Preseason Rankings
Seton Hall
Big East
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.1#66
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.3#220
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.6#98
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+5.5#40
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Top 2 Seed 1.4% 1.4% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 4.7% 4.9% 0.5%
Top 6 Seed 10.2% 10.6% 2.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 30.1% 31.1% 11.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 27.2% 28.2% 8.7%
Average Seed 7.6 7.6 9.2
.500 or above 62.1% 63.7% 31.4%
.500 or above in Conference 40.2% 41.2% 20.4%
Conference Champion 2.7% 2.8% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 10.0% 9.5% 20.4%
First Four3.9% 3.9% 3.0%
First Round28.2% 29.1% 9.5%
Second Round15.7% 16.3% 4.6%
Sweet Sixteen6.2% 6.5% 1.4%
Elite Eight2.5% 2.7% 0.4%
Final Four1.0% 1.0% 0.1%
Championship Game0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Peter's (Home) - 95.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 10
Quad 23 - 36 - 13
Quad 33 - 110 - 14
Quad 46 - 016 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 279   St. Peter's W 70-52 95%    
  Nov 11, 2023 314   Fairleigh Dickinson W 83-63 96%    
  Nov 15, 2023 318   Albany W 79-59 97%    
  Nov 18, 2023 298   Wagner W 70-51 95%    
  Nov 23, 2023 18   USC L 67-73 31%    
  Nov 29, 2023 228   Northeastern W 74-59 90%    
  Dec 05, 2023 14   @ Baylor L 66-75 21%    
  Dec 09, 2023 51   Rutgers W 66-64 55%    
  Dec 12, 2023 311   Monmouth W 78-59 95%    
  Dec 17, 2023 52   Missouri L 72-73 45%    
  Dec 20, 2023 6   Connecticut L 66-71 32%    
  Dec 23, 2023 43   @ Xavier L 71-76 32%    
  Jan 03, 2024 46   @ Providence L 66-71 34%    
  Jan 06, 2024 9   Marquette L 69-73 36%    
  Jan 09, 2024 106   @ Georgetown W 72-71 53%    
  Jan 13, 2024 88   @ Butler L 65-66 48%    
  Jan 16, 2024 44   St. John's W 77-76 53%    
  Jan 20, 2024 8   Creighton L 67-72 35%    
  Jan 24, 2024 46   Providence W 69-68 54%    
  Jan 27, 2024 9   @ Marquette L 66-76 19%    
  Jan 30, 2024 109   DePaul W 74-67 73%    
  Feb 07, 2024 106   Georgetown W 75-68 72%    
  Feb 11, 2024 20   @ Villanova L 61-69 25%    
  Feb 14, 2024 43   Xavier W 74-73 52%    
  Feb 18, 2024 44   @ St. John's L 74-79 34%    
  Feb 24, 2024 88   Butler W 68-63 67%    
  Feb 28, 2024 8   @ Creighton L 64-75 19%    
  Mar 03, 2024 6   @ Connecticut L 63-74 18%    
  Mar 06, 2024 20   Villanova L 64-66 43%    
  Mar 09, 2024 109   DePaul W 74-67 72%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.6 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.5 1.8 0.5 0.0 0.0 6.8 3rd
4th 0.1 0.7 2.5 3.2 1.7 0.3 0.0 8.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.4 3.9 1.9 0.3 0.0 10.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.2 4.4 1.7 0.2 0.0 12.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.2 4.7 4.3 1.6 0.1 0.0 13.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.8 4.7 4.0 1.1 0.1 0.0 13.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.0 4.1 3.0 0.7 0.1 12.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.7 3.2 1.7 0.4 0.0 0.0 9.6 10th
11th 0.2 0.8 1.5 1.7 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 6.3 11th
Total 0.2 0.8 1.8 3.1 5.2 7.4 9.1 10.4 11.1 10.7 10.1 8.7 7.1 5.4 4.0 2.4 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-2 94.1% 0.3    0.2 0.0
17-3 85.2% 0.6    0.5 0.1 0.0
16-4 53.2% 0.7    0.4 0.3 0.1
15-5 26.5% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-6 8.2% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.7% 2.7 1.4 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.1% 100.0% 17.2% 82.8% 1.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.3% 100.0% 18.9% 81.1% 1.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.7% 100.0% 20.9% 79.1% 2.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 1.3% 99.4% 19.1% 80.3% 3.5 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.3%
15-5 2.4% 99.2% 12.7% 86.5% 4.5 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.0%
14-6 4.0% 97.4% 10.3% 87.2% 5.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 97.1%
13-7 5.4% 91.9% 9.4% 82.4% 7.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.4 91.0%
12-8 7.1% 81.1% 6.6% 74.5% 8.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.3 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.0 1.4 79.7%
11-9 8.7% 58.7% 5.4% 53.3% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.0 0.1 0.0 3.6 56.4%
10-10 10.1% 33.5% 3.8% 29.8% 9.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.7 30.9%
9-11 10.7% 12.0% 3.0% 9.1% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.4 9.3%
8-12 11.1% 3.7% 2.1% 1.7% 12.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.7 1.7%
7-13 10.4% 2.1% 1.9% 0.1% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 10.2 0.2%
6-14 9.1% 1.2% 1.2% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 9.0
5-15 7.4% 1.0% 1.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 7.4
4-16 5.2% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 5.1
3-17 3.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 3.1
2-18 1.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.8
1-19 0.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 0.8
0-20 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 30.1% 4.0% 26.1% 7.6 0.5 0.9 1.5 1.9 2.5 3.0 3.5 3.9 3.9 4.2 3.2 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 69.9 27.2%