate W 82-81 50%    
  Jan 02, 2024 14   @ Baylor L 72-89 7%    
  Jan 09, 2024 303   Columbia W 87-76 83%    
  Jan 15, 2024 203   Penn W 82-76 68%    
  Jan 20, 2024 185   @ Brown L 78-80 45%    
  Jan 27, 2024 130   Princeton W 79-78 55%    
  Feb 02, 2024 243   @ Dartmouth W 80-78 56%    
  Feb 03, 2024 219   @ Harvard W 75-74 51%    
  Feb 10, 2024 68   @ Yale L 71-81 20%    
  Feb 16, 2024 219   Harvard W 77-71 70%    
  Feb 17, 2024 243   Dartmouth W 83-75 75%    
  Feb 23, 2024 68   Yale L 74-78 37%    
  Feb 24, 2024 185   Brown W 81-77 65%    
  Mar 01, 2024 203   @ Penn L 79-80 48%    
  Mar 02, 2024 130   @ Princeton L 76-81 35%    
  Mar 09, 2024 303   @ Columbia W 84-79 67%    
Projected Record 13 - 12 8 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.2 4.1 4.1 2.1 0.6 13.6 1st
2nd 0.1 1.6 5.9 7.0 3.9 0.8 19.3 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.7 7.4 6.1 1.8 0.1 18.4 3rd
4th 0.2 2.9 7.5 4.6 0.8 0.0 15.9 4th
5th 0.3 2.8 6.1 3.3 0.4 0.0 12.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.4 4.5 2.1 0.2 0.0 9.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.9 2.9 1.2 0.1 6.6 7th
8th 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.3 0.5 0.0 3.6 8th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.6 3.6 6.2 8.8 11.3 13.8 14.1 13.3 11.0 8.0 5.0 2.1 0.6 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.6    0.6
13-1 100.0% 2.1    2.0 0.1
12-2 83.5% 4.1    3.0 1.1 0.0
11-3 50.4% 4.1    1.9 1.9 0.3 0.0
10-4 20.3% 2.2    0.5 1.1 0.5 0.1
9-5 3.9% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 13.6% 13.6 7.9 4.4 1.1 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.6% 73.5% 62.1% 11.4% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 30.0%
13-1 2.1% 53.9% 48.9% 5.1% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 9.9%
12-2 5.0% 37.4% 35.5% 1.9% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 3.1 3.0%
11-3 8.0% 24.9% 24.5% 0.3% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 6.0 0.4%
10-4 11.0% 17.9% 17.9% 0.0% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 9.1 0.0%
9-5 13.3% 12.8% 12.8% 14.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.1 11.6
8-6 14.1% 7.6% 7.6% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 13.0
7-7 13.8% 5.6% 5.6% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 13.0
6-8 11.3% 3.5% 3.5% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 10.9
5-9 8.8% 1.8% 1.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 8.6
4-10 6.2% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 6.1
3-11 3.6% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 3.6
2-12 1.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.6
1-13 0.5% 0.5
0-14 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 11.6% 11.3% 0.3% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.4 2.8 2.1 1.5 1.2 88.4 0.3%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 3.9 11.3 12.7 54.9 21.1