IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Davidson
Atlantic 10
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	+1.2	#149
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	63.9	#287
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.2	#165

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+1.0	#139

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.1%	0.3%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.2%	0.8%	0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid	5.0%	10.3%	4.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	1.0%	3.6%	0.6%
Average Seed	12.0	11.0	12.4

.500 or above	51.9%	76.0%	47.7%
.500 or above in Conference	45.1%	61.9%	42.2%
Conference Champion	3.7%	7.3%	3.1%
Last Place in Conference	9.1%	4.1%	10.0%

First Four	0.8%	1.8%	0.7%
First Round	4.7%	9.5%	3.8%
Second Round	1.2%	3.3%	0.9%
Sweet Sixteen	0.4%	1.2%	0.2%
Elite Eight	0.1%	0.3%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Maryland (Neutral) - 14.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	1 - 4	2 - 7
Quad 3	5 - 5	6 - 12
Quad 4	7 - 2	14 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 10, 2023	29	Maryland	L	60-71	15%
Nov 17, 2023	239	@ East Tennessee St.	W	67-65	58%
Nov 21, 2023	313	Boston University	W	71-58	88%
Nov 24, 2023	26	@ St. Mary's	L	55-69	10%
Nov 29, 2023	156	@ Charlotte	L	59-62	41%
Dec 02, 2023	131	Wright St.	W	75-73	56%
Dec 06, 2023	294	Campbell	W	71-60	84%
Dec 09, 2023	260	Miami (OH)	W	74-64	79%
Dec 21, 2023	273	South Carolina Upstate	W	73-63	81%
Dec 30, 2023	127	Ohio	L	70-71	46%
Jan 03, 2024	72	Dayton	L	61-64	39%
Jan 09, 2024	190	Rhode Island	W	69-64	67%
Jan 13, 2024	238	@ George Washington	W	73-71	58%
Jan 17, 2024	162	@ Fordham	L	67-69	42%
Jan 20, 2024	129	Richmond	W	67-65	56%
Jan 24, 2024	102	@ Saint Louis	L	68-74	31%
Jan 27, 2024	82	Virginia Commonwealth	L	66-68	43%
Feb 04, 2024	96	@ Loyola Chicago	L	63-70	29%
Feb 07, 2024	94	@ Duquesne	L	66-73	28%
Feb 10, 2024	139	George Mason	W	67-65	58%
Feb 13, 2024	199	La Salle	W	72-66	68%
Feb 17, 2024	78	@ St. Bonaventure	L	61-70	24%
Feb 20, 2024	162	Fordham	W	70-66	62%
Feb 24, 2024	129	@ Richmond	L	64-68	37%
Feb 27, 2024	72	@ Dayton	L	58-67	23%
Mar 02, 2024	192	Massachusetts	W	74-69	67%
Mar 06, 2024	96	Loyola Chicago	L	66-67	47%
Mar 09, 2024	136	@ Saint Joseph's	L	68-72	38%
Projected Record						14 - 14	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.6	1.1	1.0	0.6	0.3	0.0		3.7	1st
2nd												0.1	1.0	1.8	1.4	0.4	0.1	0.0			4.8	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.1	1.0	2.5	1.5	0.3	0.0					5.5	3rd
4th										0.0	0.7	2.8	2.2	0.4	0.0						6.2	4th
5th									0.0	0.4	2.6	2.8	0.6	0.0							6.4	5th
6th									0.1	1.9	3.9	1.2	0.1								7.1	6th
7th								0.0	1.0	4.0	2.3	0.2									7.4	7th
8th							0.0	0.4	3.2	3.3	0.5	0.0									7.4	8th
9th							0.2	2.1	4.3	1.1	0.0										7.8	9th
10th						0.0	1.2	4.3	2.4	0.1											8.1	10th
11th					0.0	0.7	3.4	3.2	0.4	0.0											7.8	11th
12th				0.0	0.5	2.6	3.9	1.1	0.0												8.1	12th
13th			0.0	0.5	2.2	3.3	1.6	0.1													7.6	13th
14th		0.1	0.6	1.9	2.6	1.4	0.2														6.8	14th
15th	0.2	0.8	1.5	1.7	0.9	0.1	0.0														5.2	15th

Total	0.2	0.9	2.2	4.0	6.2	8.2	10.5	11.3	11.4	10.9	10.1	8.1	6.5	4.2	2.8	1.5	0.7	0.3	0.0		Total

Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	98.3%	0.3		0.2	0.0
16-2	91.0%	0.6		0.5	0.1	0.0
15-3	69.2%	1.0		0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0
14-4	38.1%	1.1		0.4	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0
13-5	13.4%	0.6		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	1.3%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0					0.0		0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	3.7%	3.7		2.0	1.2	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		98.8%	38.1%	60.7%	5.3				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0							0.0		98.1%
17-1	0.3%		76.4%	34.4%	42.1%	7.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.1		64.1%
16-2	0.7%		61.5%	27.3%	34.2%	9.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.3		47.0%
15-3	1.5%		38.6%	21.1%	17.4%	10.5				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0				0.9		22.1%
14-4	2.8%		22.5%	15.3%	7.3%	11.2								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0			2.2		8.6%
13-5	4.2%		14.9%	11.8%	3.1%	11.7										0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		3.6		3.5%
12-6	6.5%		9.5%	9.2%	0.3%	12.3											0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0		5.9		0.4%
11-7	8.1%		6.4%	6.3%	0.1%	12.8												0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	7.6		0.1%
10-8	10.1%		4.7%	4.7%		13.4												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	9.6
9-9	10.9%		3.0%	3.0%		14.3													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	10.6
8-10	11.4%		2.2%	2.2%		15.1													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	11.2
7-11	11.3%		1.4%	1.4%		15.6													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	11.1
6-12	10.5%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																0.0	0.1	10.4
5-13	8.2%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	8.1
4-14	6.2%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	6.2
3-15	4.0%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	4.0
2-16	2.2%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	2.1
1-17	0.9%																							0.9
0-18	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		5.0%	4.0%	1.0%	12.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	1.0	1.1	0.8	0.4	0.3	0.4	95.0		1.0%