Preseason Rankings
Delaware
Colonial Athletic
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.3#194
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.3#194
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#181
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.1#212
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.6% 6.7% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.7 13.6 14.4
.500 or above 67.1% 74.9% 48.4%
.500 or above in Conference 71.7% 76.4% 60.5%
Conference Champion 6.9% 8.1% 4.1%
Last Place in Conference 1.6% 1.2% 2.7%
First Four0.5% 0.4% 0.5%
First Round5.4% 6.5% 2.8%
Second Round0.7% 0.9% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bucknell (Away) - 70.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 21 - 4
Quad 33 - 54 - 8
Quad 412 - 415 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 331   @ Bucknell W 73-67 71%    
  Nov 12, 2023 166   Air Force W 66-65 55%    
  Nov 15, 2023 355   @ Delaware St. W 74-65 80%    
  Nov 24, 2023 185   Brown L 71-72 48%    
  Dec 02, 2023 127   @ Ohio L 70-77 27%    
  Dec 05, 2023 43   @ Xavier L 68-83 10%    
  Dec 11, 2023 285   @ Robert Morris W 69-67 59%    
  Dec 16, 2023 190   Rhode Island L 69-70 49%    
  Dec 20, 2023 230   Rider W 72-67 68%    
  Dec 30, 2023 130   Princeton L 71-72 48%    
  Jan 04, 2024 312   Hampton W 79-69 80%    
  Jan 06, 2024 112   @ Hofstra L 68-76 25%    
  Jan 11, 2024 294   @ Campbell W 69-66 59%    
  Jan 13, 2024 140   @ UNC Wilmington L 65-71 30%    
  Jan 18, 2024 255   Stony Brook W 70-63 72%    
  Jan 20, 2024 125   @ Drexel L 62-69 29%    
  Jan 25, 2024 352   N.C. A&T W 80-66 89%    
  Jan 27, 2024 158   Towson W 68-67 54%    
  Feb 01, 2024 302   @ William & Mary W 70-67 61%    
  Feb 03, 2024 311   Monmouth W 76-66 79%    
  Feb 08, 2024 158   @ Towson L 65-70 34%    
  Feb 10, 2024 302   William & Mary W 73-64 78%    
  Feb 15, 2024 309   @ Elon W 71-67 63%    
  Feb 17, 2024 352   @ N.C. A&T W 77-69 76%    
  Feb 22, 2024 80   College of Charleston L 74-79 34%    
  Feb 26, 2024 125   Drexel L 65-66 47%    
  Feb 29, 2024 228   Northeastern W 71-66 67%    
  Mar 02, 2024 255   @ Stony Brook W 67-66 53%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.3 2.2 1.8 1.0 0.2 6.9 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 2.9 3.8 2.1 0.5 0.0 10.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 1.1 3.5 4.5 1.9 0.2 11.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 4.0 5.1 1.7 0.2 0.0 11.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 3.8 5.3 1.8 0.1 11.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.8 5.1 2.0 0.2 10.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.3 4.6 2.4 0.2 0.0 9.6 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 3.8 2.1 0.3 0.0 7.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 2.9 2.4 0.4 0.0 6.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.2 2.1 0.5 0.0 5.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.3 1.9 0.6 0.0 4.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.1 0.5 0.0 2.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.5 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.0 3.1 5.4 7.1 9.4 10.7 12.2 12.7 11.4 9.6 7.1 4.5 2.3 1.0 0.2 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 96.2% 1.0    0.9 0.1
16-2 79.5% 1.8    1.3 0.5 0.0
15-3 48.8% 2.2    1.0 1.0 0.3 0.0
14-4 18.6% 1.3    0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-5 3.7% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.9% 6.9 3.7 2.3 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 54.8% 45.2% 9.6% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 17.4%
17-1 1.0% 41.8% 35.1% 6.7% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 10.4%
16-2 2.3% 25.8% 24.6% 1.2% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.7 1.6%
15-3 4.5% 18.1% 17.9% 0.2% 12.9 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 3.7 0.2%
14-4 7.1% 11.9% 11.9% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 6.2
13-5 9.6% 8.9% 8.9% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 8.7
12-6 11.4% 6.3% 6.3% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 10.7
11-7 12.7% 4.2% 4.2% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 12.1
10-8 12.2% 2.9% 2.9% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 11.9
9-9 10.7% 1.7% 1.7% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 10.5
8-10 9.4% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1 9.3
7-11 7.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.0 7.0
6-12 5.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 5.4
5-13 3.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.1
4-14 2.0% 2.0
3-15 0.9% 0.9
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.6% 5.5% 0.1% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.3 1.3 1.1 0.7 94.4 0.1%