IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.5	#315
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.9	#80
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.8	#263

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.7	#339

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.7%	1.4%	0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.1	14.7	15.1

.500 or above	15.6%	39.5%	14.3%
.500 or above in Conference	21.6%	39.7%	20.6%
Conference Champion	0.8%	2.0%	0.8%
Last Place in Conference	25.2%	13.9%	25.8%

First Four	0.3%	0.3%	0.3%
First Round	0.6%	1.1%	0.5%
Second Round	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Butler (Away) - 5.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 3	1 - 6	1 - 10
Quad 4	8 - 8	9 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2023	88	@ Butler	L	62-79	5%
Nov 11, 2023	229	Georgia Southern	L	71-73	42%
Nov 14, 2023	25	@ Florida Atlantic	L	64-88	1%
Nov 18, 2023	187	Cleveland St.	L	70-75	34%
Nov 21, 2023	265	@ Detroit Mercy	L	74-80	30%
Nov 25, 2023	336	@ Central Arkansas	L	81-82	47%
Nov 26, 2023	267	North Dakota	L	74-77	41%
Dec 08, 2023	256	Oakland	L	76-77	49%
Dec 16, 2023	48	@ Michigan	L	64-85	3%
Dec 21, 2023	312	Hampton	W	78-75	60%
Jan 02, 2024	235	@ Bowling Green	L	75-83	26%
Jan 06, 2024	107	Kent St.	L	69-79	21%
Jan 09, 2024	323	Central Michigan	W	76-72	63%
Jan 13, 2024	260	@ Miami (OH)	L	72-78	30%
Jan 16, 2024	234	Ball St.	L	74-76	44%
Jan 20, 2024	127	@ Ohio	L	70-84	12%
Jan 23, 2024	319	@ Western Michigan	L	72-75	41%
Jan 27, 2024	216	Buffalo	L	79-82	41%
Jan 30, 2024	114	Akron	L	68-77	22%
Feb 03, 2024	240	@ Northern Illinois	L	73-80	27%
Feb 06, 2024	132	Toledo	L	77-85	27%
Feb 17, 2024	235	Bowling Green	L	78-80	45%
Feb 20, 2024	216	@ Buffalo	L	76-85	23%
Feb 24, 2024	234	@ Ball St.	L	71-79	27%
Feb 27, 2024	319	Western Michigan	W	75-72	61%
Mar 02, 2024	260	Miami (OH)	L	74-75	49%
Mar 05, 2024	114	@ Akron	L	65-80	11%
Mar 08, 2024	323	@ Central Michigan	L	73-75	43%
Projected Record						9 - 19	6 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-American Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.8	1st
2nd											0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0				1.7	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.2	1.0	1.0	0.4	0.1	0.0					2.8	3rd
4th									0.0	0.3	1.4	1.8	0.6	0.1							4.2	4th
5th								0.0	0.3	1.9	2.5	0.8	0.1	0.0							5.5	5th
6th								0.3	2.2	3.3	1.3	0.1	0.0								7.1	6th
7th						0.0	0.2	2.3	4.3	1.8	0.2	0.0									8.7	7th
8th					0.0	0.3	2.3	4.9	2.4	0.3	0.0										10.1	8th
9th				0.0	0.3	2.8	5.5	3.1	0.4	0.0											12.2	9th
10th			0.0	0.6	3.1	6.1	3.7	0.6	0.0												14.2	10th
11th		0.1	1.3	4.5	5.8	3.3	0.6	0.0													15.7	11th
12th	1.1	3.5	5.4	4.6	2.0	0.4	0.0														17.0	12th

Total	1.1	3.6	6.8	9.7	11.2	12.8	12.4	11.2	9.6	7.5	5.6	3.8	2.2	1.4	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0			Total

Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	87.8%	0.1		0.1	0.0
15-3	59.4%	0.2		0.1	0.0	0.0
14-4	36.8%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
13-5	13.7%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	1.7%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0				0.0		0.0
10-8	0.1%	0.0								0.0
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.8%	0.8		0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																		0.0
17-1	0.0%		20.9%	20.9%		12.4												0.0	0.0	0.0				0.0
16-2	0.1%		18.6%	18.6%		13.1													0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1
15-3	0.3%		6.9%	6.9%		13.9													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.3
14-4	0.7%		8.9%	8.9%		14.0														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.7
13-5	1.4%		7.1%	7.1%		14.7													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.3
12-6	2.2%		5.5%	5.5%		14.9														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	2.0
11-7	3.8%		2.0%	2.0%		15.3															0.0	0.0	0.0	3.7
10-8	5.6%		1.2%	1.2%		15.5														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	5.5
9-9	7.5%		1.0%	1.0%		15.9																0.0	0.1	7.4
8-10	9.6%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.1	9.5
7-11	11.2%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	11.2
6-12	12.4%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	12.4
5-13	12.8%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	12.8
4-14	11.2%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	11.2
3-15	9.7%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	9.7
2-16	6.8%																							6.8
1-17	3.6%																							3.6
0-18	1.1%																							1.1

Total	100%		0.7%	0.7%	0.0%	15.1												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	99.3		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%